Link Holdings (8237) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$195M
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated today
Share price −3.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 111% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.29). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$1.29 to HK$8.58). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1430 – HK$1.32 · fair‑value band HK$1.29 – HK$8.58 · the HK$1.02 price screens below the HK$2.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Link Holdings (8237) currently trades at HK$1.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.15, implying the stock looks roughly 111.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$13.3M. Revenue declined 38.4% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$6.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.29 (bear case) to HK$8.58 (bull case); at HK$1.02, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at 111%, 8237 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$40.00) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.3500). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Link Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a hotel business company in the People's Republic of China, Singapore, Indonesia, and Japan. It operates in Operation of Hotel Business and Distressed Debt Asset Management segments. The company also involved in property investment, cottage, and real estate businesses.
Full company description
Link Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a hotel business company in the People's Republic of China, Singapore, Indonesia, and Japan. It operates in Operation of Hotel Business and Distressed Debt Asset Management segments. The company also involved in property investment, cottage, and real estate businesses. In addition, it provides distressed debt asset management services. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Wan chai, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Link Holdings reported revenue of HK$13.3M in FY2025 versus HK$49.7M in FY2021, a compound −28.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$178M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Lodging · 171 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $369.05 | $135.64 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $328.48 | $123.67 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $159.87 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $191.00 | $47.69 | -75% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.67 | $47.55 | +11% |
| Accor SA AC | €47.25 | €39.26 | -17% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹743.20 | ₹260.68 | -65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $78.54 | $24.02 | -69% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 113,500 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -67% |
| Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH | $111.29 | $62.55 | -44% |
Compare Link Holdings with another stock
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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