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Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd HK$6.23, price HK$8.29, upside -24.9%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · HK

GS Broad data Sep 27, 2026

Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd

8629 · HK

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value HK$6.23 · Overvalued (−24.9%)
!Quality 57/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +58.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 25.0% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!2.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
✓Ranks above peers (10/12)
✓Wide moat 76/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$10.41 HK$5.96 Fair Value HK$6.23 Sep 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

25‑month range HK$5.96 – HK$10.41 · fair‑value band HK$5.67 – HK$7.63 · the HK$8.29 price screens above the HK$6.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Guangdong Syntrust GK Testing and Certification Tech Service Center Co., Ltd. provides construction engineering testing and inspection services in the People's Republic of China.

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Guangdong Syntrust GK Testing and Certification Tech Service Center Co., Ltd. provides construction engineering testing and inspection services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers testing services for foundations, building structures, construction materials, highway and water transport engineering, infrastructure and public roads, products and materials, environment, and housing appraisal products. It also provides inspection services for slopes, foundation fit monitoring, and water conservancy projects; and food and agricultural testing services. In addition, the company offers motor vehicle and hydraulic engineering testing services, fire protection technical services, and safety assessment services. It serves private and public sector entities, such as property developers and construction companies, state-owned investment companies, government institutions, and government administrative bureaus. The company was formerly known as Xinyi Xince Testing and Certification Technology Service Center Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Guangdong Syntrust GK Testing and Certification Tech Service Center Co., Ltd. in October 2023. Guangdong Syntrust GK Testing and Certification Tech Service Center Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Xinyi, China.

Stock analysis

Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629) currently trades at HK$8.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.23, 24.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$23.85 per share, and 7 of the 12 models we run sit above the HK$8.29 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$2.58, and 5 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: HK$5.67 (bear) to HK$7.63 (bull), the price of HK$8.29 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd reported revenue of 79.3M CNY in FY2025 versus 39.8M CNY in FY2021, a compound +18.8%/yr. Reported net income was 19.8M CNY in FY2025, compounding +2.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$281M (≈ $35.8M) · P/E ratio 11.6 · P/S ratio 2.89 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0400 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 25.0% · Return on equity 11.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −25%, 8629 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$5.67 Fair Value HK$6.23 Bull HK$7.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$4.14 HK$4.71 HK$5.63 72
Residual Income HK$5.81 HK$6.45 HK$8.30 71
Owner Earnings HK$7.38 HK$12.10 HK$21.65 66
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$7.38 HK$12.10 HK$21.65 66
5Y P/E Exit HK$8.60 HK$16.37 HK$27.20 61
10Y P/E Exit HK$7.34 HK$14.33 HK$26.37 54
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$4.63 HK$32.31 HK$45.34 59
Lynch FV HK$16.69 HK$23.85 HK$31.00 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.50 HK$2.99 HK$4.52 62
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.50 HK$2.58 HK$3.15 62
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$6.64 HK$8.86 HK$11.07 63
P/B Multiple HK$7.02 HK$9.36 HK$11.70 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$3.34 HK$4.48 HK$6.68 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$4.14 HK$4.71 HK$5.63 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$5.81 HK$6.45 HK$8.30 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+43.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+58.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.60% → 36%

8629 screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

Compare Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 802 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −24.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 11.6% · Above median
Return on assets 7.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 25.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 45.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 73.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.24× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.95× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 14
PAST (return on equity)46 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)43 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $649.13 $162.77 −75%
Vinci SA DG €111.30 €186.22 +67%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,658 $1,116 −33%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,876 ₹1,994 −49%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 159,718 KRW −56%
Ferrovial N.V FER $55.77 $21.74 −61%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.20 €203.86 −49%
EMCOR Group EME $762.21 $525.05 −31%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €93.60 €62.20 −34%
Bouygues SA EN €43.14 €66.31 +54%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8629

Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$6.23 versus a price of HK$8.29, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8629?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd is HK$6.23 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$8.29.
What is the quality score of 8629?
Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$6.23 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$5.67, optimistic scenario HK$7.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$6.23, about −25% upside versus a price of HK$8.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$5.67, optimistic scenario HK$7.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 81.4M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd it is HK$6.23 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$8.29. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8629 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$8.29, fair value HK$6.23, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8629?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$8.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$6.23). For Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd the two are HK$2.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd worth?
The market values Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd at about HK$281M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$8.29; our models calculate a fair value of HK$6.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8629?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$5.67, base HK$6.23, optimistic HK$7.63 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$8.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8629?
Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$6.23 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 4.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 11.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8629 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd trades at HK$8.29, about 10% below its 52-week high of HK$9.26 and 32% above the low of HK$6.29 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$6.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$8.29, calculated fair value HK$6.23 (−25%), Quality Score 57/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8629 calculated?
We run Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$6.23, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$8.29. Our model-based fair value is HK$6.23, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$7.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd is HK$281M (≈ $35.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd is 2.89 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd are HK$0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
The dividend yield of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
The net margin of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd is 25.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd is 13.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd is 45.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
Revenue at Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd is growing +73.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +58.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd are growing +87.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd is 54.5K CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd (8629) hold?
Guangdong Syntrust Gk Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 55.6M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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