Gudeng Equipment Co (6953) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 6.7B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −2.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (99.78 TWD to 267.38 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
37‑month range 140.69 TWD – 309.58 TWD · fair‑value band 99.78 TWD – 267.38 TWD · the 223.00 TWD price screens above the 165.08 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Gudeng Equipment Co (6953) currently trades at 223.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 165.08 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 26.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gudeng Equipment Co generated revenue of 1.3B TWD at a net margin of 17.2%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 29.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 99.78 TWD (bear case) to 267.38 TWD (bull case); at 223.00 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -26%, 6953 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (173.19 TWD) versus Asset-Based (35.98 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD., together with its subsidiary, ShoWa Precision Co., Ltd., focuses on sales, repair and maintenance of various precision instruments.
Full company description
Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD., together with its subsidiary, ShoWa Precision Co., Ltd., focuses on sales, repair and maintenance of various precision instruments. The company provides EUV reticle handling solutions, including automatic EIP inspection equipment/EUV reticle sidewall inspection, EUV lite exchanger, EUV reticle exchanger, and EUV vacuum cleaner; reticle solutions comprising reticle cleaner, large-size reticle cleaner, reticle exchanger, reticle cabinet solution, and reticle storage solution; and physical vapor deposition technology. In addition, it manufactures and sells physical vapor deposition equipment and related components for semiconductor processes. Gudeng Equipment Co., LTD. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gudeng Equipment Co reported revenue of 1.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 602M TWD in FY2021, a compound +21.8%/yr. Reported net income was 240M TWD in FY2025, compounding +37.3%/yr from FY2021.
6953 screens 26% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →
Peer Group
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 212 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML Holding ASML | C$50.50 | C$15.57 | -69% |
| Applied Materials, Inc AMAT | $579.43 | $143.08 | -75% |
| Lam Research Corporation LRCX | $346.10 | $67.57 | -80% |
| KLA Corporation KLAC | $212.75 | $53.01 | -75% |
| NAURA Technology Group 002371 | ¥774.20 | ¥151.43 | -80% |
| Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 | ¥350.69 | ¥41.79 | -88% |
| Piotech Inc 688072 | ¥832.00 | ¥431.44 | -48% |
| Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 | 6,005 TWD | 1,804 TWD | -70% |
| Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 | ¥325.24 | ¥33.33 | -90% |
| MPI Corporation 6223 | 5,600 TWD | 609.44 TWD | -89% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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