Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd ¥5.21, price ¥7.85, upside -33.6%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.59 – ¥29.71 · fair‑value band ¥2.58 – ¥6.88 · the ¥7.85 price screens above the ¥5.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of cutting equipment and consumables in China and internationally.
Show more
Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of cutting equipment and consumables in China and internationally. It offers photovoltaic cutting equipment, including slicer wire guide roller grooving machine, diamond wire crystal silicon slicer, and monocrystal cropper, squarer, and grinder, as well as monocrystal squaring, cropping, and grinding machine; photovoltaic cutting consumables, such as diamond wire, ring wire, grinding tool, and silicon wafer cutting fluid; and photovoltaic large silicon wafer. The company also provides semiconductor single-wire cropper, diamond wire slicer machine, and chamfering machine, as well as special diamond wire and grinding wheels for chamfering grinding of semiconductor wafer and for cylindrical grinding of semiconductor ingots; silicon carbide wafering machine, silicon carbide chamfering machine, and automatic grinder, as well as diamond wire special and grinding wheels for silicon carbide; and sapphire diamond wire saw and sapphire chamfering machine, as well as diamond wire for sapphire, specific chamfering grinding wheel for sapphire, and special sapphire thinning grinding wheel. In addition, it offers magnetic material multi-wire cutting machine, automatic magnetic material bonding machine, and magnetic material diamond wire; stone thin multi-wire saw and special diamond wire for stone; and metal and composite material tendon ropes, as well as reducer. Further, the company engages in the provision of photovoltaic, pan-semiconductor scenario, humanoid robotics, and other scenario solutions; investment activities; and technical/consulting services. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Qingdao Gaoxiao Measurement & Control Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co., Ltd. in August 2015. Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Qingdao, China.
Stock analysis
Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556) currently trades at ¥7.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.21, implying the stock looks roughly 50.7% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥11.49 per share, and 1 of the 5 models we run sit above the ¥7.85 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.78, and 4 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥2.58 (bear) to ¥6.88 (bull), the price of ¥7.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +23.5%/yr. Reported net income was −40.2M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 7.1B CNY (≈ $1.1B) · P/S ratio 1.90 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0100 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin −1.1% · Return on equity −0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7% · Operating margin −1.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −34%, 688556 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥2.58Fair Value ¥5.21Bull ¥6.88
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +49.6% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.6% (2020) → −0.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 827 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−34% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.27× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.28× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA2.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)78· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)32· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688556
Frequently asked questions
Is Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.21 versus a price of ¥7.85, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688556?
Our model-based fair value for Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd is ¥5.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.85.
What is the quality score of 688556?
Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.58, optimistic scenario ¥6.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.21, about −34% upside versus a price of ¥7.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.58, optimistic scenario ¥6.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.62% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd it is ¥5.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥7.85. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688556 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.85, fair value ¥5.21, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688556?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.21). For Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥2.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd at about 7.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.85; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688556?
Our models span a range for Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.58, base ¥5.21, optimistic ¥6.88 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥7.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
Balance-sheet figures for Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.4%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688556 from its 52-week high?
Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥7.85, about 56% below its 52-week high of ¥17.84 and 6% above the low of ¥7.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥7.85, calculated fair value ¥5.21 (−34%), Quality Score 34/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688556 calculated?
We run Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥5.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥7.85. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.21, about −34% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥2.58 to ¥6.88). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
The market capitalisation of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd is 7.1B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd is 1.90 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
Earnings per share at Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd are ¥−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
The dividend yield of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
The net margin of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd is −1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd is −0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd is 7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
The operating margin of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd is −1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
Revenue at Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd is growing +15.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556)?
Earnings per share at Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd are growing −84.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556) generate?
The free cash flow of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd is −421M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd (688556) carry?
The net debt of Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd is 1.2B CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Qingdao Gaoce Technology Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
