Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment Co (688638) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 1.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥21.51 to ¥16.22 (−24.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
37‑month range ¥21.13 – ¥54.99 · fair‑value band ¥14.41 – ¥18.04 · the ¥33.12 price screens above the ¥16.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment Co (688638) currently trades at ¥33.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.22, implying the stock looks roughly 51.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment Co generated revenue of 781M CNY at a net margin of -19.3%. Revenue grew 62.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.2%. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥14.41 (bear case) to ¥18.04 (bull case); at ¥33.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -51%, 688638 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥20.02) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells lithium and consumer batteries equipment in China and internationally.
Full company description
Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells lithium and consumer batteries equipment in China and internationally. The company offers lithium battery manufacturing equipment, including lithium battery coating, liquid injection, helium inspection, uncoiling furnace, hot pressing and shaping, mylar coating, and shell insertion equipment. It also provides intelligent manufacturing equipment for consumer electronics, such as coffee machine testing and perfume sprayer assembly lines; shavers; automatic razor assembly equipment; photovoltaic module assembly machines; consumer battery pack applications comprising cylindrical, polymer, and lithium iron phosphate batteries; and construction and medical robots. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Yuchen Automatic Chemical Equipment Co., Ltd. Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment Co reported revenue of ¥722M in FY2025 versus ¥373M in FY2021, a compound +17.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥151M in FY2025.
688638 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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