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8309 (8309) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$37.8M

8 8309 8309 · HK
PriceHK$0.0630
Fair ValueHK$0.1178
Upside+87.0%
Quality57/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.1115 – HK$0.1304

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated today

Share price −14.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.0740 HK$0.0540 Fair Value HK$0.1178 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.0540 – HK$0.0740 · fair‑value band HK$0.1115 – HK$0.1304 · the HK$0.0630 price screens below the HK$0.1178 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8309 (8309) currently trades at HK$0.0630, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1178 — implying the stock looks roughly 87.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 8309 generated revenue of HK$455M at a net margin of -2.3%. Revenue grew 18.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$65.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$455M
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.5%
Net margin -2.3%
Return on equity -8.3%
Free cash flow −HK$15.1M FY2025
Operating margin -3.5%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -86.7%
Net cash HK$65.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8309 reported revenue of HK$455M in FY2025 versus HK$664M in FY2021, a compound −9.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$10.5M in FY2025.

Revenue −9.0%/yr
FY21 HK$664M
FY22 HK$997M
FY23 HK$1.0B
FY24 HK$677M
FY25 HK$455M
Net income
FY21 HK$2.3M
FY22 HK$28.3M
FY23 HK$16.1M
FY24 −HK$7.2M
FY25 −HK$10.5M

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6 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

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Waste Management, Inc WM $224.28 $138.26 -38%
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WAST WAST C$20.80 C$13.93 -33%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $210.04 $75.92 -64%
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Veolia Environnement SA VEOEF $41.05 $35.75 -13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8309 (8309) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1178 versus a price of HK$0.0630 — about +87% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 8309?
Our model-based fair value for 8309 is HK$0.1178 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0630.
What is the quality score of 8309?
8309 has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 8309 (8309)?
8309 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$455M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8309?
The net profit margin of 8309 is about -2.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.