Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A ¥14.70, price ¥94.70, upside -84.5%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥18.86 – ¥162.09 · fair‑value band ¥10.25 – ¥19.11 · the ¥94.70 price screens above the ¥14.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co.,Ltd develops, produces, and sells components for motion control and human-machine interaction in China. It offers industrial automation standards and intelligent hardware products.
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Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co.,Ltd develops, produces, and sells components for motion control and human-machine interaction in China. It offers industrial automation standards and intelligent hardware products. The company provides human machine interfaces; programmable logic controllers; motion control, which includes AC servo, DC servo, and stepper systems, as well as motion controllers; and variable frequency drives. It also offers servo drivers and servo motors, including synchronous motors and encoders. Its products are used in factory and e-commerce logistics, and medical image equipment industries. Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co.,Ltd was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160) currently trades at ¥94.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.70, 84.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥16.69 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥94.70 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥3.53, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥10.25 (bear) to ¥19.11 (bull), the price of ¥94.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 724M CNY in FY2025 versus 537M CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was 72.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 10.0B CNY (≈ $1.5B) · P/E ratio 111.4 · P/S ratio 11.2 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.8500 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 10.0% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −84%, 688160 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥10.25Fair Value ¥14.70Bull ¥19.11
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4159 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
’19
’20
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+0.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 12%
Compare Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 782 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−84.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.1% · Above median
Return on assets3.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)8.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth43.2% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)111.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B7.75× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)12.87× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)28· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)6· sector 26
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688160
Frequently asked questions
Is Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.70 versus a price of ¥94.70, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688160?
Our model-based fair value for Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A is ¥14.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥94.70.
What is the quality score of 688160?
Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥14.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥10.25, optimistic scenario ¥19.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥14.70, about −84% upside versus a price of ¥94.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥10.25, optimistic scenario ¥19.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 781M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.32% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A it is ¥14.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥94.70. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688160 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥94.70, fair value ¥14.70, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688160?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥94.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥14.70). For Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥80.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A at about 10.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥94.70; our models calculate a fair value of ¥14.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688160?
Our models span a range for Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥10.25, base ¥14.70, optimistic ¥19.11 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥94.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688160?
Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 111.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥14.70 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.8, P/S 12.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688160 from its 52-week high?
Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥94.70, about 42% below its 52-week high of ¥162.09 and 16% above the low of ¥81.76 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥14.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥94.70, calculated fair value ¥14.70 (−84%), Quality Score 41/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688160 calculated?
We run Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥14.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥94.70. Our model-based fair value is ¥14.70, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥19.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥10.25 to ¥19.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
The market capitalisation of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A is 10.0B CNY (≈ $1.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A is 11.2 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
Earnings per share at Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.8500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 111.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
The dividend yield of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A is 0.3% (payout 35.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
The net margin of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A is 10.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
The operating margin of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
Revenue at Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A is growing +43.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160)?
Earnings per share at Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A are growing +15.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A (688160) generate?
The free cash flow of Kinco Automation (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. A is 469K CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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