Rafael Microelectronics, Inc (6568) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 4.4B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 79.23 TWD to 92.55 TWD (+16.8%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −10.6% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (115.67 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 83.14 TWD – 357.44 TWD · fair‑value band 69.41 TWD – 115.67 TWD · the 139.50 TWD price screens above the 92.55 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Rafael Microelectronics, Inc (6568) currently trades at 139.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 92.55 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 33.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Rafael Microelectronics, Inc generated revenue of 1.2B TWD at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue grew 28.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 429M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 69.41 TWD (bear case) to 115.67 TWD (bull case); at 139.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -34%, 6568 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (108.07 TWD) versus Asset-Based (33.65 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Rafael Microelectronics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, manufacturing, and sale of radio frequency integrated circuits, systems, and related products in Taiwan, China, Asia, Europe, and the Americas.
Full company description
Rafael Microelectronics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, manufacturing, and sale of radio frequency integrated circuits, systems, and related products in Taiwan, China, Asia, Europe, and the Americas. The company offers IoT connectivity, optical networking, and satellite communication products, as well as STB and TV receivers. It also provides RF and IP design services; and technical and customer support services. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Zhubei, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rafael Microelectronics, Inc reported revenue of 1.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 122M TWD in FY2025, compounding −7.5%/yr from FY2021.
6568 screens 34% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 318 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $211.80 | $96.91 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $398.37 | $207.49 | -48% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €367.75 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €784.90 | €185.67 | -76% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 2,082,000 KRW | 1,109,311 KRW | -47% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €425.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$68.40 | C$9.82 | -86% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $311.46 | $59.75 | -81% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,740 TWD | 1,163 TWD | -69% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,212,000 KRW | 868,000 KRW | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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