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Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co (688420) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.0B CNY

TM Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co 688420 · SHG
Price¥22.40
Fair Value¥11.31
Upside-49.5%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -0.9% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥9.29 – ¥12.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥12.75 to ¥11.31 (−11.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥52.95 ¥17.73 Fair Value ¥11.31 Dec 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

44‑month range ¥17.73 – ¥52.95 · fair‑value band ¥9.29 – ¥12.16 · the ¥22.40 price screens above the ¥11.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co (688420) currently trades at ¥22.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.31, implying the stock looks roughly 49.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co generated revenue of 500M CNY at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue declined 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.4%. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.29 (bear case) to ¥12.16 (bull case); at ¥22.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -50%, 688420 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥1.11 ¥1.35 ¥1.58 70
ROIC Compounder ¥9.16 ¥9.34 ¥9.48 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.11 ¥1.42 ¥1.76 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥9.16 ¥9.34 ¥9.48 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.11 ¥1.35 ¥1.58 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.11 ¥1.42 ¥1.76 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥10.45 ¥11.31 ¥12.16 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.65 ¥14.24 ¥15.82 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.72 ¥10.50 ¥11.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥8.05 ¥10.78 ¥16.09 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥9.16 ¥9.34 ¥9.48 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥11.31) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.35). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 500M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.0%
Net margin -0.9%
Return on equity -0.4%
Free cash flow −39.3M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 3.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) +66.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co., Ltd engages in the research, development, design, manufacture, and sale of coal and mineral sorting equipment, intelligent systems and instrument, and other related intelligent management systems in China.

Full company description

Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co., Ltd engages in the research, development, design, manufacture, and sale of coal and mineral sorting equipment, intelligent systems and instrument, and other related intelligent management systems in China. The company offers Intelligent sorting and equipment products, such as intelligent dry separator, intelligent photoelectric sorter, intelligent ladder flow dry separator, intelligent coarse slime separator, intelligent small particle size dry separator, and digital converter cyclone. It also provides intelligent systems for the production process, production management system, intelligent electromechanical management, and intelligent shipping integrated management platform. In addition, the company offers smart instruments, x-ray induces ash meter, x-ray induces slurry ash meter, tailings image analyzer, smart dosing station, visual mechanical isolator VMI, sorting effect detector, and the eye of wisdom, as well as offers cloud open management platform, and industrial IoT platform. Additionally, the company offers coal and mining solutions. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Tianjin, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co reported revenue of ¥512M in FY2025 versus ¥384M in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥5.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 28/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
512M CNY
Latest YoY
−6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.7%
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY21 ¥384M
FY22 ¥489M
FY23 ¥570M
FY24 ¥546M
FY25 ¥512M
Net income
FY21 ¥85.9M
FY22 ¥125M
FY23 ¥74.2M
FY24 ¥40.7M
FY25 −¥5.9M

688420 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688420

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −50% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co (688420) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.31 versus a price of ¥22.40, about −50% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688420?
Our model-based fair value for Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co is ¥11.31 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥22.40.
What is the quality score of 688420?
Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co (688420)?
Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 500M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688420?
The net profit margin of Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co is about -0.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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