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Hatcher Group Ltd (8365) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$163M

HG Hatcher Group Ltd 8365 · HK
PriceHK$0.7250
Fair ValueHK$1.05
Upside+45.4%
Quality52/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -74.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.7395 – HK$1.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −32.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 45% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.7395 to HK$1.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$27.31 HK$0.2084 Fair Value HK$1.05 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2084 – HK$27.31 · fair‑value band HK$0.7395 – HK$1.55 · the HK$0.7250 price screens below the HK$1.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hatcher Group Ltd (8365) currently trades at HK$0.7250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.05, implying the stock looks roughly 45.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hatcher Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$68.4M at a net margin of -74.7%. Revenue declined 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -38.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$44.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.7395 (bear case) to HK$1.55 (bull case); at HK$0.7250, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and 202% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 45%, 8365 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.8400 HK$1.16 HK$1.66 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.8600 HK$1.26 HK$2.11 74
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3000 HK$0.4000 HK$0.5900 50
All 3 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3000 HK$0.4000 HK$0.5900 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.8400 HK$1.16 HK$1.66 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.8600 HK$1.26 HK$2.11 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$1.16) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.4000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$68.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.8%
Net margin -74.7%
Return on equity -38.2%
Free cash flow HK$9.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 0.0 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin -41.3%
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.2500
EPS growth (YoY) +16.8%
Net cash HK$44.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hatcher Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides financial services in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, and Canada.

Full company description

Hatcher Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides financial services in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, and Canada. It offers corporate finance advisory services, such as acting as financial adviser in transactions or compliance matters under the rules governing the listing of securities on the stock exchange, the GEM listing rules, and/or the codes on takeovers and mergers and share buy-backs; independent financial adviser to the independent board committees and shareholders of listed companies; sponsor in initial public offerings (IPO) exercises; advising companies on compliance requirements; and compliance adviser to listed companies post-IPO. The company also provides placing and underwriting services by acting as underwriter, sub-underwriter, placing agent, or sub-placing agent in fund raising, as well as assists companies listed or to be listed on the stock exchange in securing investors. In addition, it offers business consulting services for individuals and/or entities; assists customers in enhancing and transforming business performance through strategic and operational re-engineering; and provides margin enhancement, finance functions and process enhancement, post-merger integration, cost optimization, and performance measurement services, as well as asset management services, such as advisory services for equity securities, fixed income securities, real estate securities, mutual funds, and portfolio management services for professional clients; and corporate secretarial, accounting and taxation, risk management, and internal control advisory services. The company was formerly known as VBG International Holdings Limited and changed its name to Hatcher Group Limited in October 2021. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Taikoo Shing, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hatcher Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$77.7M in FY2025 versus HK$313K in FY2021, a compound +297.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$47.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$77.7M
Latest YoY
+51,721.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+256.5%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.3%
Revenue +297.0%/yr
FY21 HK$313K
FY22 HK$19.0K
FY23 HK$147K
FY24 HK$150K
FY25 HK$77.7M
Net income
FY21 −HK$20.1M
FY22 −HK$8.3M
FY23 −HK$13.8M
FY24 −HK$77.1M
FY25 −HK$47.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hatcher Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8365

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 423 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +45% · Top 25%
Return on assets -31% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -75% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -41% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.18× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.30× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 94 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 96
PAST 0 · sector 30
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,050 KRW 18,009 KRW -53%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 118,600 KRW 52,717 KRW -56%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 200,500 KRW 189,335 KRW -6%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 28,550 KRW 22,396 KRW -22%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 93,100 KRW 75,573 KRW -19%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 299,000 KRW 214,812 KRW -28%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 25,300 VND 17,375 VND -31%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 294.30 ARS -6%
Daishin Securities Co 003540 26,950 KRW 48,790 KRW +81%
SK Securities Co 001515 4,285 KRW 1,395 KRW -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hatcher Group Ltd (8365) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.05 versus a price of HK$0.7250, about +45% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8365?
Our model-based fair value for Hatcher Group Ltd is HK$1.05 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.7250.
What is the quality score of 8365?
Hatcher Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hatcher Group Ltd (8365)?
Hatcher Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$68.4M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8365?
The net profit margin of Hatcher Group Ltd is about -74.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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