JINGDONG Industrials, Inc. (7618) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$31.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$17.05 to HK$16.03 (−6.0%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 19% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from HK$11.99 (bear) to HK$19.14 (bull), base HK$16.03. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 75/100 (high quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (8 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
8‑month range HK$10.69 – HK$16.25 · fair‑value band HK$11.99 – HK$19.14 · the HK$13.49 price screens below the HK$16.03 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
JINGDONG Industrials, Inc. (7618) currently trades at HK$13.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$16.03, implying the stock looks roughly 18.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, JINGDONG Industrials, Inc. generated revenue of HK$24.0B at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 16.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 39.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 28.0 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$11.99 (bear case) to HK$19.14 (bull case); at HK$13.49, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 19%, 7618 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$21.75) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
JINGDONG Industrials, Inc. provides supply chain-based technology and services in the People's Republic of China. It engages in the provision of technology; marketing services; sale and procurement of industrial products, as well as cross-border industrial supply chain technology and services, and e-commerce marketplaces.
Full company description
JINGDONG Industrials, Inc. provides supply chain-based technology and services in the People's Republic of China. It engages in the provision of technology; marketing services; sale and procurement of industrial products, as well as cross-border industrial supply chain technology and services, and e-commerce marketplaces. It is also involved in the online retail of industrial products; and provides technical, advertising, and information services. The company was formerly known as JD Industrial Technology Inc. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. JINGDONG Industrials, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of JD Industrial Technology Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
JINGDONG Industrials, Inc. reported revenue of HK$24.0B in FY2025 versus HK$17.3B in FY2023, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.3B in FY2025, compounding +2,095.7%/yr from FY2023.
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Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 223 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$93.19 | C$75.00 | -20% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $839.03 | $398.90 | -52% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $245.15 | $162.63 | -34% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $531.89 | $475.40 | -11% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $202.66 | $181.10 | -11% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.00 | $108.04 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥54.97 | ¥40.40 | -27% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $36.43 | $35.52 | -2% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $544.22 | $423.35 | -22% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 109.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -26% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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