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Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$56.0M

OT Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd 8627 · HK
PriceHK$0.0690
Fair ValueHK$0.0835
Upside+21.0%
Quality47/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -40.1% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0628 – HK$0.0973 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +1.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 21% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.3100 HK$0.0480 Fair Value HK$0.0835 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0480 – HK$0.3100 · fair‑value band HK$0.0628 – HK$0.0973 · the HK$0.0690 price screens below the HK$0.0835 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627) currently trades at HK$0.0690, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0835, implying the stock looks roughly 21.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd generated revenue of HK$20.6M at a net margin of -40.1%. Revenue grew 113.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$69.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0628 (bear case) to HK$0.0973 (bull case); at HK$0.0690, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 21%, 8627 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$20.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +114%
Net margin -40.1%
Return on equity -10.1%
Free cash flow −HK$20.5M FY2025
Operating margin -59.1%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +2,983%
Net cash HK$69.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Orange Tour Cultural Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides event management, and design and production services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers various event management services, such as cultural, artistic, recreational, and corporate promotional events.

Full company description

Orange Tour Cultural Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides event management, and design and production services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers various event management services, such as cultural, artistic, recreational, and corporate promotional events. It also provides design and production of various sketches graphics and other marketing materials; design and construction of attractions; VR cinemas; operating a pet park in a cultural tourism spot; and design, writing, and editorial services, as well as animated media work services. In addition, the company designs and edits the contents of webpages and various social media platforms. Further, it is involved in the design and planning, project management, and on-site supervision activities. The company serves the governmental and commercial sectors. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Yixing, the People's Republic of China. Orange Tour Cultural Holding Limited operates as a subsidiary of QY Investment Holding Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd reported revenue of HK$20.0M in FY2025 versus HK$30.2M in FY2021, a compound −9.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$8.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$20.0M
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.0%
Revenue −9.8%/yr
FY21 HK$30.2M
FY22 HK$20.5M
FY23 HK$30.9M
FY24 HK$19.7M
FY25 HK$20.0M
Net income
FY21 −HK$768K
FY22 −HK$3.7M
FY23 HK$1.9M
FY24 −HK$983K
FY25 −HK$8.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8627

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 200 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +16% · Above median
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -40% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -59% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 114% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 55 · sector 24
FUTURE 100 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 5
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 62

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $303.76 $252.45 -17%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €99.98 €146.36 +46%
Omnicom Group OMC $85.51 $99.84 +17%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.29 ¥5.71 +8%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $13.49 $29.07 +115%
JCDecaux SE DEC €24.00 €20.99 -13%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥37.40 ¥5.62 -85%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.04 HK$6.43 -42%
Affle 3i Limited AFFLE ₹1,643 ₹611.48 -63%
Guangdong Advertising Group 002400 ¥7.33 ¥1.14 -84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0835 versus a price of HK$0.0690, about +21% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8627?
Our model-based fair value for Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd is HK$0.0835 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0690.
What is the quality score of 8627?
Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$20.6M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8627?
The net profit margin of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd is about -40.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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