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Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · CN · ISIN CNE1000040K5

JJ Some data Sep 13, 2026

Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd

688096 · SHG

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥0.7800 · Strongly overvalued (−90%)
!Quality 35/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +6.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -16.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range ¥0.1560 to ¥2.10
!Weak on dividend: 25 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥15.01 ¥3.18 Fair Value ¥0.7800 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.18 – ¥15.01 · fair‑value band ¥0.1560 – ¥2.10 · the ¥7.78 price screens above the ¥0.7800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co.,Ltd. provides water treatment solutions in China.

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Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co.,Ltd. provides water treatment solutions in China. The company offers industrial waste treatment equipment and systems, including electronic flocculation equipment, a set of equipment for zero discharge of difficult wastewater, electrocatalytic oxidation equipment, and JYEP nanocrystal electrode super oxidation green treatment equipment. It also provides water supply treatment systems, such as raw water pretreatment and demineralized water preparation systems that are used in the water supply treatment. In addition, the company engages in the special equipment design, consulting, system integration, sales, and engineering contracting businesses. It serves the power, steel, chemical, municipal, and metal products industries. Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Nantong, China.

Stock analysis

Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096) currently trades at ¥7.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.7800, implying the stock looks roughly 897.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.44 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥7.78 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥0.5500, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥0.1560 (bear) to ¥2.10 (bull), the price of ¥7.78 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd reported revenue of 474M CNY in FY2025 versus 422M CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −66.9M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.0B CNY (≈ $301M) · P/S ratio 4.36 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3300 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin −14.1% · Return on equity −8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% · Operating margin 1.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −90%, 688096 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.1560 Fair Value ¥0.7800 Bull ¥2.10
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥1.41 ¥2.80 ¥4.24 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.41 ¥2.42 ¥2.96 67
10Y EBITDA Exit n/a ¥0.5500 ¥1.91 65
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.0300 ¥0.7700 ¥2.09 64
10Y EBITDA Exit n/a ¥0.5500 ¥1.91 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.41 ¥2.80 ¥4.24 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.41 ¥2.42 ¥2.96 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.3200 ¥0.6300 ¥0.9300 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.82 ¥2.44 ¥3.64 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 33
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 37/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
20.2% (2020) → −13.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

688096 screens 897% overvalued. Compare with American Water Works Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 63 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.30× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.35× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.65× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 24,562.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)85 · sector 63
DIVIDEND (yield)25 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
American Water Works Company AWK $137.69 $65.80 −52%
SBS SBS $5.29 $8.22 +55%
Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG $41.07 $23.28 −43%
Guangdong Investment Limited 0270 HK$8.55 HK$12.82 +50%
Grandblue Environment Co 600323 ¥29.54 ¥49.96 +69%
American States Water Company AWR $86.48 $38.40 −56%
Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 ¥7.08 ¥9.09 +28%
California Water Service Group CWT $48.22 $25.75 −47%
Chongqing Water Group 601158 ¥4.10 ¥1.76 −57%
H2O America, through its subsidiaries, HTO $62.66 $29.35 −53%

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Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥0.7800 −897%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688096

Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.7800 versus a price of ¥7.78, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688096?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd is ¥0.7800 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.78.
What is the quality score of 688096?
Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.7800 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.1560, optimistic scenario ¥2.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.7800, about −90% upside versus a price of ¥7.78 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.1560, optimistic scenario ¥2.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 464M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd it is ¥0.7800 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥7.78. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 688096 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.78, fair value ¥0.7800, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688096?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.78); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.7800). For Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd the two are ¥7.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd worth?
The market values Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd at about 2.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.78; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.7800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688096?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.1560, base ¥0.7800, optimistic ¥2.10 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥7.78). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −8.5%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688096 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd trades at ¥7.78, about 50% below its 52-week high of ¥15.50 and 11% above the low of ¥6.98 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.7800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, SBS, Essential Utilities, Inc, Guangdong Investment Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥7.78, calculated fair value ¥0.7800 (−90%), Quality Score 35/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688096 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.7800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥0.1560 to ¥2.10). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 2.0B CNY (≈ $301M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 4.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd are ¥−0.3300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 1.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd is −14.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd is −8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd is growing −12.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd are growing −87.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096) generate?
The free cash flow of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 12.3K CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd (688096) carry?
The net debt of Jiangsu Jingyuan Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 415M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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