Freetech Road RecyclingTech (6888) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$121M (≈ $15.4M) · ISIN KYG3728H1002
What is Freetech Road RecyclingTech really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 74% below our fair value of HK$0.3394.
As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of Freetech Road RecyclingTech is HK$0.3394 per share against a price of HK$0.0870, so the fair value sits 290% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from HK$0.4000 to HK$0.3394 (−15.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −29.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2341). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2341 to HK$0.4285) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0810 – HK$0.3300 · fair‑value band HK$0.2341 – HK$0.4285 · the HK$0.0870 price screens below the HK$0.3394 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Freetech Road RecyclingTech (6888) currently trades at HK$0.0870, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3394, implying the stock looks roughly 74.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.4600 per share, and 3 of the 3 models we run sit above the HK$0.0870 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.0900, and 0 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Freetech Road RecyclingTech generated revenue of HK$134M at a net margin of −41.7%. Revenue declined 56.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −8.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$87.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2341 (bear case) to HK$0.4285 (bull case); at HK$0.0870, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at 290%, 6888 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.4600) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Freetech Road Recycling Technology (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells road maintenance equipment in Mainland China. It operates through Maintenance Services, Sale of Equipment, and Properties segments.
Full company description
Freetech Road Recycling Technology (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells road maintenance equipment in Mainland China. It operates through Maintenance Services, Sale of Equipment, and Properties segments. The company offers road maintenance services and development; asphalt pavement maintenance (APM) equipment; and APM services to repair damaged asphalt pavement surfaces under the Road Doctor brand. It also develops, leases, and sells properties. Freetech Road Recycling Technology (Holdings) Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Freetech Road RecyclingTech reported revenue of HK$134M in FY2025 versus HK$512M in FY2021, a compound −28.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$55.8M in FY2025.
of which total revenue −3.6 % · buybacks/dilution +0.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Infrastructure Operations · 64 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 | ¥9.80 | ¥10.25 | +5% |
| Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 | ¥12.01 | ¥14.47 | +20% |
| Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 | ¥10.90 | ¥8.68 | −20% |
| Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 | HK$6.31 | HK$18.50 | +193% |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 | ¥13.04 | ¥13.79 | +6% |
| Anhui Expressway Company 600012 | ¥16.15 | ¥14.90 | −8% |
| Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 | ¥8.37 | ¥9.16 | +9% |
| IRB Infrastructure Developers Limited IRB | ₹18.95 | ₹14.79 | −22% |
| Sichuan Expressway Company 601107 | ¥5.53 | ¥5.73 | +4% |
| CUBEINVIT CUBEINVIT | ₹159.18 | ₹33.83 | −79% |
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