Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. (6693) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$48.3B (≈ $6.2B)

What is Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. really worth?

CJ Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. 6693 · HK

PriceHK$42.20

Fair ValueHK$48.35

Upside+14.6%

Quality65/100

A solid business, trading 13% below our fair value of HK$48.35.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. is HK$48.35 per share against a price of HK$42.20, so the fair value sits 15% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +22.6 %/yr)

✓Highly profitable · 26.0% net margin

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (9/14)

✓Wide moat 78/100

Risks

!The models disagree: range HK$36.27 to HK$158.03

!Weak on dividend: 15 out of 100

For context

·0.76% dividend yield

Evidence: High Range HK$36.27 – HK$158.03

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$39.04 to HK$48.35 (+23.8%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +18.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

The model range is unusually wide (HK$36.27 to HK$158.03). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (18 months)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

18‑month range HK$12.99 – HK$46.13 · fair‑value band HK$36.27 – HK$158.03 · the HK$42.20 price screens below the HK$48.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. (6693) currently trades at HK$42.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$48.35, implying the stock looks roughly 12.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$115.17 per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$42.20 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$7.86, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. generated revenue of HK$13.8B at a net margin of 26.0%. Revenue grew 47.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$5.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$36.27 (bear case) to HK$158.03 (bull case); at HK$42.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 15%, 6693 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$1.21 per share, which is 2.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$52.24 HK$78.81 HK$163.43 76

Growth DCF HK$49.48 HK$92.40 HK$162.73 75

EPV HK$34.92 HK$39.75 HK$43.98 74

All 26 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$52.24 HK$78.81 HK$163.43 76

Owner Earnings HK$33.86 HK$69.51 HK$144.36 71

5Y Revenue Exit HK$27.98 HK$39.83 HK$64.29 72

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$49.21 HK$82.78 HK$148.60 72

5Y P/E Exit HK$44.54 HK$89.93 HK$151.40 68

10Y Revenue Exit HK$34.88 HK$59.60 HK$72.20 67

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$50.90 HK$105.33 HK$199.96 64

10Y P/E Exit HK$47.49 HK$95.26 HK$172.87 61

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$18.32 HK$127.79 HK$179.33 63

Lynch FV HK$65.44 HK$93.48 HK$121.52 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$65.44 HK$93.48 HK$121.52 57

EPV HK$34.92 HK$39.75 HK$43.98 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$2.38 HK$4.94 HK$7.84 66

DDM Multi-Stage HK$2.38 HK$4.17 HK$5.19 66

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$34.36 HK$45.81 HK$57.26 63

P/S Multiple HK$12.43 HK$16.57 HK$20.72 58

P/B Multiple HK$26.40 HK$35.20 HK$44.00 55

EV/EBIT HK$51.46 HK$66.65 HK$81.84 66

EV/EBITDA HK$46.45 HK$59.97 HK$73.49 67

EV/Revenue HK$17.51 HK$22.48 HK$27.45 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$5.87 HK$7.86 HK$11.73 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$49.48 HK$92.40 HK$162.73 75

Rev-Margin DCF HK$30.01 HK$44.79 HK$76.04 71

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$19.11 HK$27.40 HK$193.06 64

ROIC Compounder HK$42.08 HK$59.05 HK$81.01 71

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$80.62 HK$115.17 HK$149.72 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$115.17) versus Dividend Discount (HK$4.17). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 11.4 as of Jul 2, 2026

P/S ratio 2.79 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) HK$2.09 price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.4

Dividend yield 0.8% payout 15.3%

Net margin 24.4% FY2025

Return on equity 25.8% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8% avg 5y

Operating margin 47.7% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) HK$13.8B TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) +47.7% 3y avg +26.3%

EPS growth (YoY) +79.3%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow HK$3.1B FY2025

Net cash HK$5.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 66

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 86

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 81

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 93

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 16

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 50

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 82

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 87

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 26

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Full company description

Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, mining, beneficiation, and sale of gold in China, Southeast Asia, and West Africa. The company explores for gold, zinc, lead, copper, molybdenum, and silver deposits. It is also involved in polymetallic mining; copper smelting; industrial hazardous waste disposal; waste electrical and electronic product dismantling; resource utilization; and power battery recycling. The company was formerly known as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Group Limited in May 2026. Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Group Limited was founded in 1998 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. reported revenue of 12.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +35.2%/yr. Reported net income was 3.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding +51.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Latest Revenue (FY 2025)

HK$12.6B

Latest YoY

+40.0%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+26.3%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+22.6%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+15.9%

Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.

≈ +37.8% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in HKD

Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.

Earnings growth per share+37.0%

Dividend yield0.8%

Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 37.0% vs 10Y 22.3%, picking up

Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22.3% (2020) → 39.3% (2025) · rising

Worst earnings drop118% (2018) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in HKD

⚠ Rate leans on 2025: that final year sits 245% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain) and could not be adjusted

Revenue +35.2%/yr

FY21 3.8B CNY

FY22 6.3B CNY

FY23 7.2B CNY

FY24 9.0B CNY

FY25 12.6B CNY

Net income +51.7%/yr

FY21 583M CNY

FY22 451M CNY

FY23 804M CNY

FY24 1.8B CNY

FY25 3.1B CNY

Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +20.0 % p.a.

Revenue per share +18.2 %

of which total revenue +22.8 % · buybacks/dilution −3.7 %

EBIT margin +3.4 %

Tax rate −0.9 %

Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. · Fair Value
HK$48.35 +13%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6693.HK

Peer Group

Gold · 244 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside −41% · Below median

Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%

Return on assets 16% · Top 25%

Net margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 48% · Above median

Revenue growth 48% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median

Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.4× · Cheaper than median

P/B 3.60× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 3.50× · Pricier than median

P/FCF 2.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE0 · sector 0

FUTURE100 · sector 100

PAST100 · sector 1

HEALTH100 · sector 98

DIVIDEND15 · sector 20

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL	$128.00	$112.82	−12%
Zijin Mining Group 601899	¥32.21	¥39.42	+22%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM	C$268.76	C$213.40	−21%
Barrick Mining Corporation B	$41.23	$50.66	+23%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV	$266.18	$96.63	−64%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM	C$201.40	C$56.05	−72%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU	$97.92	$88.63	−9%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC	$30.87	$34.62	+12%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD	$262.85	$93.56	−64%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST	A$23.19	A$15.98	−31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. (6693) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$48.35 versus a price of HK$42.20, about +15% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 6693?

Our model-based fair value for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. is HK$48.35 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$42.20.

What is the quality score of 6693?

Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. (6693)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$48.35 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$36.27, optimistic scenario HK$158.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$48.35, about +15% upside versus a price of HK$42.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$36.27, optimistic scenario HK$158.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. (6693)?

Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$13.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 6693?

The net profit margin of Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. is about 26.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. pay a dividend?

Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co.,Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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