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Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc (688265) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 2.5B CNY

SM Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc 688265 · SHG
Price¥46.55
Fair Value¥11.77
Upside-74.7%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: High Range ¥8.24 – ¥12.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +28.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥73.40 ¥19.62 Fair Value ¥11.77 Dec 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range ¥19.62 – ¥73.40 · fair‑value band ¥8.24 – ¥12.07 · the ¥46.55 price screens above the ¥11.77 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc (688265) currently trades at ¥46.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.77, implying the stock looks roughly 74.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc generated revenue of 433M CNY at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 13.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 148M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.24 (bear case) to ¥12.07 (bull case); at ¥46.55, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -75%, 688265 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥11.16 ¥19.45 ¥34.80 80
Residual Income ¥15.13 ¥14.23 ¥10.89 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.32 ¥11.71 ¥18.24 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥11.64 ¥17.90 ¥35.51 38
Owner Earnings ¥9.78 ¥19.50 ¥39.17 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.32 ¥11.03 ¥18.13 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.66 ¥22.56 ¥40.72 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥9.41 ¥16.86 ¥26.33 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.47 ¥13.66 ¥19.14 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.30 ¥23.62 ¥44.41 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥10.05 ¥17.57 ¥30.21 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.83 ¥19.73 ¥27.68 54
Lynch FV ¥5.94 ¥8.48 ¥11.03 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.94 ¥8.48 ¥11.03 46
EPV ¥5.00 ¥5.51 ¥5.95 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.13 ¥2.25 ¥3.40 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.13 ¥1.94 ¥2.37 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.86 ¥9.15 ¥11.44 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.30 ¥7.07 ¥8.84 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.30 ¥7.07 ¥8.84 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.80 ¥8.47 ¥10.14 53
EV/EBITDA ¥13.34 ¥17.20 ¥21.05 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.36 ¥6.90 ¥8.43 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥10.96 ¥14.69 ¥21.92 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.16 ¥19.45 ¥34.80 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.32 ¥11.71 ¥18.24 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥15.13 ¥14.23 ¥10.89 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.00 ¥5.51 ¥5.95 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.24 ¥11.77 ¥15.30 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥17.57) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 433M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.0%
Net margin 7.7%
Return on equity 2.0%
Free cash flow 51.3M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 72.8
More key figures
Operating margin 2.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4400
EPS growth (YoY) -61.4%
Net cash 148M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc. engages research and development, production, sale, and related technical services of genetically modified animal models. The company uses model organisms, such as mice, rats, zebrafish, and nematodes as carriers which uses gene editing technology to introduce or delete target DNA fragments.

Full company description

Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc. engages research and development, production, sale, and related technical services of genetically modified animal models. The company uses model organisms, such as mice, rats, zebrafish, and nematodes as carriers which uses gene editing technology to introduce or delete target DNA fragments. It offers toolbox of mice; disease mice, such as rare, infectious, and nervous system diseases, cardio-metabolic, autoimmune, and spontaneous tumor; and target humanized knockins, which includes tumor targets, immune checkpoint, complements, cytokines, and metabolic and other targets, as well as cytokine reporters, inducible cell ablation, and cell-specific reporters. The company also provides other models comprising rats, such as humanized drug target, immunodeficient, diseases, reporters, and cre-drivers; standard strains including inbred and outbred; cells model, which includes reporter labeled, primary, wild-type, and other; and supporting solutions including colony management, such as cryopreservation and cryorecovery, housing and management, genotyping analysis, and breeding services, as well as auxiliary apparatuses, such as e-BLOT WB imaging system. In addition, it offers model customization including includes gene editing technology, such as ES cell targeting, CRISPR gene editing, and transgene; genetically engineered type model, which includes conventional and conditional knockout; KO first, knock-in, point mutation, conditional point mutation, humanization, targeted conditional overexpression, and random transgene; and surgery and preconditioning. Further, the company provides preclinical services, which includes non-GLP toxicology, pharmacokinetics, phenotype analysis, and pharmacology and pharmacodynamics. It offers treatment for various therapeutic areas, such as oncology; nervous system, autoimmune, and digestive system diseases. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc reported revenue of ¥421M in FY2025 versus ¥275M in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥32.4M in FY2025, compounding −14.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
421M CNY
Latest YoY
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.5%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.0%
Revenue +11.2%/yr
FY21 ¥275M
FY22 ¥303M
FY23 ¥367M
FY24 ¥381M
FY25 ¥421M
Net income −14.6%/yr
FY21 ¥60.9M
FY22 −¥5.4M
FY23 −¥20.6M
FY24 ¥6.5M
FY25 ¥32.4M

688265 screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688265

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 72.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.46× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.77× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 57.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 65 · sector 0
PAST 8 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc (688265) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.77 versus a price of ¥46.55, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688265?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc is ¥11.77 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥46.55.
What is the quality score of 688265?
Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc (688265)?
Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 433M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688265?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Model Organisms Center, Inc is about 7.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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