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Zhejiang Lante Optics Co (688127) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 32.2B CNY

ZL Zhejiang Lante Optics Co 688127 · SHG
Price¥66.95
Fair Value¥19.13
Upside-71.4%
Quality68/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 27.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.37% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 83/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥11.03 – ¥40.68 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −14.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥40.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥11.03 to ¥40.68). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥103.94 ¥11.52 Fair Value ¥19.13 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.52 – ¥103.94 · fair‑value band ¥11.03 – ¥40.68 · the ¥66.95 price screens above the ¥19.13 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Lante Optics Co (688127) currently trades at ¥66.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.13, implying the stock looks roughly 71.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Lante Optics Co generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 27.3%. Revenue grew 76.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 53.3M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.03 (bear case) to ¥40.68 (bull case); at ¥66.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 192% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -71%, 688127 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥4.60 ¥8.51 ¥14.90 80
Residual Income ¥6.40 ¥8.68 ¥35.48 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.88 ¥14.57 ¥28.49 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.85 ¥7.27 ¥14.97 38
Owner Earnings ¥5.41 ¥11.51 ¥24.30 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.15 ¥12.83 ¥24.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.65 ¥25.99 ¥50.26 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥12.63 ¥30.06 ¥54.28 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.31 ¥15.22 ¥21.56 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.35 ¥29.23 ¥61.91 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥10.60 ¥27.02 ¥55.05 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.51 ¥45.37 ¥63.67 54
Lynch FV ¥22.54 ¥32.19 ¥41.85 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥22.54 ¥32.19 ¥41.85 46
EPV ¥9.81 ¥11.34 ¥12.68 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.82 ¥3.79 ¥6.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.82 ¥3.20 ¥3.98 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥14.35 ¥19.13 ¥23.92 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.10 ¥9.46 ¥11.83 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.13 ¥16.18 ¥20.22 55
EV/EBIT ¥15.32 ¥20.22 ¥25.11 53
EV/EBITDA ¥16.34 ¥21.58 ¥26.82 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.26 ¥10.10 ¥12.93 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.70 ¥3.61 ¥5.39 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.60 ¥8.51 ¥14.90 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.88 ¥14.57 ¥28.49 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.40 ¥8.68 ¥35.48 76
ROIC Compounder ¥13.34 ¥20.98 ¥25.80 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥29.24 ¥41.78 ¥54.31 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥41.78) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.20). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +76.5%
Net margin 27.3%
Return on equity 22.5%
Free cash flow 102M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 67.7
More key figures
Operating margin 34.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.17
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +191%
Net cash 53.3M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 83
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 18
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Lante Optics Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells optical products in China and internationally. The company offers prisms, lenses, windows, and filters; micro prisms and micro glass sphere/aspheric lens; rearview mirrors, LOGO projectors, and automotive lens; substrate, carriers, packing, and etching wafers, as well as through glass via; small lens, …

Full company description

Zhejiang Lante Optics Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells optical products in China and internationally. The company offers prisms, lenses, windows, and filters; micro prisms and micro glass sphere/aspheric lens; rearview mirrors, LOGO projectors, and automotive lens; substrate, carriers, packing, and etching wafers, as well as through glass via; small lens, PBS prisms, and etching glass. It also provides imaging glass aspherical lens, laser collimators, FSC lens, and optical communication lens; projection, TOF, low light level, and special industry lens; and MLA micro lens array lightcarpet, headlamps, and interior and safety projection. The company also exports its products. In addition, its products are used in telescopes, microscopes, mobile phones, AR/VR, digital cameras, lasers, security monitors, multimedia projectors, sights, image measuring equipment, and automobile interior and exterior decorations. Further, the company serves traditional optics, optoelectronic displays, photovoltaics, automobiles, lighting, optical communications, semiconductors, consumer electronics, medical, virtual/augmented reality, and other industries. The company was formerly known as Jiaxing Lante Optical Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Zhejiang Lante Optics Co., Ltd. in May 2011. Zhejiang Lante Optics Co., Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Jiaxing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Lante Optics Co reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥415M in FY2021, a compound +38.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥388M in FY2025, compounding +29.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+48.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+59.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+28.5%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+25.8%
Revenue +38.7%/yr
FY21 ¥415M
FY22 ¥380M
FY23 ¥754M
FY24 ¥1.0B
FY25 ¥1.5B
Net income +29.1%/yr
FY21 ¥140M
FY22 ¥96.1M
FY23 ¥180M
FY24 ¥221M
FY25 ¥388M

688127 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Lante Optics Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688127

Peer Group

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 211 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 77% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 67.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 14.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 18.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 46.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 42.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 58
PAST 90 · sector 30
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 7 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML C$50.50 C$15.57 -69%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $579.43 $143.08 -75%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $346.10 $67.57 -80%
KLA Corporation KLAC $212.75 $53.01 -75%
NAURA Technology Group 002371 ¥774.20 ¥151.43 -80%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥350.69 ¥41.79 -88%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥832.00 ¥431.44 -48%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 6,005 TWD 1,804 TWD -70%
Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 ¥325.24 ¥33.33 -90%
MPI Corporation 6223 5,600 TWD 609.44 TWD -89%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Lante Optics Co (688127) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥19.13 versus a price of ¥66.95, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688127?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Lante Optics Co is ¥19.13 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥66.95.
What is the quality score of 688127?
Zhejiang Lante Optics Co has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Lante Optics Co (688127)?
Zhejiang Lante Optics Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688127?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Lante Optics Co is about 27.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhejiang Lante Optics Co pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Lante Optics Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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