E-Star Commercial Management Company (6668) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$1.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from HK$2.76 to HK$2.78 (+0.7%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +5.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 112% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (72/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$2.08). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.7274 – HK$3.92 · fair‑value band HK$2.08 – HK$3.47 · the HK$1.31 price screens below the HK$2.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
E-Star Commercial Management Company (6668) currently trades at HK$1.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.78, implying the stock looks roughly 112.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, E-Star Commercial Management Company generated revenue of HK$583M at a net margin of 24.5%. Revenue declined 9.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. Net debt stands at HK$169M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$2.08 (bear case) to HK$3.47 (bull case); at HK$1.31, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 112%, 6668 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$2.90) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.8400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
E-Star Commercial Management Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides commercial property operational services to property owners or tenants of commercial properties in the People's Republic of China. It operates through three segments: Entrusted Management Service Model; Brand and Management Output Service Model; and Sublease Service Model.
Full company description
E-Star Commercial Management Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides commercial property operational services to property owners or tenants of commercial properties in the People's Republic of China. It operates through three segments: Entrusted Management Service Model; Brand and Management Output Service Model; and Sublease Service Model. The company offers shopping centers and streets, and commercial complex; positioning, construction consultancy, and tenant sourcing services, which include market positioning, business planning consultancy, design and construction consultancy, and tenant sourcing; and operational management services comprising formulating operation strategies, conducting marketing and promotional events, tenant and property management, and rent collection. It also provides property leasing services, such as sublease of commercial spaces in the commercial properties managed under the sublease service model to tenants; value-added services, including management of common areas in the shopping centers in which customers can rent for a short period for pop-up shops and promotional settings, as well as management of advertising spaces, such as LED boards and interior and exterior facades of the shopping centers; and leases commercial spaces to tenants. The company operates and manages properties under the COCO Park, COCO City, COCO Garden, iCO, and Top Living brands. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China. E-Star Commercial Management Company Limited is a subsidiary of Go Star Investment Holding Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
E-Star Commercial Management Company reported revenue of HK$583M in FY2025 versus HK$572M in FY2021, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$143M in FY2025, compounding −6.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 520 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 223,000 VND | 25,731 VND | -88% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$44.76 | HK$18.03 | -60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$23.90 | HK$18.75 | -22% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 170.00 | kr 75.55 | -56% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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