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8430 (8430) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$13.7M

8 8430 8430 · HK
PriceHK$0.0820
Fair ValueHK$0.0230
Upside-72.0%
Quality38/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0230 – HK$0.0230

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Share price −10.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.1900 HK$0.0680 Fair Value HK$0.0230 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.0680 – HK$0.1900 · the HK$0.0820 price screens above the HK$0.0230 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8430 (8430) currently trades at HK$0.0820, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0230 — implying the stock looks roughly 72.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 8430 generated revenue of HK$17.6M at a net margin of -17.1%. Revenue declined 40.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.6%. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$17.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) -40.6%
Net margin -17.1%
Return on equity -24.6%
Free cash flow HK$10.8K FY2025
Operating margin -38.4%
More key figures
Net cash HK$661K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8430 reported revenue of HK$17.3M in FY2025 versus HK$26.2M in FY2021, a compound −9.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$3.0M in FY2025.

Revenue −9.8%/yr
FY21 HK$26.2M
FY22 HK$26.2M
FY23 HK$23.5M
FY24 HK$25.8M
FY25 HK$17.3M
Net income
FY21 −HK$3.6M
FY22 −HK$8.7M
FY23 −HK$5.1M
FY24 −HK$412K
FY25 −HK$3.0M

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Similar stocks

6 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL $219.52 $91.12 -58%
XPO, Inc XPO $199.22 $56.52 -72%
TFI International Inc TFII $144.15 $110.79 -23%
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX $78.57 $29.20 -63%
Saia, Inc SAIA $466.51 $104.71 -78%
Schneider National, Inc SNDR $35.47 $23.62 -33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8430 (8430) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0230 versus a price of HK$0.0820 — about −72% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 8430?
Our model-based fair value for 8430 is HK$0.0230 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0820.
What is the quality score of 8430?
8430 has a Quality Score of 38/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 8430 (8430)?
8430 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$17.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8430?
The net profit margin of 8430 is about -17.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.