Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$37.8M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.1386 to HK$0.1351 (−2.5%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −8.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 73% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1272). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0530 – HK$0.1382 · fair‑value band HK$0.1272 – HK$0.1509 · the HK$0.0780 price screens below the HK$0.1351 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309) currently trades at HK$0.0780, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1351, implying the stock looks roughly 73.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$455M at a net margin of -2.3%. Revenue grew 18.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$65.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1272 (bear case) to HK$0.1509 (bull case); at HK$0.0780, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 73%, 8309 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.1700) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1400). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Man Shing Global Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental cleaning and property management services in Hong Kong. It offers street, building, and bus and ferry cleaning services.
Full company description
Man Shing Global Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental cleaning and property management services in Hong Kong. It offers street, building, and bus and ferry cleaning services. The company also provides other cleaning services, including refuse collection and waste disposal, sewage management, and pest control and fumigation services, as well as external wall and window, and confined space cleaning services. In addition, it provides waste collecting and car parking services. It serves government and private sector customers. Man Shing Global Holdings Limited was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Kwai Chung, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$455M in FY2025 versus HK$664M in FY2021, a compound −9.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$10.5M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Waste Management · 168 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $226.32 | $128.02 | -43% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $215.08 | $120.63 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$230.52 | C$78.67 | -66% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €34.47 | €23.26 | -33% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $316.65 | $154.01 | -51% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$57.56 | C$44.27 | -23% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.75 | ¥5.27 | -22% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥15.68 | ¥20.95 | +34% |
| China Everbright Environment Group 0257 | HK$5.00 | HK$8.96 | +79% |
| Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering & Technology, Inc 603588 | ¥14.10 | ¥9.35 | -34% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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