Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A ¥24.88, price ¥22.62, upside +10.0%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥16.41 – ¥54.98 · fair‑value band ¥18.43 – ¥32.35 · the ¥22.62 price screens below the ¥24.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and maintenance of graphite equipment in China and internationally.
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Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and maintenance of graphite equipment in China and internationally. The company offers graphite heat exchangers, absorbers, columns, storage tanks, and tubes; silicon carbide equipment; graphite products, aluminum foil specialized electrode plates, and metal sodium electric energy anode plates; and graphite synthesis furnaces, graphite reaction towers, and other types of graphite equipment, as well as supporting systems and related accessories. It also provides technical consultancy services. Its products are used in caustic soda, inorganic acid and inorganic industrial drugs, metallurgy and metal surface treatment, petroleum, resin and fiber, other organic synthesis, pharmaceuticals, pesticides, foods, public hazards, and safety equipment industries. The company was formerly known as Nantong Xingxing Graphite Equipment Co., Ltd. Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Rugao, China.
Stock analysis
Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633) currently trades at ¥22.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥24.88, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥25.53 per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥22.62 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥3.95, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥18.43 (bear) to ¥32.35 (bull), the price of ¥22.62 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 806M CNY in FY2025 versus 515M CNY in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was 166M CNY in FY2025, compounding +8.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.2B CNY (≈ $625M) · P/E ratio 15.2 · P/S ratio 3.13 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.49 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 20.6% · Return on equity 13.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at 10%, 688633 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥18.43Fair Value ¥24.88Bull ¥32.35
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.6510 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 24%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.4% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)37% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth94% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.37× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688633
Frequently asked questions
Is Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥24.88 versus a price of ¥22.62, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 688633?
Our model-based fair value for Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A is ¥24.88 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥22.62.
What is the quality score of 688633?
Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥24.88 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥18.43, optimistic scenario ¥32.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥24.88, about +10% upside versus a price of ¥22.62 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥18.43, optimistic scenario ¥32.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 927M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.65% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A would have to grow free cash flow by +2.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688633 use?
Our models discount Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.88, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A that is +2.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A grew +7.6 % a year. The price currently implies +2.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (+2.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.78 %: that much free cash flow Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A it is ¥24.88 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥22.62. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688633 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥22.62, fair value ¥24.88, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688633?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥22.62); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥24.88). For Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥2.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A at about 4.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥22.62; our models calculate a fair value of ¥24.88 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688633?
Our models span a range for Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥18.43, base ¥24.88, optimistic ¥32.35 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥22.62). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688633?
Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥24.88 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 4.5, EV/EBITDA 12.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.1%, debt of 0.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688633 from its 52-week high?
Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥22.62, about 41% below its 52-week high of ¥38.13 and 10% above the low of ¥20.61 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥24.88 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥22.62, calculated fair value ¥24.88 (+10%), Quality Score 70/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688633 calculated?
We run Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥24.88, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥22.62. Our model-based fair value is ¥24.88, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
The market capitalisation of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A is 4.2B CNY (≈ $625M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A is 3.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
Earnings per share at Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A are ¥1.49 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
The dividend yield of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A is 2.7% (payout 40.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
The net margin of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A is 20.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
The operating margin of Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A is 37.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
Revenue at Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A is growing +94.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633)?
Earnings per share at Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A are growing +292% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A (688633) hold?
Nantong Xingqiu Graphite Co. Ltd. A holds more cash than debt, 97.4M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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