7618 (7618) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$31.2B

7 7618 7618 · HK

PriceHK$11.50

Fair ValueHK$16.95

Upside+47.4%

Quality57/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$12.71 – HK$20.92

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −23.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (7 months)

7‑month range HK$10.69 – HK$16.25 · fair‑value band HK$12.71 – HK$20.92 · the HK$11.50 price screens below the HK$16.95 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

7618 (7618) currently trades at HK$11.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$16.95 — implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 7618 generated revenue of HK$24.0B at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 16.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 39.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 28.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$24.0B

Revenue growth (YoY) +16.3%

Net margin 9.7%

Return on equity 39.6%

P/E ratio 28.0

Operating margin 3.1%

More key figures

EPS growth (YoY) -11.2%

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

7618 reported revenue of HK$24.0B in FY2025 versus HK$17.3B in FY2023, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.3B in FY2025, compounding +2,095.7%/yr from FY2023.

Revenue +17.5%/yr

FY23 HK$17.3B

FY24 HK$20.4B

FY25 HK$24.0B

Net income +2,095.7%/yr

FY23 HK$4.8M

FY24 HK$762M

FY25 HK$2.3B

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Similar stocks

6 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ANCTF	$57.91	$61.82	+7%
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY	$831.67	$308.04	-63%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM	$206.94	$116.29	-44%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA	$467.07	$370.46	-21%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS	$214.97	$283.60	+32%
China Tourism Group 601888	¥58.05	¥37.51	-35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 7618 (7618) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$16.95 versus a price of HK$11.50 — about +47% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 7618?

Our model-based fair value for 7618 is HK$16.95 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$11.50.

What is the quality score of 7618?

7618 has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 7618 (7618)?

7618 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$24.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 7618?

The net profit margin of 7618 is about 9.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.