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Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B $0.39, price $0.21, upside +83.1%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · CN · ISIN CNE000000BM9

SG Thin data Oct 2, 2026

Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B

900913 · SHG

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value $0.3900 · Strongly undervalued (+83.1%)
Generates free cash flow
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.2 %/yr in CNY)
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Quality 39/100
Loss-making · -1.7% net margin (TTM)
High debt
Narrow moat 13/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.4150 $0.1500 Fair Value $0.3900 Apr 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1500 – $0.4150 · fair‑value band $0.1000 – $0.6900 · the $0.2130 price screens below the $0.3900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation Limited engages natural gas development and utilization, and consulting services.

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Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation Limited engages natural gas development and utilization, and consulting services. It is also involved in the sale of pipeline transportation services of natural gas and ethanol; provision of gas storage facilities leasing services; development, construction, operation, management, and heating of central heating projects; production, processing, and sales of natural gas stoves and instrumentation equipment; information technology development and consulting services; and import and export business, as well as operation, management, and related consultation activities of new energy enterprises. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Lianhua Synthetic Fiber Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation Limited in July 2014. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Taiyuan, China.

Stock analysis

Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913) currently trades at $0.2130, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3900, implying the stock looks roughly 45.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.4800 per share, and 7 of the 9 models we run sit above the $0.2130 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.0400, and 2 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.1000 (bear) to $0.6900 (bull), the price of $0.2130 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B reported revenue of 15.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 12.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −285M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $411M · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0200 · Net margin −1.9% · Return on equity −1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin 2.0% · Revenue (TTM) 14.5B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 83%, 900913 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1000 Fair Value $0.3900 Bull $0.6900
Price $0.2130 · Upside +83.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.5400 $0.9700 $1.51 79
Growth DCF $0.5600 $0.9600 $1.43 77
Owner Earnings n/a n/a $0.2100 73
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.5400 $0.9700 $1.51 79
Owner Earnings n/a n/a $0.2100 73
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0400 $0.2900 $0.5800 66
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.0800 $0.3600 $0.6600 70
10Y Revenue Exit $0.2300 $0.4800 $0.7600 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.2600 $0.5200 $0.8100 66
Multiples
EV/EBITDA n/a $0.0400 >$0.1600 62
EV/Revenue n/a n/a $0.1500 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1500 $0.2000 $0.3000 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.5600 $0.9600 $1.43 77
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0400 $0.3200 $0.6200 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.5% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.2% (2020) → 4.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 84 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +83.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −6.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 3.03× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.73× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 56
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 56
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 83

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $56.38 $70.77 +26% vs 900913
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $269.95 $296.95 +10% vs 900913
ONEOK, Inc OKE $87.88 $80.15 −9% vs 900913
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $31.07 $28.16 −9% vs 900913
Enbridge Inc ENB $45.97 $36.91 −20% vs 900913
Energy Transfer LP, ET $20.47 $15.29 −25% vs 900913
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $36.18 $24.66 −32% vs 900913
TC Energy Corporation TRP $58.78 $24.51 −58% vs 900913
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $277.84 $65.24 −77% vs 900913
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $70.54 $11.72 −83% vs 900913

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Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B · Fair Value
$0.3900 +45%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/900913

Frequently asked questions

Is Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3900 versus a price of $0.2130, about +83% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 900913?
Our model-based fair value for Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B is $0.3900 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2130.
What is the quality score of 900913?
Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3900 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1000, optimistic scenario $0.6900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3900, about +83% upside versus a price of $0.2130 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1000, optimistic scenario $0.6900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B it is $0.3900 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $0.2130. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 900913 trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2130, fair value $0.3900, a gap of about +83% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 900913?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2130); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3900). For Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B the two are $0.1770 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B worth?
The market values Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B at about $411M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $0.2130; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 900913?
Our models span a range for Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B: cautious scenario $0.1000, base $0.3900, optimistic $0.6900 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $0.2130). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 900913?
The PEG ratio of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B is 0.73 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 2, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −1.7%, debt of 3.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 900913 from its 52-week high?
Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B trades at $0.2130, about 18% below its 52-week high of $0.2610 and 6% above the low of $0.2010 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Enbridge Inc, The Williams Companies, Inc, Enterprise Products Partners L.P., Energy Transfer LP,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $0.2130, calculated fair value $0.3900 (+83%), Quality Score 39/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 900913 calculated?
We run Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B currently trades 45 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was $0.2130. Our model-based fair value is $0.3900, about +83% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide ($0.1000 to $0.6900). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B

How large is the market capitalisation of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
The market capitalisation of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B is $411M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
Earnings per share at Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B are $−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
The net margin of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B is −1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B is −1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
The operating margin of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
Revenue at Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B is growing −6.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913)?
Earnings per share at Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B are growing +16.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913) generate?
The free cash flow of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B is 1.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B (900913) carry?
The net debt of Shanxi Guoxin Energy Co Ltd B is 11.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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