China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd HK$0.32, price HK$0.36, upside -11.9%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3000 – HK$8.17 · fair‑value band HK$0.2089 – HK$0.4440 · the HK$0.3600 price screens above the HK$0.3170 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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China YuHua Education Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides education services in the People's Republic of China and Thailand. The company provides private formal education from high school to university education services. It also operates higher vocational colleges.
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China YuHua Education Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides education services in the People's Republic of China and Thailand. The company provides private formal education from high school to university education services. It also operates higher vocational colleges. In addition, it is involved in the property management business; and provision of research projects and training programs services. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Zhengzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169) currently trades at HK$0.3600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3170, implying the stock looks roughly 13.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.81 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.3600 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.37, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2089 (bear) to HK$0.4440 (bull), the price of HK$0.3600 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd reported revenue of 2.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was 920M CNY in FY2025, compounding +2.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.5B (≈ $195M) · P/E ratio 1.6 · P/S ratio 0.59 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1200 · Net margin 37.2% · Return on equity 9.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9% · Operating margin 20.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at −12%, 6169 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.2089Fair Value HK$0.3170Bull HK$0.4440
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.1200 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.5% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8% vs 12%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 35%
Compare China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 141 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside−12% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)21% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3170 versus a price of HK$0.3600, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6169?
Our model-based fair value for China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd is HK$0.3170 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3600.
What is the quality score of 6169?
China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3170 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2089, optimistic scenario HK$0.4440. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3170, about −12% upside versus a price of HK$0.3600 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2089, optimistic scenario HK$0.4440. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd it is HK$0.3170 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3600. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 6169 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3600, fair value HK$0.3170, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6169?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3170). For China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd the two are HK$0.0430 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd worth?
The market values China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd at about HK$1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3600; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3170 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6169?
Our models span a range for China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2089, base HK$0.3170, optimistic HK$0.4440 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.3600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6169?
China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.3170 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.1, P/B 0.2, P/S 0.5.
What is the PEG ratio of 6169?
The PEG ratio of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd is 2.08 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.1%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6169 from its 52-week high?
China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd trades at HK$0.3600, about 45% below its 52-week high of HK$0.6500 and 9% above the low of HK$0.3300 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3170 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Grand Canyon Education, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.3600, calculated fair value HK$0.3170 (−12%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6169 calculated?
We run China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3170, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.3600. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3170, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2089 to HK$0.4440) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169) come from?
Earnings per share at China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd grew +11.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.0 %, EBIT margin +0.0 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
The market capitalisation of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd is HK$1.5B (≈ $195M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd is 0.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
Earnings per share at China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd are HK$0.1200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
The net margin of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd is 37.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd is 9.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd is 9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
The operating margin of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd is 20.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
Revenue at China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd is growing −1.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169)?
Earnings per share at China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd are growing −42.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169) generate?
The free cash flow of China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd is 767M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd (6169) hold?
China Yuhua Education Corp Ltd holds more cash than debt, 1.1B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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