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EGL Holdings Company Ltd (6882) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$229M

EH EGL Holdings Company Ltd 6882 · HK
PriceHK$0.4950
Fair ValueHK$1.35
Upside+172.7%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.3% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
7.78% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.9100 – HK$1.80 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +5.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 173% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.9100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.9100 to HK$1.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.8124 HK$0.2847 Fair Value HK$1.35 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2847 – HK$0.8124 · fair‑value band HK$0.9100 – HK$1.80 · the HK$0.4950 price screens below the HK$1.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

EGL Holdings Company Ltd (6882) currently trades at HK$0.4950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.35, implying the stock looks roughly 172.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, EGL Holdings Company Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.5B at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue declined 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.7%. Net debt stands at HK$212M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.9100 (bear case) to HK$1.80 (bull case); at HK$0.4950, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at 173%, 6882 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$1.93 HK$3.12 HK$4.98 80
Residual Income HK$0.3300 HK$0.3900 HK$1.00 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.47 HK$2.41 HK$4.39 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$2.06 HK$2.89 HK$5.32 38
Owner Earnings HK$1.33 HK$2.63 HK$4.89 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.34 HK$2.10 HK$3.67 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.68 HK$2.77 HK$4.91 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$1.46 HK$2.88 HK$4.74 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.58 HK$2.91 HK$3.61 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.81 HK$3.52 HK$6.35 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$1.68 HK$3.13 HK$5.35 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.4700 HK$3.28 HK$4.60 54
Lynch FV HK$1.61 HK$2.30 HK$2.99 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$1.61 HK$2.30 HK$2.99 46
EPV HK$0.4800 HK$0.5400 HK$0.5900 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.4200 HK$0.7000 HK$0.9100 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.4200 HK$0.6600 HK$0.7500 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.14 HK$1.52 HK$1.90 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.8800 HK$1.17 HK$1.47 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.6300 HK$0.8400 HK$1.06 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.32 HK$1.76 HK$2.21 53
EV/EBITDA HK$1.46 HK$1.95 HK$2.45 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.8900 HK$1.27 HK$1.65 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2100 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.93 HK$3.12 HK$4.98 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.47 HK$2.41 HK$4.39 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.3300 HK$0.3900 HK$1.00 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.6000 HK$0.8500 HK$1.11 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$2.16 HK$3.08 HK$4.00 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$3.08) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.1%
Net margin 2.3%
Return on equity 34.7%
Free cash flow HK$87.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.5 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 5.6%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
Dividend yield 7.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -21.0%
Net debt HK$212M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

EGL Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides package tours in Hong Kong, Macau, Japan, and internationally. It operates through Travel Related Business and Hotel Business segments.

Full company description

EGL Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides package tours in Hong Kong, Macau, Japan, and internationally. It operates through Travel Related Business and Hotel Business segments. The company also offers free independent travellers (FIT) packages; individual travel elements; and ancillary travel related products and services comprising sale of air tickets, hotel accommodation, public transportation tickets, theme park admission tickets, local tours in overseas, transportation rental services, and travel insurance services. In addition, it owns, develops, and manages a hotel. The company was founded in 1987 and is based in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. EGL Holdings Company Limited is a subsidiary of Evergloss Management Group Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EGL Holdings Company Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.5B in FY2025 versus HK$44.6M in FY2021, a compound +141.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$34.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.5B
Latest YoY
−7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+97.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+43.3%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Revenue +141.3%/yr
FY21 HK$44.6M
FY22 HK$196M
FY23 HK$1.4B
FY24 HK$1.6B
FY25 HK$1.5B
Net income
FY21 −HK$156M
FY22 −HK$74.3M
FY23 HK$71.7M
FY24 HK$70.7M
FY25 HK$34.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −4.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share −2.3 pp

of which total revenue −1.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp

EBIT margin +0.7 pp
Tax rate −1.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EGL Holdings Company Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6882

Peer Group

Travel Services · 92 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +173% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth -6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.58× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.15× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 27
PAST 100 · sector 35
HEALTH 21 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Booking Holdings BKNG $212.26 $152.94 -28%
Airbnb, Inc ABNB $180.10 $85.66 -52%
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL $307.15 $215.19 -30%
Viking Holdings VIK $104.19 $43.68 -58%
Carnival Corporation CCL $27.67 $31.36 +13%
Expedia Group EXPE $325.57 $248.63 -24%
Trip.com Group TCOM $45.58 $89.04 +95%
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH $18.92 $20.28 +7%
Global Business Travel Group GBTG $9.44 $5.04 -47%
Travel + Leisure Co TNL $74.68 $26.57 -64%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EGL Holdings Company Ltd (6882) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.35 versus a price of HK$0.4950, about +173% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6882?
Our model-based fair value for EGL Holdings Company Ltd is HK$1.35 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.4950.
What is the quality score of 6882?
EGL Holdings Company Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of EGL Holdings Company Ltd (6882)?
EGL Holdings Company Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6882?
The net profit margin of EGL Holdings Company Ltd is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does EGL Holdings Company Ltd pay a dividend?
EGL Holdings Company Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.78% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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