Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd HK$0.09, price HK$0.06, upside +50.0%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0480 – HK$0.2750 · fair‑value band HK$0.0660 – HK$0.1080 · the HK$0.0600 price screens below the HK$0.0900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Orange Tour Cultural Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides event management, and design and production services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers various event management services, such as cultural, artistic, recreational, and corporate promotional events.
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Orange Tour Cultural Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides event management, and design and production services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers various event management services, such as cultural, artistic, recreational, and corporate promotional events. It also provides design and production of various sketches graphics and other marketing materials; design and construction of attractions; VR cinemas; operating a pet park in a cultural tourism spot; and design, writing, and editorial services, as well as animated media work services. In addition, the company designs and edits the contents of webpages and various social media platforms. Further, it is involved in the design and planning, project management, and on-site supervision activities. The company serves the governmental and commercial sectors. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Yixing, the People's Republic of China. Orange Tour Cultural Holding Limited operates as a subsidiary of QY Investment Holding Limited.
Stock analysis
Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627) currently trades at HK$0.0600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0900, implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0660 (bear) to HK$0.1080 (bull), the price of HK$0.0600 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd reported revenue of 20.0M CNY in FY2025 versus 30.2M CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.8%/yr. Reported net income was −8.0M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$48.0M (≈ $6.1M) · P/S ratio 2.72 · Net margin −40.0% · Return on equity −10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% · Operating margin −59.1% · Revenue (TTM) 20.6M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +114%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at 50%, 8627 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0660Fair Value HK$0.0900Bull HK$0.1080
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
24.8% (2019) → −38.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 192 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+50.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−6.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−40.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−59.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth113.6% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8627
Frequently asked questions
Is Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0900 versus a price of HK$0.0600, about +50% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8627?
Our model-based fair value for Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd is HK$0.0900 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0600.
What is the quality score of 8627?
Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0900 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0660, optimistic scenario HK$0.1080. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0900, about +50% upside versus a price of HK$0.0600 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0660, optimistic scenario HK$0.1080. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 20.6M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd it is HK$0.0900 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0600. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8627 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0600, fair value HK$0.0900, a gap of about +50% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8627?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0900). For Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd the two are HK$0.0300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd worth?
The market values Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd at about HK$48.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0600; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8627?
Our models span a range for Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0660, base HK$0.0900, optimistic HK$0.1080 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.0600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −10.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8627 from its 52-week high?
Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd trades at HK$0.0600, about 57% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1410 and 25% above the low of HK$0.0480 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0600, calculated fair value HK$0.0900 (+50%), Quality Score 47/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8627 calculated?
We run Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd currently trades 33 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.0600. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0900, about +50% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0660). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
The market capitalisation of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd is HK$48.0M (≈ $6.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd is 2.72 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
The net margin of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd is −40.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd is −10.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
The operating margin of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd is −59.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
Revenue at Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd is growing +114% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627)?
Earnings per share at Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd are growing +29.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627) generate?
The free cash flow of Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd is −20.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd (8627) hold?
Orange Tour Cultural Holding Ltd holds more cash than debt, 69.8M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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