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8490 (8490) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · Market cap HK$100M

8 8490 8490 · HK
PriceHK$0.1420
Fair ValueHK$0.0300
Upside-78.9%
Quality52/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0200 – HK$0.0400

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −10.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.2160 HK$0.0790 Fair Value HK$0.0300 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.0790 – HK$0.2160 · fair‑value band HK$0.0200 – HK$0.0400 · the HK$0.1420 price screens above the HK$0.0300 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8490 (8490) currently trades at HK$0.1420, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0300 — implying the stock looks roughly 78.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 8490 generated revenue of HK$147M at a net margin of -26.4%. Revenue declined 18.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.7%. Net debt stands at HK$97.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$147M
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.4%
Net margin -26.4%
Return on equity -24.7%
Free cash flow −HK$80.1M FY2025
Operating margin -15.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) -92.2%
Net debt HK$97.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8490 reported revenue of HK$147M in FY2025 versus HK$249M in FY2021, a compound −12.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$38.8M in FY2025.

Revenue −12.4%/yr
FY21 HK$249M
FY22 HK$218M
FY23 HK$213M
FY24 HK$195M
FY25 HK$147M
Net income
FY21 HK$6.8M
FY22 HK$8.6M
FY23 HK$510K
FY24 −HK$43.1M
FY25 −HK$38.8M

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6 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

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ASML Holding ASMLF $1,900 $649.19 -66%
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Lam Research Corporation LRCX $409.54 $94.52 -77%
KLA Corporation KLAC $1,929 $742.75 -61%
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Advantest Corporation ATEYY $201.79 $81.62 -60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8490 (8490) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0300 versus a price of HK$0.1420 — about −79% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 8490?
Our model-based fair value for 8490 is HK$0.0300 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1420.
What is the quality score of 8490?
8490 has a Quality Score of 52/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 8490 (8490)?
8490 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$147M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8490?
The net profit margin of 8490 is about -26.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.