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TradeGo FinTech (8017) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of TradeGo FinTech HK$2.01, price HK$1.18, upside +70.0%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Technology · HK · ISIN KYG8985W1042

TF Thin data Sep 27, 2026

TradeGo FinTech

8017 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$2.01 · Strongly undervalued (+70.0%)

!Quality 54/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +23.5 %/yr)

✓Highly profitable · 31.9% net margin (TTM)

✓generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (10/13)

✓Wide moat 94/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear HK$1.26 to bull HK$2.51 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 54/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1840 – HK$2.54 · fair‑value band HK$1.26 – HK$2.51 · the HK$1.18 price screens below the HK$2.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

TradeGo FinTech Limited, an investment holding company, provides integrated securities trading platform services to brokerage firms and their clients in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China.

TradeGo FinTech Limited, an investment holding company, provides integrated securities trading platform services to brokerage firms and their clients in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Market and Trading Integrated Terminal Products and System Services; and Financial Services with Operations Licensed under the SFO segments. It engages in the development of TradeGo Pro, an open securities trading platform software. The company's platform offers various services, such as front office trading system services to support trading of a range of financial instruments, including stocks, ETFs, futures, options, warrants, and derivatives; market data services; software as a service; and other value added services. In addition, it provides securities brokerage and dealing services; and underwriting and sub-underwriting services with the licenses type 1 dealing in securities and Type 7 providing automated trading services granted under the SFO. Further, the company holds market data vendor licenses from various stock and future exchanges, as well as provides a range of real-time market data from exchanges through the securities trading platform software, as well as develops computer hardware and software technology. TradeGo FinTech Limited was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

TradeGo FinTech (8017) currently trades at HK$1.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.01, implying the stock looks roughly 41.2% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$3.12 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$1.18 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.3800, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.26 (bear) to HK$2.51 (bull), the price of HK$1.18 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

TradeGo FinTech reported revenue of HK$187M in FY2026 versus HK$82.3M in FY2022, a compound +22.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$59.6M in FY2026, compounding +23.9%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap HK$798M (≈ $102M) · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 3.19 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1500 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 31.9% · Return on equity 22.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 70%, 8017 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.26 Fair Value HK$2.01 Bull HK$2.51

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0756 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$1.02 HK$1.26 HK$1.94 79

Growth DCF HK$0.9900 HK$1.30 HK$1.85 76

Residual Income HK$0.5100 HK$0.6000 HK$0.8300 76

All 26 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$1.02 HK$1.26 HK$1.94 79

Owner Earnings HK$1.57 HK$2.67 HK$4.58 71

5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.29 HK$1.97 HK$3.42 68

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.90 HK$3.21 HK$5.79 69

5Y P/E Exit HK$1.79 HK$3.65 HK$6.22 65

10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.15 HK$2.12 HK$2.76 64

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.57 HK$3.24 HK$6.25 62

10Y P/E Exit HK$1.50 HK$3.04 HK$5.63 58

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.5700 HK$4.00 HK$5.61 63

Lynch FV HK$1.51 HK$2.16 HK$2.81 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$1.51 HK$2.16 HK$2.81 57

EPV HK$1.20 HK$1.30 HK$1.37 70

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$0.1000 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 68

DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1000 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1800 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$1.77 HK$2.36 HK$2.95 63

P/S Multiple HK$1.07 HK$1.43 HK$1.79 58

P/B Multiple HK$1.07 HK$1.43 HK$1.79 55

EV/EBIT HK$2.71 HK$3.46 HK$4.22 63

EV/EBITDA HK$2.38 HK$3.02 HK$3.67 64

EV/Revenue HK$1.36 HK$1.76 HK$2.15 52

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2800 HK$0.3800 HK$0.5700 51

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$0.9900 HK$1.30 HK$1.85 76

Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.29 HK$2.19 HK$3.89 67

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$0.5100 HK$0.6000 HK$0.8300 76

ROIC Compounder HK$1.29 HK$1.50 HK$1.72 70

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$2.18 HK$3.12 HK$4.05 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 60

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 20

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 63

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 100

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 33

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 39

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 44

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 11

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 17

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+43.8%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+23.9%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+23.5%

Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.8% a year

Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+18.8%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.

+16.9%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+15.3%

Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15.3% vs 29.1%, slowing

Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31% → 48%

2026 sits 97% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Start year 2021 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+7.8%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.6% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 365 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 54 · Above median

Fair Value upside +70.0% · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 22.1% · Top 25%

Return on assets 16.1% · Top 25%

Net margin (TTM) 31.9% · Top 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 45.0% · Top 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 15.7% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.0× · Cheapest 25%

P/B 1.99× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 4.28× · Pricier than median

P/FCF 23.0× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 20

FUTURE (revenue growth)79 · sector 52

PAST (return on equity)88 · sector 22

HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98

DIVIDEND (yield)33 · sector 36

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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TradeGo FinTech · Fair Value
HK$2.01 +41%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8017" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">TradeGo FinTech · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$2.01</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+41%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TradeGo FinTech Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8017

Frequently asked questions

Is TradeGo FinTech (8017) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.01 versus a price of HK$1.18, about +70% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 8017?

Our model-based fair value for TradeGo FinTech is HK$2.01 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.18.

What is the quality score of 8017?

TradeGo FinTech has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.01 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.26, optimistic scenario HK$2.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the TradeGo FinTech stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$2.01, about +70% upside versus a price of HK$1.18 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.26, optimistic scenario HK$2.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

TradeGo FinTech reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$187M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

Does TradeGo FinTech pay a dividend?

TradeGo FinTech currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.63% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).

What growth is priced into TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TradeGo FinTech would have to grow free cash flow by +7.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +23.5 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8017 use?

Our models discount TradeGo FinTech at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.84, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TradeGo FinTech that is +7.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has TradeGo FinTech (8017) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at TradeGo FinTech grew +23.5 % a year. The price currently implies +7.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of TradeGo FinTech (8017) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TradeGo FinTech (+7.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.35 %: that much free cash flow TradeGo FinTech produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TradeGo FinTech it is HK$2.01 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$1.18. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is TradeGo FinTech stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 8017 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.18, fair value HK$2.01, a gap of about +70% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 8017?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.01). For TradeGo FinTech the two are HK$0.8260 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is TradeGo FinTech worth?

The market values TradeGo FinTech at about HK$798M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.18; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.01 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8017?

Our models span a range for TradeGo FinTech: cautious scenario HK$1.26, base HK$2.01, optimistic HK$2.51 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$1.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 8017?

TradeGo FinTech trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$2.01 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 4.3, EV/EBITDA 5.4.

How solid is the balance sheet of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

Balance-sheet figures for TradeGo FinTech (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 22.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 8017 from its 52-week high?

TradeGo FinTech trades at HK$1.18, about 44% below its 52-week high of HK$2.12 and 40% above the low of HK$0.8400 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.01 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to TradeGo FinTech?

From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is TradeGo FinTech stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$1.18, calculated fair value HK$2.01 (+70%), Quality Score 54/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 8017 calculated?

We run TradeGo FinTech through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. TradeGo FinTech currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$1.18. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.01, about +70% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with TradeGo FinTech right now?

The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.26). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$1.26 to HK$2.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of TradeGo FinTech

How large is the market capitalisation of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

The market capitalisation of TradeGo FinTech is HK$798M (≈ $102M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

The price-to-sales ratio of TradeGo FinTech is 3.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

Earnings per share at TradeGo FinTech are HK$0.1500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

The dividend yield of TradeGo FinTech is 1.6% (payout 12.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

The net margin of TradeGo FinTech is 31.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

The return on equity (ROE) of TradeGo FinTech is 22.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TradeGo FinTech is 14.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

The operating margin of TradeGo FinTech is 45.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

Revenue at TradeGo FinTech is growing +15.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at TradeGo FinTech (8017)?

Earnings per share at TradeGo FinTech are growing −65.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net cash does TradeGo FinTech (8017) hold?

TradeGo FinTech holds more cash than debt, HK$309M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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