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Excalibur Global Financial Holdings (8350) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$323M

EG Excalibur Global Financial Holdings 8350 · HK
PriceHK$0.3800
Fair ValueHK$0.6120
Upside+61.1%
Quality75/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 60.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Wide moat 90/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.4590 – HK$2.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −2.6% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 61% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (75/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.4590). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.4590 to HK$2.04). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.5300 HK$0.0740 Fair Value HK$0.6120 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0740 – HK$0.5300 · fair‑value band HK$0.4590 – HK$2.04 · the HK$0.3800 price screens below the HK$0.6120 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Excalibur Global Financial Holdings (8350) currently trades at HK$0.3800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6120, implying the stock looks roughly 61.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Excalibur Global Financial Holdings generated revenue of HK$87.5M at a net margin of 60.4%. Revenue grew 47.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 44.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$20.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4590 (bear case) to HK$2.04 (bull case); at HK$0.3800, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 171% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 61%, 8350 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.7300 HK$1.23 HK$2.02 80
Residual Income HK$0.3600 HK$0.5100 HK$4.53 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.4000 HK$0.5700 HK$0.9100 74
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$0.7500 HK$1.51 HK$2.92 31
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.6500 HK$1.32 HK$2.22 38
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.7000 HK$1.37 HK$2.44 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.3800 HK$2.64 HK$3.70 54
Lynch FV HK$1.36 HK$1.95 HK$2.53 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.5400 HK$0.7200 HK$0.9000 63
P/B Multiple HK$0.1600 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2600 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.7300 HK$1.23 HK$2.02 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.4000 HK$0.5700 HK$0.9100 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.3600 HK$0.5100 HK$4.53 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (HK$1.95) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$87.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) +47.5%
Net margin 60.4%
Return on equity 44.5%
Free cash flow HK$51.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 5.7 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 64.0%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) +407%
Net cash HK$20.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 75/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 84
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 8
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Well Link Securities Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides brokerage services for futures, securities, and options traded on the exchanges in Hong Kong. The company operates through Brokerage and margin financing services; and Money Lending segments. It also provides margin financing, money lending, and bond and fund services.

Full company description

Well Link Securities Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides brokerage services for futures, securities, and options traded on the exchanges in Hong Kong. The company operates through Brokerage and margin financing services; and Money Lending segments. It also provides margin financing, money lending, and bond and fund services. The company was formerly known as Excalibur Global Financial Holdings Limited and changed its name to Well Link Securities Holdings Limited in January 2024. Well Link Securities Holdings Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong. Well Link Securities Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Well Link Fintech Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Excalibur Global Financial Holdings reported revenue of HK$88.7M in FY2025 versus HK$6.6M in FY2021, a compound +91.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$52.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$88.7M
Latest YoY
+293.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+132.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+52.9%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Revenue +91.5%/yr
FY21 HK$6.6M
FY22 HK$7.0M
FY23 HK$24.1M
FY24 HK$22.6M
FY25 HK$88.7M
Net income
FY21 −HK$20.2M
FY22 −HK$12.7M
FY23 HK$8.9M
FY24 HK$6.7M
FY25 HK$52.8M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) +4.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share −0.1 pp

of which total revenue +0.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.9 pp

EBIT margin +2.4 pp
Tax rate +2.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Excalibur Global Financial Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8350

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 423 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +61% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Return on assets 32% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 60% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 64% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 48% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.27× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.69× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 14
FUTURE 100 · sector 96
PAST 100 · sector 30
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,050 KRW 18,009 KRW -53%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 118,600 KRW 52,717 KRW -56%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 200,500 KRW 189,335 KRW -6%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 28,550 KRW 22,396 KRW -22%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 93,100 KRW 75,573 KRW -19%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 299,000 KRW 214,812 KRW -28%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 25,300 VND 17,375 VND -31%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 294.30 ARS -6%
Daishin Securities Co 003540 26,950 KRW 48,790 KRW +81%
SK Securities Co 001515 4,285 KRW 1,395 KRW -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Excalibur Global Financial Holdings (8350) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6120 versus a price of HK$0.3800, about +61% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8350?
Our model-based fair value for Excalibur Global Financial Holdings is HK$0.6120 (as of Aug 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3800.
What is the quality score of 8350?
Excalibur Global Financial Holdings has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Excalibur Global Financial Holdings (8350)?
Excalibur Global Financial Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$87.5M (latest available figure, as of Aug 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8350?
The net profit margin of Excalibur Global Financial Holdings is about 60.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 60.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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