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Freetech Road RecyclingTech (6888) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$121M (≈ $15.4M) · ISIN KYG3728H1002

What is Freetech Road RecyclingTech really worth?

FR Freetech Road RecyclingTech 6888 · HK
PriceHK$0.0870
Fair ValueHK$0.3394
Upside+290.1%
Quality26/100

Below-average quality, trading 74% below our fair value of HK$0.3394.

As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of Freetech Road RecyclingTech is HK$0.3394 per share against a price of HK$0.0870, so the fair value sits 290% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −24.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -41.7% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.2341 – HK$0.4285

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from HK$0.4000 to HK$0.3394 (−15.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −29.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2341). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2341 to HK$0.4285) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.3300 HK$0.0810 Fair Value HK$0.3394 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0810 – HK$0.3300 · fair‑value band HK$0.2341 – HK$0.4285 · the HK$0.0870 price screens below the HK$0.3394 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

Freetech Road RecyclingTech (6888) currently trades at HK$0.0870, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3394, implying the stock looks roughly 74.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.4600 per share, and 3 of the 3 models we run sit above the HK$0.0870 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.0900, and 0 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Freetech Road RecyclingTech generated revenue of HK$134M at a net margin of −41.7%. Revenue declined 56.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −8.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$87.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2341 (bear case) to HK$0.4285 (bull case); at HK$0.0870, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at 290%, 6888 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM best evidence HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.0900 69
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1100 67
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3400 HK$0.4600 HK$0.6800 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM best evidence HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.0900 69
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1100 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3400 HK$0.4600 HK$0.6800 54

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.4600) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.91 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100
Dividend yield 9.4%
Net margin −41.7% FY2025
Return on equity −8.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −109% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$134M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −56.3% 3y avg −34.6%
EPS growth (YoY) −42.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$40.4M FY2025
Net cash HK$87.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 18
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Freetech Road Recycling Technology (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells road maintenance equipment in Mainland China. It operates through Maintenance Services, Sale of Equipment, and Properties segments.

Full company description

Freetech Road Recycling Technology (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells road maintenance equipment in Mainland China. It operates through Maintenance Services, Sale of Equipment, and Properties segments. The company offers road maintenance services and development; asphalt pavement maintenance (APM) equipment; and APM services to repair damaged asphalt pavement surfaces under the Road Doctor brand. It also develops, leases, and sells properties. Freetech Road Recycling Technology (Holdings) Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Freetech Road RecyclingTech reported revenue of HK$134M in FY2025 versus HK$512M in FY2021, a compound −28.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$55.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$134M
Latest YoY
−28.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−34.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−24.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.6%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.8% (2020) → −47.7% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −28.5%/yr
FY21 HK$512M
FY22 HK$478M
FY23 HK$543M
FY24 HK$188M
FY25 HK$134M
Net income
FY21 HK$31.9M
FY22 −HK$32.5M
FY23 HK$11.7M
FY24 HK$12.6M
FY25 −HK$55.8M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −15.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share −2.8 %

of which total revenue −3.6 % · buybacks/dilution +0.8 %

EBIT margin −24.6 %
Tax rate −1.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +16.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Freetech Road RecyclingTech Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6888.HK

Peer Group

Infrastructure Operations · 64 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −42% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −109% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −56% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 56
FUTURE0 · sector 10
PAST0 · sector 25
HEALTH98 · sector 69
DIVIDEND100 · sector 79

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Freetech Road RecyclingTech (6888) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3394 versus a price of HK$0.0870, about +290% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6888?
Our model-based fair value for Freetech Road RecyclingTech is HK$0.3394 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0870.
What is the quality score of 6888?
Freetech Road RecyclingTech has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Freetech Road RecyclingTech (6888)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3394 (as of Aug 30, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2341, optimistic scenario HK$0.4285. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Freetech Road RecyclingTech stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3394, about +290% upside versus a price of HK$0.0870 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2341, optimistic scenario HK$0.4285. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Freetech Road RecyclingTech (6888)?
Freetech Road RecyclingTech reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$134M (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6888?
The net profit margin of Freetech Road RecyclingTech is about −41.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Freetech Road RecyclingTech pay a dividend?
Freetech Road RecyclingTech currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.39% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
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