Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Thai Kin Co. Ltd TWD 88.51, price TWD 103, upside -14.1%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Thai Kin Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells furniture castings in Europe, the America, and Asia. The company offers furniture decorations and hardware products.
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Thai Kin Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells furniture castings in Europe, the America, and Asia. The company offers furniture decorations and hardware products. It also offers cabinet, drapery, and decorative hardware products; bathroom accessories; hooks and rails; sofa/bed/cabinet legs; and shelf support, as well as candle holder products. In addition, the company manufactures and sells home decoration and functional parts. Thai Kin Co., Ltd. was founded in 2008 and is based in Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629) currently trades at 103.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 88.51 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 16.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 109.63 TWD per share, and 7 of the 17 models we run sit above the 103.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 29.80 TWD, and 10 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 43.85 TWD (bear) to 95.03 TWD (bull), the price of 103.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Thai Kin Co. Ltd reported revenue of 1.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 247M TWD in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.0B TWD (≈ $124M) · P/E ratio 14.7 · P/S ratio 2.08 · EPS (TTM) 7.02 TWD · Dividend yield 8.5% · Net margin 14.2% · Return on equity 17.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −14%, 6629 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 43.85 TWDFair Value 88.51 TWDBull 95.03 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (5.14 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 20%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 316 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thai Kin Co. Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6629
Frequently asked questions
Is Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 88.51 TWD versus a price of 103.00 TWD, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6629?
Our model-based fair value for Thai Kin Co. Ltd is 88.51 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 103.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6629?
Thai Kin Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 88.51 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 43.85 TWD, optimistic scenario 95.03 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Thai Kin Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 88.51 TWD, about −14% upside versus a price of 103.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 43.85 TWD, optimistic scenario 95.03 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
Thai Kin Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Thai Kin Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
Thai Kin Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Thai Kin Co. Ltd it is 88.51 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 103.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Thai Kin Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 6629 trades above its calculated fair value: price 103.00 TWD, fair value 88.51 TWD, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6629?
No. The price is what the market pays today (103.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (88.51 TWD). For Thai Kin Co. Ltd the two are 14.49 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Thai Kin Co. Ltd worth?
The market values Thai Kin Co. Ltd at about 4.0B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 103.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 88.51 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6629?
Our models span a range for Thai Kin Co. Ltd: cautious scenario 43.85 TWD, base 88.51 TWD, optimistic 95.03 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 103.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6629?
Thai Kin Co. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 88.51 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 7.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
Balance-sheet figures for Thai Kin Co. Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 17.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6629 from its 52-week high?
Thai Kin Co. Ltd trades at 103.00 TWD, about 34% below its 52-week high of 155.00 TWD and 3% above the low of 100.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 88.51 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Thai Kin Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Thai Kin Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 103.00 TWD, calculated fair value 88.51 TWD (−14%), Quality Score 48/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6629 calculated?
We run Thai Kin Co. Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 88.51 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Thai Kin Co. Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 103.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 88.51 TWD, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Thai Kin Co. Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (95.03 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (43.85 TWD to 95.03 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Thai Kin Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
The market capitalisation of Thai Kin Co. Ltd is 4.0B TWD (≈ $124M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Thai Kin Co. Ltd is 2.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
Earnings per share at Thai Kin Co. Ltd are 7.02 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
The dividend yield of Thai Kin Co. Ltd is 8.5% (payout 124%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
The net margin of Thai Kin Co. Ltd is 14.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Thai Kin Co. Ltd is 17.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Thai Kin Co. Ltd is 15.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
The operating margin of Thai Kin Co. Ltd is 17.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
Revenue at Thai Kin Co. Ltd is growing +73.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629)?
Earnings per share at Thai Kin Co. Ltd are growing +32.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629) generate?
The free cash flow of Thai Kin Co. Ltd is −123M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Thai Kin Co. Ltd (6629) hold?
Thai Kin Co. Ltd holds more cash than debt, 131M TWD net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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