I century Holding Ltd (8507) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$472M
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated today
Share price +4.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 133% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3315). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0277 – HK$1.21 · fair‑value band HK$0.2040 – HK$0.3315 · the HK$0.6150 price screens above the HK$0.2635 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
Analysis
I century Holding Ltd (8507) currently trades at HK$0.6150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2635, implying the stock looks roughly 57.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, I century Holding Ltd generated revenue of HK$167M at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.3%. Net debt stands at HK$4.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2040 (bear case) to HK$0.3315 (bull case); at HK$0.6150, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at -57%, 8507 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$0.1400) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
i.century Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides apparel products and apparel supply chain management services in the United States, France, other European countries, Australia, Canada, Japan, and Internationally.
Full company description
i.century Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides apparel products and apparel supply chain management services in the United States, France, other European countries, Australia, Canada, Japan, and Internationally. It offers woven jackets, woven shirts, woven boardshorts, T-shirts, fleeces, woven bottoms, and knitted sweaters; pullovers, pants, and shorts; ladies fashion items; other products, including dresses, skirts, tank tops, and vests; and accessories, such as cap and poncho. The company also holds properties. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
I century Holding Ltd reported revenue of HK$163M in FY2026 versus HK$171M in FY2022, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$800K in FY2026.
8507 screens 57% overvalued. Compare with H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB →
Peer Group
Apparel Manufacturing · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB | kr 174.25 | kr 165.47 | -5% |
| Ralph Lauren Corporation RL | $396.35 | $220.38 | -44% |
| Moncler S.p.A MONC | €49.64 | €50.69 | +2% |
| Gildan Activewear Inc GIL | C$81.50 | C$32.85 | -60% |
| LPP SA LPP | 22,220 PLN | 17,754 PLN | -20% |
| Levi Strauss & Co LEVI | $22.44 | $15.20 | -32% |
| V.F. Corporation VFC | $14.57 | $10.44 | -28% |
| Bosideng International Holdings 3998 | HK$4.65 | HK$5.92 | +27% |
| Youngor Fashion Co 600177 | ¥7.91 | ¥5.59 | -29% |
| Kontoor Brands, Inc KTB | $82.01 | $85.76 | +5% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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