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Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co (688484) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 18.5B CNY

SS Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co 688484 · SHG
Price¥35.95
Fair Value¥11.14
Upside-69.0%
Quality46/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 5.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.62% dividend yield
Trails peers (1/12)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range ¥8.35 – ¥13.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥11.51 to ¥11.14 (−3.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −22.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥57.71 ¥22.80 Fair Value ¥11.14 Apr 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range ¥22.80 – ¥57.71 · fair‑value band ¥8.35 – ¥13.92 · the ¥35.95 price screens above the ¥11.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co (688484) currently trades at ¥35.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.14, implying the stock looks roughly 69.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 10.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.35 (bear case) to ¥13.92 (bull case); at ¥35.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -69%, 688484 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.64 ¥7.85 ¥7.83 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.41 ¥9.20 ¥10.09 72
Gordon GGM ¥1.83 ¥3.80 ¥6.03 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥5.70 ¥8.23 ¥13.54 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.79 ¥26.40 ¥37.05 54
Lynch FV ¥13.64 ¥19.49 ¥25.33 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥13.64 ¥19.49 ¥25.33 46
EPV ¥8.41 ¥9.20 ¥9.88 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.83 ¥3.80 ¥6.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.83 ¥3.21 ¥3.99 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.35 ¥11.14 ¥13.92 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.10 ¥9.46 ¥11.83 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.10 ¥9.46 ¥11.83 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.11 ¥13.57 ¥16.04 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.42 ¥12.66 ¥14.89 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.70 ¥10.84 ¥12.97 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.88 ¥6.54 ¥9.76 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.64 ¥7.85 ¥7.83 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.41 ¥9.20 ¥10.09 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥17.58 ¥25.11 ¥32.64 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥25.11) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.21). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.5%
Net margin 5.4%
Return on equity 4.3%
Free cash flow −321M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 102.8
More key figures
Operating margin 0.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4200
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -93.3%
Net cash 1.9B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 54
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, and sale of analog and embedded chips in China and internationally.

Full company description

Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, and sale of analog and embedded chips in China and internationally. The company offers automotive power ICs comprising buck-boost/boost, buck, LDOs, and PMIC/SBC; automotive driver ICs consisting of high side and motor drivers, eFuses, and interfaces; automotive charging ICs, including USB charging interfaces and all in one, and wireless power stages; general dc-dc products, such as buck-boost DC-DC, buck DC-DC, and boost DC-DC; load switches; and industrial high voltage chargers. It also provides PFC controllers; flyback converters comprising USB-PD SSR flyback controllers and SR with integrated GaN; synchronous rectifier controllers; PD/DPDM controllers; AMOLED PMIC and LPDDR; switching chargers, such as buck-boost, buck, and boost chargers; charge pump and linear chargers; wireless chargers, including wireless transmitters and receivers; battery protectors; and microcontrollers, which include entry level RISC-V and power MCUs. The company's products are used in automotive applications comprising zone controllers, smart junction boxes, smart cockpits, smart driving, and in-vehicle USC and wireless charging; industrial computing applications consisting of portable energy storage, building automation, GPS tracker, and vacuum robots; and consumer electronics applications, such as phone battery packs, smartphones, tablets, power banks, TWS, smart watches, chargers, laptops, hubs, docking, monitors, and smart speakers. In addition, it provides science and technology promotion and application; and trade, research and development, and technical services. Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co., Ltd. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co reported revenue of ¥3.3B in FY2025 versus ¥984M in FY2021, a compound +34.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥238M in FY2025, compounding −0.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+27.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+35.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+78.8%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+76.6%
Revenue +34.9%/yr
FY21 ¥984M
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥1.8B
FY24 ¥2.6B
FY25 ¥3.3B
Net income −0.6%/yr
FY21 ¥244M
FY22 ¥246M
FY23 ¥261M
FY24 ¥307M
FY25 ¥238M

688484 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688484

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 319 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −69% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 11% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 102.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.42× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.54× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 53 · sector 60
PAST 17 · sector 24
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 12 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $211.80 $96.91 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $398.37 $207.49 -48%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €367.75 €121.25 -67%
Micron Technology, Inc 1MU €784.90 €185.67 -76%
SK hynix Inc 000660 2,082,000 KRW 1,109,311 KRW -47%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €425.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$68.40 C$9.82 -86%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $311.46 $59.75 -81%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,740 TWD 1,163 TWD -69%
SK Square Co 402340 1,212,000 KRW 868,000 KRW -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co (688484) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.14 versus a price of ¥35.95, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688484?
Our model-based fair value for Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co is ¥11.14 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥35.95.
What is the quality score of 688484?
Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co (688484)?
Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688484?
The net profit margin of Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co is about 5.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co pay a dividend?
Southchip Semiconductor Technology(Shanghai) Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.62% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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