Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$122M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.3179 to HK$0.3061 (−3.7%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +74.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from HK$0.2302 (bear) to HK$0.3844 (bull), base HK$0.3061. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1780 – HK$1.55 · fair‑value band HK$0.2302 – HK$0.3844 · the HK$0.3400 price screens above the HK$0.3061 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368) currently trades at HK$0.3400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3061, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Creative China Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$141M at a net margin of 31.6%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.6%. Net debt stands at HK$7.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2302 (bear case) to HK$0.3844 (bull case); at HK$0.3400, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -10%, 8368 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$1.70) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.4100). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Creative China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in serial program/film production and film rights investment activities in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Southeast Asia.
Full company description
Creative China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in serial program/film production and film rights investment activities in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Southeast Asia. It operates through Serial Program/Film and Production and Film Rights Investment; Concert and Event Organization; Mobile Application Development and Operation; and Artist Management segments. It provides film and television program original script creation, adaptation, production, licensing, and related production services and film rights investment. The company also offers concert and event organization services, such as music concerts, prize presentation ceremonies, automobile shows, university alumni, and other performance events. In addition, it provides an electronic platform for entertainment contents consumption and e-commerce services, such as an online store; and live streaming e-commerce, online advertising, mobile application development, and related services. Further, the company offers management services for the artists for arranging various performance activities. Creative China Holdings Limited was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Creative China Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$141M in FY2025 versus HK$59.3M in FY2021, a compound +24.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$44.6M in FY2025, compounding +17.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +10.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −18.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Entertainment · 266 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.08 | C$2.66 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $103.18 | $80.62 | -22% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $27.65 | $9.03 | -67% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $185.33 | $59.97 | -68% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 59.14 MXN | +8% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 370.00 IDR | 212.14 IDR | -43% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹268.00 | ₹63.45 | -76% |
| JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 | 46,000 KRW | 82,382 KRW | +79% |
| SM Entertainment Co 041510 | 75,500 KRW | 208,415 KRW | +176% |
| PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX | ₹1,176 | ₹467.91 | -60% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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