Phison Electronics Corp (8299) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 395B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 415.76 TWD to 415.11 TWD (−0.2%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −5.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (607.40 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (268.79 TWD to 607.40 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 220.55 TWD – 2,859 TWD · fair‑value band 268.79 TWD – 607.40 TWD · the 2,025 TWD price screens above the 415.11 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Phison Electronics Corp (8299) currently trades at 2,025 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 415.11 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 79.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Phison Electronics Corp generated revenue of 99.8B TWD at a net margin of 22.8%. Revenue grew 196.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 8.4B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 268.79 TWD (bear case) to 607.40 TWD (bull case); at 2,025 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 340% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -80%, 8299 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (899.44 TWD) versus Asset-Based (182.12 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Phison Electronics Corp., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells flash memory controllers and peripheral system applications in Asia, the United States, Europe, Australia, and internationally.
Full company description
Phison Electronics Corp., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells flash memory controllers and peripheral system applications in Asia, the United States, Europe, Australia, and internationally. The company offers solid-state drives (SSDs); external SSDs with thunderbolt or USB connect; flash memory cards; USB flash drives; SSD controller for desktop gaming, laptop PC, desktop workstation, and storage; and eMMC, UFS, and other turnkey solutions. It also provides integrated circuits and systems, and electronics hardware and software and rendering of related services; and electronic components. In addition, the company engages in investment and trading activities; researches, designs, develops, manufactures, imports, exports, and sells storage devices and electronic components; and provides software development and technical support services. It serves original equipment manufacturers, NAND product manufacturers, consumer, retail, system integrators, computing, industrial, and automotive industries. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Jhunan Township, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Phison Electronics Corp reported revenue of 72.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 62.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 8.7B TWD in FY2025, compounding +1.8%/yr from FY2021.
8299 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Phison Unlocks Full-Scale AI Deployment Across Industries
- Phison Collaborates with Intel to Bring Larger Local AI Workloads to Intel AI PC Platforms
- Phison's Pascari Enterprise Storage Honored with COMPUTEX Best Choice Golden Award for Breakthrough 245.76 TB Capacity
- Phison Electronics Corp (ROCO:8299) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and ...
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 319 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $211.80 | $96.91 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $398.37 | $207.49 | -48% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €323.25 | €121.25 | -62% |
| Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC | C$52.57 | C$7.50 | -86% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 2,082,000 KRW | 1,109,311 KRW | -47% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €464.70 | €56.33 | -88% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$68.40 | C$9.82 | -86% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $311.46 | $59.75 | -81% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,740 TWD | 1,163 TWD | -69% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,212,000 KRW | 868,000 KRW | -28% |
Compare Phison Electronics Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Phison Electronics Corp (8299) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 8299?
What is the quality score of 8299?
What is the revenue of Phison Electronics Corp (8299)?
What is the net profit margin of 8299?
Does Phison Electronics Corp pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Phison Electronics Corp and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.