Goldway Education Group Ltd (8160) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$130M (≈ $16.6M) · ISIN KYG3981U1031

What is Goldway Education Group Ltd really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1870). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0292 – HK$2.42 · fair‑value band HK$0.1105 – HK$0.1870 · the HK$0.5200 price screens above the HK$0.1530 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Goldway Education Group Ltd (8160) currently trades at HK$0.5200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1530, implying the stock looks roughly 239.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2300 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$0.5200 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1200, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Goldway Education Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$53.3M at a net margin of −32.4%. Revenue declined 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −41.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$4.0M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1105 (bear case) to HK$0.1870 (bull case); at HK$0.5200, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at −71%, 8160 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.2300) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1200). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Goldway Education Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides tutoring services to secondary and primary school students under the Logic Tutorial Centre and Pedagog Education Centre names in Hong Kong and Mainland China.

Full company description

Goldway Education Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides tutoring services to secondary and primary school students under the Logic Tutorial Centre and Pedagog Education Centre names in Hong Kong and Mainland China. The company offers secondary tutoring services to secondary school students from secondary 1 to 6 who seek to enhance their school performance for specific subjects and prepare for public examinations; and primary tutoring services to primary school students from primary 1 to 6 to enhance performance in formal school and in examination settings, as well as to assist younger students in solidifying the foundational knowledge. It also provides franchising and management services. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Tuen Mun, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Goldway Education Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$51.2M in FY2025 versus HK$29.3M in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$12.9M in FY2025.

8160 screens 240% overvalued. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 142 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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