Techcential International Ltd (6616) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 330M TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −0.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.63 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (1.88 TWD to 3.63 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.83 TWD – 28.32 TWD · fair‑value band 1.88 TWD – 3.63 TWD · the 9.02 TWD price screens above the 2.75 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Techcential International Ltd (6616) currently trades at 9.02 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.75 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 69.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Techcential International Ltd generated revenue of 940M TWD at a net margin of -5.3%. Revenue declined 29.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.0%. Net debt stands at 26.5M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.88 TWD (bear case) to 3.63 TWD (bull case); at 9.02 TWD, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -70%, 6616 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (3.12 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (0.1513 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Techcential International Ltd engages in the manufacture and sale of American wooden bedroom furniture products worldwide. The company offers five-piece bedroom furniture.
Full company description
Techcential International Ltd engages in the manufacture and sale of American wooden bedroom furniture products worldwide. The company offers five-piece bedroom furniture. It also engages in the manufacturing and sales of wooden kitchen cabinets and furniture; management consulting; fuel manufacturing and sales, and rental equipment; procurement, processing and manufacturing of boards, rubber wood raw materials. Techcential International Ltd was founded in 2001 and is based in Muar, Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Techcential International Ltd reported revenue of 1.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 894M TWD in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was −21.4M TWD in FY2025.
6616 screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →
Peer Group
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 316 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥82.71 | ¥107.22 | +30% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥38.25 | ¥88.02 | +130% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥21.46 | ¥36.04 | +68% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 8,655 TWD | 1,917 TWD | -78% |
| Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 | ¥155.59 | ¥38.95 | -75% |
| SharkNinja, Inc SN | $154.53 | $89.07 | -42% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥26.33 | ¥48.03 | +82% |
| Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 | ¥43.85 | ¥44.84 | +2% |
| COWAY Co 021240 | 96,700 KRW | 112,530 KRW | +16% |
| Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 | ¥50.13 | ¥54.11 | +8% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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