Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd TWD 135, price TWD 139, upside -2.6%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range 81.74 TWD – 177.00 TWD · fair‑value band 93.96 TWD – 175.47 TWD · the 138.50 TWD price screens above the 134.97 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Genii Ideas Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development of process equipment. It also provides factory engineering, equipment installation, and component and consumable development services. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in Hsinchu City, Taiwan. Genii Ideas Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Juxian Research and Development Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631) currently trades at 138.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 134.97 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 2.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 179.65 TWD per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the 138.50 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 26.58 TWD, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 93.96 TWD (bear) to 175.47 TWD (bull), the price of 138.50 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Genii Ideas Co., Ltd reported revenue of 1.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 674M TWD in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was 126M TWD in FY2025, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.8B TWD (≈ $87.8M) · P/E ratio 21.4 · P/S ratio 2.46 · EPS (TTM) 6.46 TWD · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.7% · Free cash flow 187M TWD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −3%, 7631 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 93.96 TWDFair Value 134.97 TWDBull 175.47 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.74 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−0.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 14%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside−3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Is Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 134.97 TWD versus a price of 138.50 TWD, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 7631?
Our model-based fair value for Genii Ideas Co., Ltd is 134.97 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 138.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 7631?
Genii Ideas Co., Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 134.97 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 93.96 TWD, optimistic scenario 175.47 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Genii Ideas Co., Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 134.97 TWD, about −3% upside versus a price of 138.50 TWD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 93.96 TWD, optimistic scenario 175.47 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Genii Ideas Co., Ltd pay a dividend?
Genii Ideas Co., Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Genii Ideas Co., Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +8.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +13.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 7631 use?
Our models discount Genii Ideas Co., Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Genii Ideas Co., Ltd that is +8.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Genii Ideas Co., Ltd grew +13.1 % a year. The price currently implies +8.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (+8.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.72 %: that much free cash flow Genii Ideas Co., Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Genii Ideas Co., Ltd it is 134.97 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 138.50 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Genii Ideas Co., Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 7631 trades above its calculated fair value: price 138.50 TWD, fair value 134.97 TWD, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 7631?
No. The price is what the market pays today (138.50 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (134.97 TWD). For Genii Ideas Co., Ltd the two are 3.53 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Genii Ideas Co., Ltd worth?
The market values Genii Ideas Co., Ltd at about 2.8B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 138.50 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 134.97 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 7631?
Our models span a range for Genii Ideas Co., Ltd: cautious scenario 93.96 TWD, base 134.97 TWD, optimistic 175.47 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 138.50 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 7631?
Genii Ideas Co., Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 134.97 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631)?
Balance-sheet figures for Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 7631 from its 52-week high?
Genii Ideas Co., Ltd trades at 138.50 TWD, about 22% below its 52-week high of 177.00 TWD and 29% above the low of 107.44 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 134.97 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Genii Ideas Co., Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Genii Ideas Co., Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 138.50 TWD, calculated fair value 134.97 TWD (−3%), Quality Score 52/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 7631 calculated?
We run Genii Ideas Co., Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 134.97 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Genii Ideas Co., Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 138.50 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 134.97 TWD, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Genii Ideas Co., Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (93.96 TWD to 175.47 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631)?
The market capitalisation of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd is 2.8B TWD (≈ $87.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd is 2.46 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631)?
Earnings per share at Genii Ideas Co., Ltd are 6.46 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631)?
The dividend yield of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd is 1.7% (payout 37.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631)?
The net margin of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd is 11.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd (7631)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Genii Ideas Co., Ltd is 20.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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