Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co (688633) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥19.96 to ¥19.43 (−2.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- Our model range runs from ¥14.71 (bear) to ¥24.14 (bull), base ¥19.43. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥16.74 – ¥56.08 · fair‑value band ¥14.71 – ¥24.14 · the ¥24.18 price screens above the ¥19.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co (688633) currently trades at ¥24.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.43, implying the stock looks roughly 19.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co generated revenue of 927M CNY at a net margin of 24.3%. Revenue grew 94.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 97.4M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥14.71 (bear case) to ¥24.14 (bull case); at ¥24.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -20%, 688633 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥26.95) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and maintenance of graphite equipment in China and internationally.
Full company description
Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and maintenance of graphite equipment in China and internationally. The company offers graphite heat exchangers, absorbers, columns, storage tanks, and tubes; silicon carbide equipment; graphite products, aluminum foil specialized electrode plates, and metal sodium electric energy anode plates; and graphite synthesis furnaces, graphite reaction towers, and other types of graphite equipment, as well as supporting systems and related accessories. It also provides technical consultancy services. Its products are used in caustic soda, inorganic acid and inorganic industrial drugs, metallurgy and metal surface treatment, petroleum, resin and fiber, other organic synthesis, pharmaceuticals, pesticides, foods, public hazards, and safety equipment industries. The company was formerly known as Nantong Xingxing Graphite Equipment Co., Ltd. Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Rugao, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co reported revenue of ¥806M in FY2025 versus ¥515M in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥166M in FY2025, compounding +8.1%/yr from FY2021.
688633 screens 20% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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