Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd HK$0.78, price HK$1.30, upside -40.0%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1580 – HK$2.21 · fair‑value band HK$0.5500 – HK$1.02 · the HK$1.30 price screens above the HK$0.7800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Tai Kam Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, undertakes site formation and renovation works in Hong Kong. Its site formation works include the piling, landslip preventive, and remedial works for improving or maintaining the stability of slopes and/or retaining walls; and fitting out works for premises.
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Tai Kam Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, undertakes site formation and renovation works in Hong Kong. Its site formation works include the piling, landslip preventive, and remedial works for improving or maintaining the stability of slopes and/or retaining walls; and fitting out works for premises. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321) currently trades at HK$1.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7800, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.5500 (bear) to HK$1.02 (bull), the price of HK$1.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Tai Kam Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$40.6M in FY2025 versus HK$138M in FY2021, a compound −26.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$5.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$955M (≈ $122M) · P/E ratio 11.8 · P/S ratio 23.9 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1100 · Net margin −14.5% · Return on equity 35.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −15.2% · Operating margin −47.2%.
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −40%, 8321 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.5500Fair Value HK$0.7800Bull HK$1.02
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.1100 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.3% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.7% (2020) → −14.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 821 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−40% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)36% · Top 25%
Return on assets−5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)69% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−47% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)11.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.07× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)3.04× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tai Kam Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8321
Frequently asked questions
Is Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7800 versus a price of HK$1.30, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8321?
Our model-based fair value for Tai Kam Holdings Ltd is HK$0.7800 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.30.
What is the quality score of 8321?
Tai Kam Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.7800 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.5500, optimistic scenario HK$1.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tai Kam Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.7800, about −40% upside versus a price of HK$1.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.5500, optimistic scenario HK$1.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
Tai Kam Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$40.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tai Kam Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.7800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$1.30. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tai Kam Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 8321 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.30, fair value HK$0.7800, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8321?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.7800). For Tai Kam Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.5200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tai Kam Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Tai Kam Holdings Ltd at about HK$955M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.30; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.7800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8321?
Our models span a range for Tai Kam Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.5500, base HK$0.7800, optimistic HK$1.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$1.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8321?
Tai Kam Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.7800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 3.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 35.9%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8321 from its 52-week high?
Tai Kam Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.30, about 48% below its 52-week high of HK$2.50 and 550% above the low of HK$0.2000 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.7800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tai Kam Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tai Kam Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$1.30, calculated fair value HK$0.7800 (−40%), Quality Score 63/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8321 calculated?
We run Tai Kam Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.7800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Tai Kam Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was HK$1.30. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.7800, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tai Kam Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.5500 to HK$1.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
The market capitalisation of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd is HK$955M (≈ $122M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd is 23.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
Earnings per share at Tai Kam Holdings Ltd are HK$0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
The net margin of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd is −14.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd is 35.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd is −15.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
The operating margin of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd is −47.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
Revenue at Tai Kam Holdings Ltd is growing −3.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321)?
Earnings per share at Tai Kam Holdings Ltd are growing −17.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321) generate?
The free cash flow of Tai Kam Holdings Ltd is −HK$10.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Tai Kam Holdings Ltd (8321) hold?
Tai Kam Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$3.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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