Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. TWD 135, price TWD 236, upside -42.7%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD., together with its subsidiary, ShoWa Precision Co., Ltd., focuses on sales, repair and maintenance of various precision instruments.
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Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD., together with its subsidiary, ShoWa Precision Co., Ltd., focuses on sales, repair and maintenance of various precision instruments. The company provides EUV reticle handling solutions, including automatic EIP inspection equipment/EUV reticle sidewall inspection, EUV lite exchanger, EUV reticle exchanger, and EUV vacuum cleaner; reticle solutions comprising reticle cleaner, large-size reticle cleaner, reticle exchanger, reticle cabinet solution, and reticle storage solution; and physical vapor deposition technology. In addition, it manufactures and sells physical vapor deposition equipment and related components for semiconductor processes. Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953) currently trades at 236.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 135.26 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 74.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 173.19 TWD per share, and 2 of the 23 models we run sit above the 236.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 35.98 TWD, and 21 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 90.40 TWD (bear) to 202.49 TWD (bull), the price of 236.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. reported revenue of 1.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 602M TWD in FY2021, a compound +21.8%/yr. Reported net income was 240M TWD in FY2025, compounding +37.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 7.1B TWD (≈ $223M) · P/E ratio 29.7 · P/S ratio 5.37 · EPS (TTM) 7.95 TWD · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 18.1% · Return on equity 15.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −43%, 6953 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 90.40 TWDFair Value 135.26 TWDBull 202.49 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.43 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.60/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+28.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+26.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 20%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 219 stocks
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Is Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 135.26 TWD versus a price of 236.00 TWD, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6953?
Our model-based fair value for Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. is 135.26 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 236.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6953?
Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 135.26 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 90.40 TWD, optimistic scenario 202.49 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 135.26 TWD, about −43% upside versus a price of 236.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 90.40 TWD, optimistic scenario 202.49 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. pay a dividend?
Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.54% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +21.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6953 use?
Our models discount Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. at 13.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.16, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. grew +21.8 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.13 %: that much free cash flow Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. it is 135.26 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 236.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 6953 trades above its calculated fair value: price 236.00 TWD, fair value 135.26 TWD, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6953?
No. The price is what the market pays today (236.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (135.26 TWD). For Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. the two are 100.74 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. worth?
The market values Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. at about 7.1B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 236.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 135.26 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6953?
Our models span a range for Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD.: cautious scenario 90.40 TWD, base 135.26 TWD, optimistic 202.49 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 236.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6953?
Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 135.26 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.4, P/S 5.3, EV/EBITDA 18.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 15.7%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6953 from its 52-week high?
Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. trades at 236.00 TWD, about 19% below its 52-week high of 292.50 TWD and 39% above the low of 169.41 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 135.26 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Lam Research Corporation, Applied Materials, Inc, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 236.00 TWD, calculated fair value 135.26 TWD (−43%), Quality Score 52/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6953 calculated?
We run Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 135.26 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 236.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 135.26 TWD, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (202.49 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (90.40 TWD to 202.49 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
The market capitalisation of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. is 7.1B TWD (≈ $223M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. is 5.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
Earnings per share at Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. are 7.95 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
The dividend yield of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. is 2.5% (payout 75.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
The net margin of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. is 18.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. is 12.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
The operating margin of Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. is 16.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
Revenue at Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. is growing +7.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. (6953)?
Earnings per share at Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. are growing −17.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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