Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A ¥4.23, price ¥36.43, upside -88.4%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value ¥4.23 · Strongly overvalued (−88.4%)
!Quality 55/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +18.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers(3/13)
!Narrow moat23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥18.86 – ¥75.45 · fair‑value band ¥3.14 – ¥4.23 · the ¥36.43 price screens above the ¥4.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co.,Ltd., engages in the research, development, production, and sale of industrial UAV-related products in China and internationally.
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Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co.,Ltd., engages in the research, development, production, and sale of industrial UAV-related products in China and internationally. The company offers drones, controllers, payloads, and software products, including FlightSurv, a cloud-based drone mapping software for flight planning, data collection, processing, and analysis; Eagle Map, a software solution for drone security and surveillance operations; and Jocloud, an intelligent unattended system management platform. Its products are used in mapping and surveying, security and surveillance, mining and aggregates, oil and gas, power line inspection, 5G networking, emergency response, smart city, environment, traffic inspection, water resources, and construction industries. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Chengdu, China.
Stock analysis
Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070) currently trades at ¥36.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.23, implying the stock looks roughly 761.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥8.57 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥36.43 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.6400, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥3.14 (bear) to ¥4.23 (bull), the price of ¥36.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 621M CNY in FY2025 versus 250M CNY in FY2021, a compound +25.5%/yr. Reported net income was 11.6M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.3B CNY (≈ $486M) · P/E ratio 158.4 · P/S ratio 2.97 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2300 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −88%, 688070 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.6400 to ¥12.02). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥3.14Fair Value ¥4.23Bull ¥4.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1708 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+31.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−26.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 3%
Compare Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 214 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−88.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.4% · Below median
Return on assets2.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−27.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth34.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)158.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.49× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)5.15× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA40.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 66
PAST (return on equity)14· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)3· sector 39
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688070
Frequently asked questions
Is Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.23 versus a price of ¥36.43, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688070?
Our model-based fair value for Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A is ¥4.23 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥36.43.
What is the quality score of 688070?
Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.23 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.14, optimistic scenario ¥4.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.23, about −88% upside versus a price of ¥36.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.14, optimistic scenario ¥4.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 634M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A it is ¥4.23 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of ¥36.43. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 688070 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥36.43, fair value ¥4.23, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688070?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥36.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.23). For Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥32.20 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A at about 3.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is ¥36.43; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688070?
Our models span a range for Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥3.14, base ¥4.23, optimistic ¥4.23 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price ¥36.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688070?
Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 158.4 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥4.23 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.5, P/S 5.1, EV/EBITDA 40.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 3.4%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688070 from its 52-week high?
Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥36.43, about 46% below its 52-week high of ¥68.00 and 21% above the low of ¥30.05 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Seagate Technology Holdings, Western Digital Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price ¥36.43, calculated fair value ¥4.23 (−88%), Quality Score 55/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688070 calculated?
We run Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.23, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥36.43. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.23, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
The market capitalisation of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A is 3.3B CNY (≈ $486M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A is 2.97 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
Earnings per share at Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.2300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 158.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
The dividend yield of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A is 0.1% (payout 22.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
The net margin of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A is 1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A is −2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
The operating margin of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A is −27.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
Revenue at Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A is growing +34.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070)?
Earnings per share at Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A are growing +52.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070) generate?
The free cash flow of Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A is −111M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A (688070) hold?
Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co. Ltd. A holds more cash than debt, 61.9M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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