CASwell, Inc (6416) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 7.3B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 68.28 TWD to 68.15 TWD (−0.2%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price +5.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (92.06 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (46.59 TWD to 92.06 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 69.17 TWD – 159.06 TWD · fair‑value band 46.59 TWD – 92.06 TWD · the 103.50 TWD price screens above the 68.15 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
CASwell, Inc (6416) currently trades at 103.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 68.15 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 34.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, CASwell, Inc generated revenue of 4.3B TWD at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue declined 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at 469M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 46.59 TWD (bear case) to 92.06 TWD (bull case); at 103.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -34%, 6416 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (73.14 TWD) versus Asset-Based (32.83 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CASwell, Inc. operates in network security appliance industry in Taiwan, the United States, Israel, China, the United Kingdom, Japan, France, and internationally. The company engages in the manufacturing of electronic components, computers, and their peripherals, as well as wholesale of electronic materials and information software services.
Full company description
CASwell, Inc. operates in network security appliance industry in Taiwan, the United States, Israel, China, the United Kingdom, Japan, France, and internationally. The company engages in the manufacturing of electronic components, computers, and their peripherals, as well as wholesale of electronic materials and information software services. It offers network security and management products, such as 2U, 1U, fanless desktop, desktop, and other core network appliances; cloud and data center switches, including server and telecom; cloud and enterprise network storage servers; and industrial control and automation products comprising industrial firewall and control systems. The company also provides edge/fog computing products, such as SD-WAN/UCPE/VCPE products, X86-based SDN switches, and NFV servers; proprietary, proprietary PoE, network, and POE network adapters; and proprietary acceleration, storage proprietary, and network acceleration modules. CASwell, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CASwell, Inc reported revenue of 4.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 4.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was 316M TWD in FY2025, compounding +9.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
6416 screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 286 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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