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Genii Ideas Co (7631) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 2.8B TWD

GI Genii Ideas Co 7631 · TW
Price138.50 TWD
Fair Value112.06 TWD
Upside-19.1%
Quality52/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range 84.05 TWD – 140.08 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −9.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from 84.05 TWD (bear) to 140.08 TWD (bull), base 112.06 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

177.00 TWD 81.74 TWD Fair Value 112.06 TWD Jul 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range 81.74 TWD – 177.00 TWD · fair‑value band 84.05 TWD – 140.08 TWD · the 138.50 TWD price screens above the 112.06 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Genii Ideas Co (7631) currently trades at 138.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 112.06 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 19.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 19.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 84.05 TWD (bear case) to 140.08 TWD (bull case); at 138.50 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -19%, 7631 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 149.43 TWD 273.09 TWD 485.20 TWD 80
Residual Income 41.15 TWD 52.75 TWD 131.03 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 112.37 TWD 183.68 TWD 286.04 TWD 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 154.33 TWD 251.10 TWD 500.17 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 111.34 TWD 207.13 TWD 391.53 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 112.37 TWD 183.29 TWD 291.42 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 121.83 TWD 204.45 TWD 322.52 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 129.04 TWD 224.38 TWD 341.95 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 122.41 TWD 200.77 TWD 315.47 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 131.39 TWD 217.22 TWD 361.52 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 136.27 TWD 229.76 TWD 379.13 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 42.69 TWD 270.95 TWD 378.66 TWD 54
Lynch FV 78.31 TWD 111.87 TWD 145.44 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 78.31 TWD 111.87 TWD 145.44 TWD 46
EPV 77.93 TWD 86.58 TWD 94.04 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 21.10 TWD 42.04 TWD 63.66 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 21.10 TWD 36.33 TWD 44.38 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 98.88 TWD 131.84 TWD 164.80 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 80.04 TWD 106.73 TWD 133.41 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 80.04 TWD 106.73 TWD 133.41 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 120.39 TWD 152.80 TWD 185.21 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 111.24 TWD 140.59 TWD 169.95 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 92.13 TWD 121.69 TWD 151.25 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 20.88 TWD 27.97 TWD 41.75 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 149.43 TWD 273.09 TWD 485.20 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 112.37 TWD 183.68 TWD 286.04 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 41.15 TWD 52.75 TWD 131.03 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 88.14 TWD 111.94 TWD 142.90 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 111.15 TWD 158.79 TWD 206.43 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (207.13 TWD) versus Asset-Based (27.97 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow 187M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 19.3
EPS (TTM) 6.46 TWD

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 9
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Genii Ideas Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development of process equipment. It also provides factory engineering, equipment installation, and component and consumable development services. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in Hsinchu City, Taiwan. Genii Ideas Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Juxian Research and Development Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Genii Ideas Co reported revenue of 1.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 674M TWD in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was 126M TWD in FY2025, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B TWD
Latest YoY
+29.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Revenue +13.1%/yr
FY21 674M TWD
FY22 855M TWD
FY23 705M TWD
FY24 851M TWD
FY25 1.1B TWD
Net income +1.9%/yr
FY21 117M TWD
FY22 176M TWD
FY23 144M TWD
FY24 92.5M TWD
FY25 126M TWD

7631 screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Genii Ideas Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/7631

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside −19% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 8 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 91 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Genii Ideas Co (7631) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 112.06 TWD versus a price of 138.50 TWD, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 7631?
Our model-based fair value for Genii Ideas Co is 112.06 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 138.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 7631?
Genii Ideas Co has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 7631?
The net profit margin of Genii Ideas Co is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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