ChipMOS Technologies (8150) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ChipMOS Technologies stock TWD 39.88, price TWD 70.10, that is 43.1% below the price, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 21.30 TWD – 128.50 TWD · fair‑value band 29.90 TWD – 45.78 TWD · the 70.10 TWD price screens above the 39.88 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of integrated circuits, and related assembly and testing services in Taiwan, Japan, the People's Republic of China, and internationally.
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It operates through five segments: Testing; Assembly; Display Panel Driver Semiconductor Assembly and Testing; Bumping; and Others.
The company offers leadframe-based packages, such as the small outline package, thin small outline package, and quad flat package; and substrate-based packages, including FBGA, VFBGA, stacked chip-scale package, TFBGA, LGA, COG, and COF; and testing solutions comprising professional wafer and final testing, tester/tooling correlation, test program verification, engineering lot and pilot lot run arrangement, engineering support, device failure mode analysis, and automation system for simple digital logic, complex ASIC, high speed digital, memory, and mixed signal and display driver IC devices.
It also provides bumping services; intellectual property management and enabling technologies; and turnkey services, such as wafer bumping/RDL, wafer sort, assembly, final test, and drop shipment to display driver IC, memory IC, and logic mixed-signal IC. The company serves fabless companies, integrated device manufacturers, and foundries.
ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
ChipMOS Technologies (8150) currently trades at 70.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 39.88 TWD, 43% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 23.98 TWD per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the 70.10 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 5.47 TWD, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 29.90 TWD (bear) to 45.78 TWD (bull), the price of 70.10 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
ChipMOS Technologies reported revenue of 23.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 27.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was 495M TWD in FY2025, compounding −43.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 48.2B TWD (≈ $1.5B) Small · P/E ratio 21.4 · P/S ratio 1.79 · EPS (TTM) 3.27 TWD · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 8.3% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −43%, 8150 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (2.47 TWD to 206.95 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear29.90 TWDFair Value 39.88 TWDBull45.78 TWD
Price 70.10 TWD · Downside -43.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.74 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF12.09 TWD13.67 TWD15.56 TWD82
Growth DCF12.18 TWD13.62 TWD15.29 TWD80
Owner Earnings10.85 TWD12.03 TWD13.44 TWD78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF12.09 TWD13.67 TWD15.56 TWD82
Owner Earnings10.85 TWD12.03 TWD13.44 TWD78
5Y Revenue Exit15.60 TWD20.58 TWD26.73 TWD74
5Y EBITDA Exit67.49 TWD111.96 TWD161.87 TWD74
5Y P/E Exit16.74 TWD22.59 TWD28.37 TWD72
10Y Revenue Exit13.74 TWD17.58 TWD22.32 TWD68
10Y EBITDA Exit43.16 TWD72.94 TWD110.21 TWD67
10Y P/E Exit14.65 TWD18.79 TWD23.39 TWD65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd4.84 TWD10.75 TWD13.72 TWD66
PEG = 1.01.73 TWD2.47 TWD3.21 TWD57
EPV16.29 TWD17.49 TWD18.49 TWD74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM9.52 TWD13.89 TWD17.95 TWD69
DDM Multi-Stage9.52 TWD12.97 TWD16.29 TWD67
Multiples
P/E Multiple14.95 TWD19.94 TWD24.92 TWD63
P/S Multiple9.08 TWD12.10 TWD15.13 TWD58
P/B Multiple155.21 TWD206.95 TWD258.68 TWD55
EV/EBIT20.22 TWD28.02 TWD35.82 TWD66
EV/EBITDA113.39 TWD152.24 TWD191.10 TWD67
EV/Revenue8.65 TWD13.72 TWD18.79 TWD53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)3.61 TWD5.47 TWD6.84 TWD54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF12.18 TWD13.62 TWD15.29 TWD80
Economic Profit
Residual Income21.11 TWD21.68 TWD22.89 TWD76
ROIC Compounder16.29 TWD17.49 TWD18.49 TWD72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E10.96 TWD15.66 TWD20.36 TWD67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.4% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−25.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27.1% vs −13.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+77.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+16.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +74.9% a year for the price and +14.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 370 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside−43.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.4% · Above median
Return on assets1.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)8.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)12.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)28.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.41× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ChipMOS Technologies Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8150
Frequently asked questions
Is ChipMOS Technologies (8150) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 39.88 TWD versus a price of 70.10 TWD, about 43% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8150?
Our model-based fair value for ChipMOS Technologies is 39.88 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 70.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8150?
ChipMOS Technologies has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 39.88 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 29.90 TWD, optimistic scenario 45.78 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ChipMOS Technologies stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 39.88 TWD, about 43% lower versus a price of 70.10 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 29.90 TWD, optimistic scenario 45.78 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
ChipMOS Technologies reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 27.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does ChipMOS Technologies pay a dividend?
ChipMOS Technologies currently shows a dividend yield of 1.75% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of ChipMOS Technologies (8150) and when is the ex-dividend date?
ChipMOS Technologies pays a dividend of 1.23 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 29, 2026. The payout ratio is 37.6% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.15 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ChipMOS Technologies would have to grow free cash flow by +77.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.8 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8150 use?
Our models discount ChipMOS Technologies at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.40, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ChipMOS Technologies that is +77.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ChipMOS Technologies (8150) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ChipMOS Technologies grew +0.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +77.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ChipMOS Technologies (8150) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ChipMOS Technologies (+77.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.26 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow ChipMOS Technologies produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ChipMOS Technologies it is 39.88 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 70.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is ChipMOS Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 8150 trades above its calculated fair value: price 70.10 TWD, fair value 39.88 TWD, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8150?
No. The price is what the market pays today (70.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (39.88 TWD). For ChipMOS Technologies the two are 30.22 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ChipMOS Technologies worth?
The market values ChipMOS Technologies at about 48.2B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 70.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 39.88 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8150?
Our models span a range for ChipMOS Technologies: cautious scenario 29.90 TWD, base 39.88 TWD, optimistic 45.78 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 70.10 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8150?
ChipMOS Technologies trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 39.88 TWD is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2018 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 12.6. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
Balance-sheet figures for ChipMOS Technologies (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 9.4%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8150 from its 52-week high?
ChipMOS Technologies trades at 70.10 TWD, about 45% below its 52-week high of 128.50 TWD and 106% above the low of 34.10 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 39.88 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ChipMOS Technologies?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ChipMOS Technologies stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 70.10 TWD, calculated fair value 39.88 TWD (−43%), Quality Score 56/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8150 calculated?
We run ChipMOS Technologies through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 39.88 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. ChipMOS Technologies itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 70.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 39.88 TWD, about 43% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ChipMOS Technologies right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (45.78 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of ChipMOS Technologies (8150) come from?
Earnings per share at ChipMOS Technologies grew −6.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.8 %, EBIT margin −9.0 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of ChipMOS Technologies
How large is the market capitalisation of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The market capitalisation of ChipMOS Technologies is 48.2B TWD (≈ $1.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ChipMOS Technologies is 1.79 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
Earnings per share at ChipMOS Technologies are 3.27 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The dividend yield of ChipMOS Technologies is 1.8% (payout 37.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The net margin of ChipMOS Technologies is 8.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ChipMOS Technologies is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ChipMOS Technologies is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The operating margin of ChipMOS Technologies is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
Revenue at ChipMOS Technologies is growing +28.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
Earnings per share at ChipMOS Technologies are growing +200% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does ChipMOS Technologies (8150) carry?
The net debt of ChipMOS Technologies is 2.2B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 17.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 7, 2026