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Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd HK$0.13, price HK$0.07, upside +97.2%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG579641013

MS Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd

8309 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$0.1282 · Strongly undervalued (+97.2%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
!Narrow moat 2/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.1382 HK$0.0530 Fair Value HK$0.1282 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0530 – HK$0.1382 · fair‑value band HK$0.1210 – HK$0.1426 · the HK$0.0650 price screens below the HK$0.1282 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Man Shing Global Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental cleaning and property management services in Hong Kong. It offers street, building, and bus and ferry cleaning services.

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Man Shing Global Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental cleaning and property management services in Hong Kong. It offers street, building, and bus and ferry cleaning services. The company also provides other cleaning services, including refuse collection and waste disposal, sewage management, and pest control and fumigation services, as well as external wall and window, and confined space cleaning services. In addition, it provides waste collecting and car parking services. It serves government and private sector customers. Man Shing Global Holdings Limited was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Kwai Chung, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309) currently trades at HK$0.0650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1282, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1210 (bear) to HK$0.1426 (bull), the price of HK$0.0650 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$455M in FY2025 versus HK$664M in FY2021, a compound −9.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$10.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$39.0M (≈ $5.0M) · P/S ratio 0.08 · Net margin −2.3% · Return on equity −8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin −3.5% · Revenue (TTM) HK$455M · Revenue growth (YoY) +18.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 97%, 8309 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1210 Fair Value HK$0.1282 Bull HK$0.1426
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 HK$0.1800 67
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2000 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 HK$0.1800 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2000 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−32.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.8% (2020) → −2.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 162 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +97.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −2.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −3.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 18.5% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)93 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $206.83 $227.51 +10%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $211.92 $128.63 −39%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $155.56 $171.12 +10%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €31.36 €20.32 −35%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $313.04 $155.54 −50%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL $42.27 $34.54 −18%
Umicore SA UMI €21.40 €25.28 +18%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €10.72 €7.30 −32%
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST $82.24 $14.82 −82%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.12 ¥5.27 −14%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8309

Frequently asked questions

Is Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1282 versus a price of HK$0.0650, about +97% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8309?
Our model-based fair value for Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd is HK$0.1282 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0650.
What is the quality score of 8309?
Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1282 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1210, optimistic scenario HK$0.1426. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1282, about +97% upside versus a price of HK$0.0650 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1210, optimistic scenario HK$0.1426. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$455M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.1282 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0650. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8309 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0650, fair value HK$0.1282, a gap of about +97% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8309?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0650); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1282). For Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0632 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd at about HK$39.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0650; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1282 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8309?
Our models span a range for Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1210, base HK$0.1282, optimistic HK$0.1426 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.0650). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
Balance-sheet figures for Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −8.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8309 from its 52-week high?
Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.0650, about 24% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0850 and 8% above the low of HK$0.0600 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1282 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0650, calculated fair value HK$0.1282 (+97%), Quality Score 52/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8309 calculated?
We run Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1282, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.0650. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1282, about +97% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1210). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
The market capitalisation of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd is HK$39.0M (≈ $5.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd is 0.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
The net margin of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd is −2.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd is −8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
The operating margin of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd is −3.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
Revenue at Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd is growing +18.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309)?
Earnings per share at Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd are growing −86.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309) generate?
The free cash flow of Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd is −HK$15.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd (8309) hold?
Man Shing Global Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$65.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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