Global New Material International Holdings (6616) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$8.8B

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

• The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
• A fairly wide model range (HK$4.54 to HK$9.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$3.24 – HK$11.40 · fair‑value band HK$4.54 – HK$9.10 · the HK$8.92 price screens below the HK$9.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Global New Material International Holdings (6616) currently trades at HK$8.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$9.10, implying the stock looks roughly 2.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 16/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Global New Material International Holdings generated revenue of HK$2.9B at a net margin of -13.1%. Revenue grew 129.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.9%. Net debt stands at HK$4.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$4.54 (bear case) to HK$9.10 (bull case); at HK$8.92, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 2%, 6616 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.69) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.4300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Global New Material International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells pearlescent pigment, functional mica filler, and related products in the People's Republic of China, Europe, the rest of Asia, North America, and internationally.

Full company description

Global New Material International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells pearlescent pigment, functional mica filler, and related products in the People's Republic of China, Europe, the rest of Asia, North America, and internationally. The company offers natural mica, synthetic mica industrial grade, highlight series, high purity series, chameleon series, velvet series, jade series, 3D magnetic conductive series, China red series, diamond series, weather resistant series, powder coating series, and cosmetic grade pearlescent pigments; and cosmetic active ingredients, industrial and automotive coatings, new energy materials, and sustainable, green materials. Its products are used in automotive, cosmetics, electronics, new energy, and high-end manufacturing; and synthetic mica used to produce pearlescent pigment products, insulating materials, functional fillers, refractory materials, and nickel-hydrogen batteries. The company also exports its products to approximately 150 countries worldwide. Global New Material International Holdings Limited was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Liuzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Global New Material International Holdings reported revenue of HK$2.9B in FY2025 versus HK$670M in FY2021, a compound +44.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$381M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.