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Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd (8621) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$31.7M (≈ $4.0M) · ISIN KYG6045W1069

What is Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd really worth?

MC Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd 8621 · HK
PriceHK$0.0350
Fair ValueHK$0.0473
Upside+35.1%
Quality46/100

Below-average quality, trading 26% below our fair value of HK$0.0473.

As of Aug 20, 2026, the fair value of Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0473 per share against a price of HK$0.0350, so the fair value sits 35% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.8 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0391 – HK$0.0538

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +2.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0391). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.1240 HK$0.0160 Fair Value HK$0.0473 Dec 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0160 – HK$0.1240 · fair‑value band HK$0.0391 – HK$0.0538 · the HK$0.0350 price screens below the HK$0.0473 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd (8621) currently trades at HK$0.0350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0473, implying the stock looks roughly 26.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$11.0M. Revenue declined 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −14.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$92.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0391 (bear case) to HK$0.0538 (bull case); at HK$0.0350, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 35%, 8621 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1700 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1700 53

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 2.88 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0200
Net margin −81.5% FY2025
Return on equity −14.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −3.9% avg 5y
Operating margin −256% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$11.0M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −0.4% 3y avg −15.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −70.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$4.8M FY2025
Net cash HK$92.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Metropolis Capital Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides finance leasing, finance leasing advisory, and factoring services in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Metropolis Capital Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides finance leasing, finance leasing advisory, and factoring services in the People's Republic of China. It offers customized vehicle finance leasing solutions comprising finance lease, and sale and leaseback arrangements for individual customers, as well as small and medium-sized enterprises. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. Metropolis Capital Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of View Art Investment Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 29.7M CNY in FY2025 versus 44.1M CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.4%/yr. Reported net income was −24.2M CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$29.7M
Latest YoY
−43.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
21.4% (2020) → −70.7% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −9.4%/yr
FY21 44.1M CNY
FY22 48.6M CNY
FY23 49.9M CNY
FY24 52.2M CNY
FY25 29.7M CNY
Net income
FY21 2.0M CNY
FY22 −3.6M CNY
FY23 −6.1M CNY
FY24 −10.3M CNY
FY25 −24.2M CNY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8621.HK

Peer Group

Credit Services · 325 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +43% · Above median
Return on assets −11% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.37× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE91 · sector 34
FUTURE0 · sector 40
PAST0 · sector 31
HEALTH100 · sector 59
DIVIDEND0 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $379.66 $198.27 −48%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $591.73 $221.87 −63%
American Express Company AXP $326.16 $206.40 −37%
Capital One Financial Corporation COF $215.67 $117.51 −46%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,093 ₹397.70 −64%
PayPal Holdings PYPL $61.47 $77.12 +25%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,134 ₹553.82 −51%
Synchrony Financial, SYF $78.05 $137.28 +76%
SoFi Technologies, Inc SOFI $18.06 $5.02 −72%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,866 ₹796.47 −57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd (8621) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0473 versus a price of HK$0.0350, about +35% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8621?
Our model-based fair value for Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0473 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0350.
What is the quality score of 8621?
Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd (8621)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0473 (as of Aug 20, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0391, optimistic scenario HK$0.0538. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0473, about +35% upside versus a price of HK$0.0350 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0391, optimistic scenario HK$0.0538. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd (8621)?
Metropolis Capital Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$11.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
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