Guangdong Lyric Robot Automation Co (688499) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.9B CNY

A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥16.96 – ¥260.49 · fair‑value band ¥6.03 – ¥8.85 · the ¥36.82 price screens above the ¥8.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Lyric Robot Automation Co (688499) currently trades at ¥36.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.03, implying the stock looks roughly 78.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Lyric Robot Automation Co generated revenue of 3.2B CNY at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 22.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at 479M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.03 (bear case) to ¥8.85 (bull case); at ¥36.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -78%, 688499 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥39.43) versus Economic Profit (¥3.93). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Guangdong Lyric Robot Automation Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of intelligent equipment in China and Internationally.

Full company description

Guangdong Lyric Robot Automation Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of intelligent equipment in China and Internationally. It provides EV prismatic, cylindrical Li, and EV pouch battery cells; and coating machines, laser notching and slitting machines, laser cutting and stacking machines, winding machines, long prismatic and power soft pack battery cell assembly lines, forming and capacity grading machines, module and pack lines, x-ray inspection machines, aluminum shell injection machines, blade battery infusion, and ultrasonic pre- and final welding machines. The company also offers stacking and forming, as well as punching and sealing machines; nondestructive slicers and PERC laser grooving equipment; fuel cell stack assembly lines and molded graphite bipolar plate manufacturing solutions; and motor and e- motor rotor assembly lines, and three-in-one e-motor assembly solutions. In addition, it provides three-dimensional warehouses, two-way shuttles, stackers, multidimensional AGV products, and compound robots; and laser welding, marking, cutting, and cleaning machines. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Huizhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Lyric Robot Automation Co reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.3B in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥51.0M in FY2025, compounding −30.0%/yr from FY2021.

688499 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.