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Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance stock SAR 72.41, price SAR 145, that is 49.9% below the price, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services SA · ISIN SA1210540914

BA Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance logo Broad data Nov 7, 2026

Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance

8210 · SR
Very expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 50% below what the stock costs today.

Broad data
Quality 56/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.0 %/yr in SAR)
Thin margins · 4.9% net margin (TTM)
2.8% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Moderate moat 51/100
Fair value 72.41 SAR · Strongly overvalued (−49.9%)
Negative free cash flow
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

279.00 SAR 103.36 SAR Fair Value 72.41 SAR Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 103.36 SAR – 279.00 SAR · fair‑value band 46.47 SAR – 92.97 SAR · the 144.60 SAR price screens above the 72.41 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Bupa Arabia for Cooperative Insurance Company engages in the insurance business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company offers medical insurance products for families, household helpers, parents, and businesses, as well as provide international health care plans.

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It issues short-term insurance contracts for providing health care services. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210) currently trades at 144.60 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 72.41 SAR, 50% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 72.41 SAR per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 144.60 SAR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 24.55 SAR, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 46.47 SAR (bear) to 92.97 SAR (bull), the price of 144.60 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance reported revenue of 20.1B SAR in FY2025 versus 10.9B SAR in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B SAR in FY2025, compounding +14.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 21.5B SAR (≈ $5.7B) Mid · P/E ratio 19.4 · P/S ratio 0.97 · EPS (TTM) 7.45 SAR · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 19.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.6% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −50%, 8210 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 46.47 SAR Fair Value 72.41 SAR Bull 92.97 SAR
Price 144.60 SAR · Downside -49.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.95 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 46.47 SAR 58.54 SAR 92.97 SAR 74
Gordon GGM 36.74 SAR 76.43 SAR 121.32 SAR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 36.74 SAR 64.43 SAR 80.21 SAR 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 36.74 SAR 76.43 SAR 121.32 SAR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 36.74 SAR 64.43 SAR 80.21 SAR 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 70.14 SAR 93.52 SAR 116.90 SAR 63
P/B Multiple 38.48 SAR 51.30 SAR 64.13 SAR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 18.32 SAR 24.55 SAR 36.64 SAR 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income 46.47 SAR 58.54 SAR 92.97 SAR 74

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 67
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 12
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 70
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 62
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 81
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 22
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 25
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 85
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 61/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.5% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+14.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11.7% vs 5.6%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 6%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

8210 screens overvalued: fair value 50% below the price. Compare with Ping An Insurance (Group) Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Life · 77 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −49.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 19.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 4.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 5.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 10.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.8% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 19.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.79× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.97× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)55 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)77 · sector 48
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 87
DIVIDEND (yield)55 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥54.50 ¥66.91 +23% vs 8210
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥35.51 ¥40.47 +14% vs 8210
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹394.00 ₹299.42 −24% vs 8210
Cathay Financial Holding 2882 106.00 TWD 71.53 TWD −33% vs 8210
Manulife Financial Corporation MFC $43.24 $26.70 −38% vs 8210
Fubon Financial Holding 2881 155.50 TWD 86.48 TWD −44% vs 8210
Aflac Incorporated AFL $124.06 $67.30 −46% vs 8210
AIA Group 1299 HK$78.45 HK$41.63 −47% vs 8210
MetLife, Inc MET $98.27 $48.73 −50% vs 8210
Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO C$90.17 C$41.90 −54% vs 8210

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Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8210

Frequently asked questions

Is Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 72.41 SAR versus a price of 144.60 SAR, about 50% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8210?
Our model-based fair value for Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance is 72.41 SAR (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 144.60 SAR.
What is the quality score of 8210?
Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 72.41 SAR (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 46.47 SAR, optimistic scenario 92.97 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 72.41 SAR, about 50% lower versus a price of 144.60 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 46.47 SAR, optimistic scenario 92.97 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.2B SAR (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance pay a dividend?
Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance currently shows a dividend yield of 2.77% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance pays a dividend of 4.00 SAR per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 1, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2021. The payout ratio is 53.7% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance it is 72.41 SAR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 144.60 SAR. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 8210 trades above its calculated fair value: price 144.60 SAR, fair value 72.41 SAR, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8210?
No. The price is what the market pays today (144.60 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (72.41 SAR). For Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance the two are 72.19 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance worth?
The market values Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance at about 21.5B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 144.60 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 72.41 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8210?
Our models span a range for Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance: cautious scenario 46.47 SAR, base 72.41 SAR, optimistic 92.97 SAR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 144.60 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8210?
Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.4 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 72.41 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.8, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 15.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 19.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8210 from its 52-week high?
Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance trades at 144.60 SAR, about 26% below its 52-week high of 196.60 SAR and 17% above the low of 123.70 SAR (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 72.41 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Ping An Insurance (Group) Company, China Life Insurance Company, AIA Group, Manulife Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 144.60 SAR, calculated fair value 72.41 SAR (−50%), Quality Score 56/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8210 calculated?
We run Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 72.41 SAR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was 144.60 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 72.41 SAR, about 50% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (92.97 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (46.47 SAR to 92.97 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210) come from?
Earnings per share at Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance grew +8.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.6 %, EBIT margin −2.2 %, tax rate −1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance

How large is the market capitalisation of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
The market capitalisation of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance is 21.5B SAR (≈ $5.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance is 0.97 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
Earnings per share at Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance are 7.45 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
The dividend yield of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance is 2.8% (payout 53.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
The net margin of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance is 4.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance is 19.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance is 7.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
The operating margin of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
Revenue at Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance is growing +10.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210)?
Earnings per share at Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance are growing −4.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210) generate?
The free cash flow of Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance is −259M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance (8210) hold?
Bupa Arabia for Coop. Insurance holds more cash than debt, 1.5B SAR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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