GreenTech Environmental Co (688466) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 1.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥7.10 to ¥7.06 (−0.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥4.80 to ¥8.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.36 – ¥25.16 · fair‑value band ¥4.80 – ¥8.82 · the ¥13.80 price screens above the ¥7.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
GreenTech Environmental Co (688466) currently trades at ¥13.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.06, implying the stock looks roughly 48.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, GreenTech Environmental Co generated revenue of 534M CNY at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue declined 35.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. Net debt stands at 44.7M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.80 (bear case) to ¥8.82 (bull case); at ¥13.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -49%, 688466 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥7.06) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GreenTech Environmental Co., Ltd. engages in the water treatment and waste-to-resources projects in the People's Republic of China. It focuses on engineering, construction, operation, management, and finance of projects in the areas of wastewater treatment and upgradation, and water environment using membrane technologies.
Full company description
GreenTech Environmental Co., Ltd. engages in the water treatment and waste-to-resources projects in the People's Republic of China. It focuses on engineering, construction, operation, management, and finance of projects in the areas of wastewater treatment and upgradation, and water environment using membrane technologies. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GreenTech Environmental Co reported revenue of ¥580M in FY2025 versus ¥560M in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥50.7M in FY2025, compounding −5.0%/yr from FY2021.
688466 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with American Water Works Company →
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Water · 67 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Water Works Company AWK | $134.33 | $65.80 | -51% |
| SBSP3 SBSP3 | R$29.22 | R$31.23 | +7% |
| SBS SBS | $5.79 | $5.21 | -10% |
| Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG | $38.59 | $21.81 | -43% |
| CSMG3 CSMG3 | R$66.10 | R$60.17 | -9% |
| Grandblue Environment Co 600323 | ¥29.42 | ¥33.29 | +13% |
| American States Water Company AWR | $85.01 | $48.02 | -44% |
| Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 | ¥6.97 | ¥10.74 | +54% |
| California Water Service Group CWT | $49.73 | $33.56 | -33% |
| Chongqing Water Group 601158 | ¥4.12 | ¥2.77 | -33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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