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I century Holding Ltd (8507) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 8, 2026: fair value of I century Holding Ltd HK$0.09, price HK$0.66, upside -85.8%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026
I century Holding Ltd
8507 · HKWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
Generates free cash flow
Quality 44/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.5 %/yr in HKD)
Fair value HK$0.0935 · Strongly overvalued (−85.8%)
Loss-making · -0.5% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0277 – HK$1.21 · fair‑value band HK$0.0850 – HK$0.1105 · the HK$0.6600 price screens above the HK$0.0935 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
i.century Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides apparel products and apparel supply chain management services in the United States, France, other European countries, Australia, Canada, Japan, and Internationally.
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i.century Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides apparel products and apparel supply chain management services in the United States, France, other European countries, Australia, Canada, Japan, and Internationally. It offers woven jackets, woven shirts, woven boardshorts, T-shirts, fleeces, woven bottoms, and knitted sweaters; pullovers, pants, and shorts; ladies fashion items; other products, including dresses, skirts, tank tops, and vests; and accessories, such as cap and poncho. The company also holds properties. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
I century Holding Ltd (8507) currently trades at HK$0.6600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0935, 85.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.1300 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the HK$0.6600 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0100, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0850 (bear) to HK$0.1105 (bull), the price of HK$0.6600 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
I century Holding Ltd reported revenue of HK$163M in FY2026 versus HK$171M in FY2022, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$800K in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$564M (≈ $71.9M) · P/S ratio 3.46 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.9% · Operating margin −8.0% · Revenue (TTM) HK$163M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 680% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −86%, 8507 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (HK$0.0100 to HK$0.1400). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear HK$0.0850
Fair Value HK$0.0935
Bull HK$0.1105
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0053 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
HK$0.1000
HK$0.1300
HK$0.1600
80
Growth DCF
HK$0.1100
HK$0.1300
HK$0.1500
77
Owner Earnings
HK$0.0600
HK$0.0700
HK$0.0800
75
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
HK$0.1000
HK$0.1300
HK$0.1600
80
Owner Earnings
HK$0.0600
HK$0.0700
HK$0.0800
75
5Y Revenue Exit
HK$0.1000
HK$0.1400
HK$0.1800
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
HK$0.0800
HK$0.0900
HK$0.1100
74
10Y Revenue Exit
HK$0.1000
HK$0.1300
HK$0.1700
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
HK$0.0900
HK$0.1000
HK$0.1200
67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA
HK$0.0600
HK$0.0700
HK$0.0800
64
EV/Revenue
HK$0.1100
HK$0.1400
HK$0.1800
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
HK$0.0100
HK$0.0100
HK$0.0200
50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
HK$0.1100
HK$0.1300
HK$0.1500
77
Rev-Margin DCF
HK$0.1000
HK$0.1400
HK$0.1800
71
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
44/100
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Profitability
44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−18.3% (2021) → −0.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+45.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +42.5% a year for the price.
8507 screens overvalued: fair value 86% below the price. Compare with Ralph Lauren Corporation →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Manufacturing · 216 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hla Group 600398 | ¥5.66 | ¥11.97 | +111% | vs 8507 |
| Bosideng International Holdings 3998 | HK$3.97 | HK$7.44 | +87% | vs 8507 |
| Moncler S.p.A MONC | €43.70 | €50.69 | +16% | vs 8507 |
| Gildan Activewear Inc GIL | $41.92 | $46.11 | +10% | vs 8507 |
| Levi Strauss & Co LEVI | $19.73 | $16.26 | −18% | vs 8507 |
| LPP SA LPP | 24,900 PLN | 20,032 PLN | −20% | vs 8507 |
| Page Industries Limited PAGEIND | ₹37,695 | ₹28,533 | −24% | vs 8507 |
| Youngor Fashion Co 600177 | ¥8.29 | ¥5.59 | −33% | vs 8507 |
| Ralph Lauren Corporation RL | $357.10 | $225.10 | −37% | vs 8507 |
| V.F. Corporation VFC | $14.33 | $8.68 | −39% | vs 8507 |
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Frequently asked questions
Is I century Holding Ltd (8507) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0935 versus a price of HK$0.6600, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8507?
Our model-based fair value for I century Holding Ltd is HK$0.0935 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.6600.
What is the quality score of 8507?
I century Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0935 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0850, optimistic scenario HK$0.1105. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the I century Holding Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0935, about −86% upside versus a price of HK$0.6600 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0850, optimistic scenario HK$0.1105. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
I century Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$163M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, I century Holding Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +45.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.5 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8507 use?
Our models discount I century Holding Ltd at 14.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.22, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For I century Holding Ltd that is +45.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has I century Holding Ltd (8507) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at I century Holding Ltd grew +11.5 % a year. The price currently implies +45.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of I century Holding Ltd (8507) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into I century Holding Ltd (+45.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.44 %: that much free cash flow I century Holding Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For I century Holding Ltd it is HK$0.0935 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.6600. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is I century Holding Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8507 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.6600, fair value HK$0.0935, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8507?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.6600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0935). For I century Holding Ltd the two are HK$0.5665 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is I century Holding Ltd worth?
The market values I century Holding Ltd at about HK$564M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.6600; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0935 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8507?
Our models span a range for I century Holding Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0850, base HK$0.0935, optimistic HK$0.1105 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.6600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
Balance-sheet figures for I century Holding Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −4.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8507 from its 52-week high?
I century Holding Ltd trades at HK$0.6600, about 45% below its 52-week high of HK$1.21 and 680% above the low of HK$0.0846 (as of Oct 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0935 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to I century Holding Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Ralph Lauren Corporation, Moncler S.p.A, LPP SA, Levi Strauss & Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is I century Holding Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.6600, calculated fair value HK$0.0935 (−86%), Quality Score 44/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8507 calculated?
We run I century Holding Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0935, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. I century Holding Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
The closing price on Oct 8, 2026 was HK$0.6600. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0935, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with I century Holding Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1105). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of I century Holding Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
The market capitalisation of I century Holding Ltd is HK$564M (≈ $71.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
The price-to-sales ratio of I century Holding Ltd is 3.46 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
Earnings per share at I century Holding Ltd are HK$0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
The net margin of I century Holding Ltd is −0.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
The return on equity (ROE) of I century Holding Ltd is −4.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of I century Holding Ltd is −3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
The operating margin of I century Holding Ltd is −8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
Revenue at I century Holding Ltd is growing −5.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at I century Holding Ltd (8507)?
Earnings per share at I century Holding Ltd are growing +101% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does I century Holding Ltd (8507) carry?
The net debt of I century Holding Ltd is HK$4.3M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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