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C3.ai, Inc. (724) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 27, 2026: fair value of C3.ai, Inc. €3.14, price €7.82, upside -59.9%, quality 23 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · DE

CA Thin data Sep 24, 2026

C3.ai, Inc.

724 · XETRA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €3.14 · Strongly overvalued (−59.9%)
!Quality 23/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −2.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -188.0% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

€13.81 €6.79 Fair Value €3.14 Dec 2025 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

8‑month range €6.79 – €13.81 · fair‑value band €2.07 – €3.92 · the €7.82 price screens above the €3.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

C3.ai, Inc. operates as an enterprise artificial intelligence application software company.

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C3.ai, Inc. operates as an enterprise artificial intelligence application software company. The company offers C3 agentic AI platform, an application development and runtime environment that enables customers to design, develop, and deploy enterprise AI applications; C3 AI CRM Suite, a customer relationship management solution; C3 Generative AI that enables to locate, retrieve, present information, disparate data stores, applications, and enterprise information systems; C3 AI Health Suite to accelerate healthcare innovation; and C3 AI Financial Services Suite. Its C3 AI Applications include C3 AI Asset Performance suite, which consists of C3 AI Reliability, C3 AI Process Optimization, and C3 AI Energy Management applications. The company's C3 AI Supply Chain Suite comprises C3 AI Supply Network Risk, C3 AI Inventory Optimization, C3 AI Demand Forecasting, C3 AI Production Schedule Optimization, and C3 AI Sourcing Optimization solutions; C3 AI Sustainability Suite includes C3 AI ESG and C3 AI Energy Management applications to decrease greenhouse gas emissions; and C3 AI Defense & Intelligence Suite. It provides C3 AI State and Local Government Suite that includes various applications, such as C3 Law Enforcement for state, county, and municipal law enforcement agencies; C3 AI Residential Property Appraisal and C3 AI Commercial Property Appraisal for county property assessors and appraisers; and C3 Generative AI for Government Programs and C3 Generative AI for Constituent Services for federal, state, and local governments. It has strategic partnerships with Microsoft Azure, AWS, Google Cloud, McKinsey & Company, Baker Hughes, Booz Allen, and others. The company has a strategic alliance with SMX Group, LLC for the development of mission critical AI in the secure environments. The company was formerly known as C3 IoT, Inc. and changed its name to C3.ai, Inc. in June 2019. C3.ai, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

Stock analysis

C3.ai, Inc. (724) currently trades at €7.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.14, 59.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: €2.07 (bear) to €3.92 (bull), the price of €7.82 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

C3.ai, Inc. reported revenue of $250M in FY2026 versus $253M in FY2022, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$470M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap €1.1B · P/S ratio 4.75 · EPS (TTM) €−2.94 · Net margin −188% · Return on equity −63.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −33.0% · Operating margin −214% · Revenue (TTM) $250M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −60%, 724 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €2.07 Fair Value €3.14 Bull €3.92
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) €1.91 €2.56 €3.82 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.91 €2.56 €3.82 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 3
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−77.6% (2022) → −194.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

724 screens overvalued: fair value 60% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

Compare C3.ai, Inc. with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 358 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −68.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −33.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −188.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −52.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.96× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.11× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $512.90 $564.19 +10%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $187.05 $42.16 −77%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $137.30 $112.26 −18%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $264.75 $37.31 −86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $176.33 $164.68 −7%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $434.94 $249.20 −43%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $87.12 $58.32 −33%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.04 $76.95 +4%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $204.41 $157.26 −23%
Okta, Inc OKTA $202.18 $142.12 −30%

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C3.ai, Inc. · Fair Value
€3.14 −60%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "C3.ai, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/724

Frequently asked questions

Is C3.ai, Inc. (724) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.14 versus the last price from Jul 27, 2026 of €7.82, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 724?
Our model-based fair value for C3.ai, Inc. is €3.14 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 27, 2026): €7.82.
What is the quality score of 724?
C3.ai, Inc. has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €3.14 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario €2.07, optimistic scenario €3.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the C3.ai, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €3.14, about −60% upside versus the last price from Jul 27, 2026 of €7.82 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €2.07, optimistic scenario €3.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
C3.ai, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $250M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For C3.ai, Inc. it is €3.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €7.82. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is C3.ai, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 724 trades above its calculated fair value: price €7.82, fair value €3.14, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 724?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€7.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€3.14). For C3.ai, Inc. the two are €4.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is C3.ai, Inc. worth?
The market values C3.ai, Inc. at about €1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €7.82; our models calculate a fair value of €3.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 724?
Our models span a range for C3.ai, Inc.: cautious scenario €2.07, base €3.14, optimistic €3.92 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €7.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
Balance-sheet figures for C3.ai, Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −63.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to C3.ai, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is C3.ai, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €7.82, calculated fair value €3.14 (−60%), Quality Score 23/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 724 calculated?
We run C3.ai, Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €3.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. C3.ai, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 27, 2026 and stands at €7.82. Our model-based fair value is €3.14, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with C3.ai, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€3.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€2.07 to €3.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of C3.ai, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
The market capitalisation of C3.ai, Inc. is €1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
The price-to-sales ratio of C3.ai, Inc. is 4.75 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
Earnings per share at C3.ai, Inc. are €−2.94. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
The net margin of C3.ai, Inc. is −188% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
The return on equity (ROE) of C3.ai, Inc. is −63.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of C3.ai, Inc. is −33.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
The operating margin of C3.ai, Inc. is −214% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at C3.ai, Inc. (724)?
Revenue at C3.ai, Inc. is growing −52.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does C3.ai, Inc. (724) generate?
The free cash flow of C3.ai, Inc. is −$192M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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