Techcential International Ltd (6616) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Techcential International Ltd stock TWD 15.56, price TWD 8.58, upside +81.4%, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.05 TWD – 28.32 TWD · fair‑value band 13.62 TWD – 17.25 TWD · the 8.58 TWD price screens below the 15.56 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Techcential International Ltd engages in the manufacture and sale of American wooden bedroom furniture products worldwide. The company offers five-piece bedroom furniture.
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It also engages in the manufacturing and sales of wooden kitchen cabinets and furniture; management consulting; fuel manufacturing and sales, and rental equipment; procurement, processing and manufacturing of boards, rubber wood raw materials.
Techcential International Ltd was founded in 2001 and is based in Muar, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Techcential International Ltd (6616) currently trades at 8.58 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.56 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 45% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 16.76 TWD per share, and 7 of the 10 models we run sit above the 8.58 TWD price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 4.31 TWD, and 3 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 13.62 TWD (bear) to 17.25 TWD (bull), the price of 8.58 TWD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Techcential International Ltd reported revenue of 1.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 894M TWD in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was −21.4M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 304M TWD (≈ $9.3M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) −1.32 TWD · Net margin −5.1% · Return on equity −11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −8.1% · Revenue (TTM) 913M TWD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 17 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 81%, 6616 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear13.62 TWDFair Value 15.56 TWDBull17.25 TWD
Price 8.58 TWD · Upside +81.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.9% (2020) → −1.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.8% a year for the price.
Compare Techcential International Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 297 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Techcential International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6616
Frequently asked questions
Is Techcential International Ltd (6616) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.56 TWD versus a price of 8.58 TWD, about +81% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6616?
Our model-based fair value for Techcential International Ltd is 15.56 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 8.58 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6616?
Techcential International Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 15.56 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13.62 TWD, optimistic scenario 17.25 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Techcential International Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 15.56 TWD, about +81% upside versus a price of 8.58 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 13.62 TWD, optimistic scenario 17.25 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
Techcential International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 913M TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Techcential International Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -4.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.0 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6616 use?
Our models discount Techcential International Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Techcential International Ltd that is -4.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Techcential International Ltd (6616) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Techcential International Ltd grew -4.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -4.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Techcential International Ltd (6616) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Techcential International Ltd (-4.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.92 %: that much free cash flow Techcential International Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Techcential International Ltd it is 15.56 TWD per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 8.58 TWD. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Techcential International Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 6616 trades below its calculated fair value: price 8.58 TWD, fair value 15.56 TWD, a gap of about +81% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6616?
No. The price is what the market pays today (8.58 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (15.56 TWD). For Techcential International Ltd the two are 6.98 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Techcential International Ltd worth?
The market values Techcential International Ltd at about 304M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 8.58 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 15.56 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6616?
Our models span a range for Techcential International Ltd: cautious scenario 13.62 TWD, base 15.56 TWD, optimistic 17.25 TWD per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 8.58 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
Balance-sheet figures for Techcential International Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −11.4%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6616 from its 52-week high?
Techcential International Ltd trades at 8.58 TWD, about 21% below its 52-week high of 10.85 TWD and 7% above the low of 8.05 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 15.56 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Techcential International Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, SharkNinja, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Techcential International Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 8.58 TWD, calculated fair value 15.56 TWD (+81%), Quality Score 58/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6616 calculated?
We run Techcential International Ltd through 10 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 15.56 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Techcential International Ltd currently trades 45% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 8.58 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 15.56 TWD, about +81% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Techcential International Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (13.62 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Techcential International Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
The market capitalisation of Techcential International Ltd is 304M TWD (≈ $9.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Techcential International Ltd is 0.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
Earnings per share at Techcential International Ltd are −1.32 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
The net margin of Techcential International Ltd is −5.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Techcential International Ltd is −11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Techcential International Ltd is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
The operating margin of Techcential International Ltd is −8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
Revenue at Techcential International Ltd is growing −13.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Techcential International Ltd (6616)?
Earnings per share at Techcential International Ltd are growing +6.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Techcential International Ltd (6616) carry?
The net debt of Techcential International Ltd is 26.5M TWD (fiscal year 2022, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 5, 2026