ChipMOS Technologies (8150) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of ChipMOS Technologies TWD 38.96, price TWD 112, upside -65.2%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value 38.96 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−65%)
!Quality 56/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 5y +0.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.10% dividend yield
!Trails peers(5/14)
!Narrow moat35/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch ChipMOS Technologies for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 21.30 TWD – 122.50 TWD · fair‑value band 29.21 TWD – 39.78 TWD · the 112.00 TWD price screens above the 38.96 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow ChipMOS Technologies in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether ChipMOS Technologies is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of integrated circuits, and related assembly and testing services in Taiwan, Japan, the People's Republic of China, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Testing; Assembly; Display Panel Driver Semiconductor Assembly and Testing; Bumping; and Others.
Show more
ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of integrated circuits, and related assembly and testing services in Taiwan, Japan, the People's Republic of China, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Testing; Assembly; Display Panel Driver Semiconductor Assembly and Testing; Bumping; and Others. The company offers leadframe-based packages, such as the small outline package, thin small outline package, and quad flat package; and substrate-based packages, including FBGA, VFBGA, stacked chip-scale package, TFBGA, LGA, COG, and COF; and testing solutions comprising professional wafer and final testing, tester/tooling correlation, test program verification, engineering lot and pilot lot run arrangement, engineering support, device failure mode analysis, and automation system for simple digital logic, complex ASIC, high speed digital, memory, and mixed signal and display driver IC devices. It also provides bumping services; intellectual property management and enabling technologies; and turnkey services, such as wafer bumping/RDL, wafer sort, assembly, final test, and drop shipment to display driver IC, memory IC, and logic mixed-signal IC. The company serves fabless companies, integrated device manufacturers, and foundries. ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
ChipMOS Technologies (8150) currently trades at 112.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 38.96 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 187.4% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 23.13 TWD per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the 112.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 10.75 TWD, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 29.21 TWD (bear) to 39.78 TWD (bull), the price of 112.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
ChipMOS Technologies reported revenue of 23.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 27.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was 495M TWD in FY2025, compounding −43.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 79.2B TWD (≈ $2.5B) · P/E ratio 89.6 · P/S ratio 1.85 · EPS (TTM) 1.25 TWD · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 286% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −65%, 8150 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (2.47 TWD to 162.60 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 29.21 TWDFair Value 38.96 TWDBull 39.78 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0146 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.4% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−26.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27% vs −13%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 335 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Below median
Fair Value upside−64% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth25% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.41× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)89.6× · Pricier than median
P/B3.15× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)2.99× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF18.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA11.1× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 64
PAST (return on equity)13· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)79· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)22· sector 18
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ChipMOS Technologies Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8150
Frequently asked questions
Is ChipMOS Technologies (8150) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 38.96 TWD versus a price of 112.00 TWD, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8150?
Our model-based fair value for ChipMOS Technologies is 38.96 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 112.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8150?
ChipMOS Technologies has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 38.96 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 29.21 TWD, optimistic scenario 39.78 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ChipMOS Technologies stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 38.96 TWD, about −65% upside versus a price of 112.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 29.21 TWD, optimistic scenario 39.78 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
ChipMOS Technologies reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does ChipMOS Technologies pay a dividend?
ChipMOS Technologies currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.10% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ChipMOS Technologies would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8150 use?
Our models discount ChipMOS Technologies at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.29, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ChipMOS Technologies that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ChipMOS Technologies (8150) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ChipMOS Technologies grew +0.8 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ChipMOS Technologies (8150) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ChipMOS Technologies (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.16 %: that much free cash flow ChipMOS Technologies produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ChipMOS Technologies it is 38.96 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 112.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ChipMOS Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 8150 trades above its calculated fair value: price 112.00 TWD, fair value 38.96 TWD, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8150?
No. The price is what the market pays today (112.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (38.96 TWD). For ChipMOS Technologies the two are 73.04 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ChipMOS Technologies worth?
The market values ChipMOS Technologies at about 79.2B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 112.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 38.96 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8150?
Our models span a range for ChipMOS Technologies: cautious scenario 29.21 TWD, base 38.96 TWD, optimistic 39.78 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 112.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8150?
ChipMOS Technologies trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 89.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 38.96 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 11.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
Balance-sheet figures for ChipMOS Technologies (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.3%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8150 from its 52-week high?
ChipMOS Technologies trades at 112.00 TWD, about 9% below its 52-week high of 122.50 TWD and 286% above the low of 29.05 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 38.96 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ChipMOS Technologies?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, SK hynix Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ChipMOS Technologies stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 112.00 TWD, calculated fair value 38.96 TWD (−65%), Quality Score 56/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8150 calculated?
We run ChipMOS Technologies through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 38.96 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. ChipMOS Technologies itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 112.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 38.96 TWD, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ChipMOS Technologies right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (39.78 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of ChipMOS Technologies (8150) come from?
Earnings per share at ChipMOS Technologies grew −6.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.8 %, EBIT margin −9.0 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of ChipMOS Technologies
How large is the market capitalisation of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The market capitalisation of ChipMOS Technologies is 79.2B TWD (≈ $2.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ChipMOS Technologies is 1.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
Earnings per share at ChipMOS Technologies are 1.25 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 89.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The dividend yield of ChipMOS Technologies is 1.1% (payout 98.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The net margin of ChipMOS Technologies is 2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ChipMOS Technologies is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ChipMOS Technologies is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
The operating margin of ChipMOS Technologies is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
Revenue at ChipMOS Technologies is growing +25.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ChipMOS Technologies (8150)?
Earnings per share at ChipMOS Technologies are growing +200% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does ChipMOS Technologies (8150) carry?
The net debt of ChipMOS Technologies is 2.2B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 17.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch ChipMOS Technologies in the live analysis
One click puts ChipMOS Technologies on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
