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Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Creative China Holdings Ltd HK$1.33, price HK$0.22, upside +504.6%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · HK · ISIN KYG2562P1292

CC Thin data Sep 29, 2026

Creative China Holdings Ltd

8368 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$1.33 · Strongly undervalued (+504.6%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +25.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 31.6% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/11)
✓Wide moat 72/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 27 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.55 HK$0.1780 Fair Value HK$1.33 Dec 2020 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1780 – HK$1.55 · fair‑value band HK$0.6700 – HK$1.73 · the HK$0.2200 price screens below the HK$1.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Creative China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in serial program/film production and film rights investment activities in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Southeast Asia.

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Creative China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in serial program/film production and film rights investment activities in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Southeast Asia. It operates through Serial Program/Film and Production and Film Rights Investment; Concert and Event Organization; Mobile Application Development and Operation; and Artist Management segments. It provides film and television program original script creation, adaptation, production, licensing, and related production services and film rights investment. The company also offers concert and event organization services, such as music concerts, prize presentation ceremonies, automobile shows, university alumni, and other performance events. In addition, it provides an electronic platform for entertainment contents consumption and e-commerce services, such as an online store; and live streaming e-commerce, online advertising, mobile application development, and related services. Further, the company offers management services for the artists for arranging various performance activities. Creative China Holdings Limited was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368) currently trades at HK$0.2200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.33, implying the stock looks roughly 83.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.40 per share, and 15 of the 15 models we run sit above the HK$0.2200 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.4800, and 0 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.6700 (bear) to HK$1.73 (bull), the price of HK$0.2200 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Creative China Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 141M CNY in FY2025 versus 59.3M CNY in FY2021, a compound +24.2%/yr. Reported net income was 44.6M CNY in FY2025, compounding +17.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$127M (≈ $16.2M) · P/E ratio 2.3 · P/S ratio 0.74 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin 31.6% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8% · Operating margin 36.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 505%, 8368 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.6700 Fair Value HK$1.33 Bull HK$1.73
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV HK$0.7200 HK$0.8300 HK$0.9200 70
Owner Earnings HK$1.27 HK$2.40 HK$4.44 68
Residual Income HK$0.6600 HK$0.7900 HK$1.11 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$1.27 HK$2.40 HK$4.44 68
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.6100 HK$3.35 HK$4.65 61
Lynch FV HK$0.9300 HK$1.33 HK$1.73 59
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.9300 HK$1.33 HK$1.73 55
EPV HK$0.7200 HK$0.8300 HK$0.9200 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.49 HK$1.99 HK$2.48 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.7500 HK$1.00 HK$1.25 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.15 HK$1.53 HK$1.92 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.04 HK$1.38 HK$1.72 63
EV/EBITDA HK$0.8200 HK$1.09 HK$1.35 64
EV/Revenue HK$0.6200 HK$0.8800 HK$1.14 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3600 HK$0.4800 HK$0.7100 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.6600 HK$0.7900 HK$1.11 68
ROIC Compounder HK$0.7200 HK$0.9700 HK$1.21 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.39 HK$1.99 HK$2.58 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 32
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−0.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−0.7% vs −27.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.56% → 30%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 37.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 220 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 31.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 36.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 5.3% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.31× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.77× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)27 · sector 28
PAST (return on equity)54 · sector 6
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 49

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $69.58 $76.54 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $104.90 $101.23 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.86 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $170.87 $48.93 −71%
TKO Group TKO $182.67 $69.66 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.59 €16.05 +10%
Fox Corporation FOX $56.54 $65.92 +17%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.61 $104.07 +10%
Roku, Inc ROKU $152.67 $42.86 −72%
News Corporation NWS $31.75 $17.05 −46%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Creative China Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8368

Frequently asked questions

Is Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.33 versus a price of HK$0.2200, about +505% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8368?
Our model-based fair value for Creative China Holdings Ltd is HK$1.33 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2200.
What is the quality score of 8368?
Creative China Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.33 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6700, optimistic scenario HK$1.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Creative China Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.33, about +505% upside versus a price of HK$0.2200 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6700, optimistic scenario HK$1.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
Creative China Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 141M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Creative China Holdings Ltd it is HK$1.33 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2200. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Creative China Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 8368 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2200, fair value HK$1.33, a gap of about +505% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8368?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.33). For Creative China Holdings Ltd the two are HK$1.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Creative China Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Creative China Holdings Ltd at about HK$127M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2200; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8368?
Our models span a range for Creative China Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6700, base HK$1.33, optimistic HK$1.73 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price HK$0.2200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8368?
Creative China Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.3 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.33 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 2.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
Balance-sheet figures for Creative China Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 13.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8368 from its 52-week high?
Creative China Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.2200, about 77% below its 52-week high of HK$0.9500 and 16% above the low of HK$0.1900 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Creative China Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Creative China Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price HK$0.2200, calculated fair value HK$1.33 (+505%), Quality Score 49/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8368 calculated?
We run Creative China Holdings Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.33, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Creative China Holdings Ltd currently trades 83 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.2200. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.33, about +505% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Creative China Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.6700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.6700 to HK$1.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368) come from?
Earnings per share at Creative China Holdings Ltd grew +6.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −8.8 %, EBIT margin +8.9 %, tax rate +6.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Creative China Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
The market capitalisation of Creative China Holdings Ltd is HK$127M (≈ $16.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Creative China Holdings Ltd is 0.74 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
Earnings per share at Creative China Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
The net margin of Creative China Holdings Ltd is 31.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Creative China Holdings Ltd is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Creative China Holdings Ltd is 10.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
The operating margin of Creative China Holdings Ltd is 36.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
Revenue at Creative China Holdings Ltd is growing +5.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368)?
Earnings per share at Creative China Holdings Ltd are growing +118% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368) generate?
The free cash flow of Creative China Holdings Ltd is −3.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Creative China Holdings Ltd (8368) carry?
The net debt of Creative China Holdings Ltd is 7.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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