Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd $1.68, price $3.61, upside -53.5%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.5312 – $3.61 · fair‑value band $1.00 – $2.47 · the $3.61 price screens above the $1.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, transportation, and sale of coal in the People's Republic of China. It operates in four segments: Coal, Coal Chemical, Transportation, and Oil & Gas. The company is involved in the production and sale of coal, coal chemical, and oil and gas products.
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Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, transportation, and sale of coal in the People's Republic of China. It operates in four segments: Coal, Coal Chemical, Transportation, and Oil & Gas. The company is involved in the production and sale of coal, coal chemical, and oil and gas products. It also provides railway and road transportation services. In addition, the company is involved in design, manufacture, and installation of special equipment; municipal public facilities management; engineering equipment maintenance; biochemical engineering; international trade; railway investment; new energy; coal and oil testing; fund investment and management; investment management; commercial factoring; energy management; research and development, production, and sale of chemical products; exploration, extraction, and sales of oil and gas; enterprise management; liquor business; production and sales of textile products; goods warehousing; warehousing and logistics; coal washing; power generation, transmission, and supply; and trading. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Ordos, the People's Republic of China. Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co.,Ltd. is a subsidiary of Inner Mongolia Yitai Group Company Limited.
Stock analysis
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948) currently trades at $3.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.68, implying the stock looks roughly 115.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $11.09 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the $3.61 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $10.86, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.00 (bear) to $2.47 (bull), the price of $3.61 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd reported revenue of 41.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 50.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.9%/yr. Reported net income was 5.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding −12.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $10.6B · P/E ratio 13.9 · P/S ratio 1.70 · EPS (TTM) $0.2600 · Net margin 12.3% · Return on equity 9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.8% · Operating margin 18.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −54%, 900948 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.00Fair Value $1.68Bull $2.47
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 17%
Compare Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 100 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside−54% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)80.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.56× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)13.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.22× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.25× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF3.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA1.9× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)16· sector 4
PAST (return on equity)39· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)72· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/900948
Frequently asked questions
Is Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.68 versus a price of $3.61, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 900948?
Our model-based fair value for Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd is $1.68 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.61.
What is the quality score of 900948?
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.68 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.00, optimistic scenario $2.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.68, about −54% upside versus a price of $3.61 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.00, optimistic scenario $2.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $41.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd it is $1.68 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $3.61. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 900948 trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.61, fair value $1.68, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 900948?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.68). For Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd the two are $1.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd worth?
The market values Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd at about $10.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $3.61; our models calculate a fair value of $1.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 900948?
Our models span a range for Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd: cautious scenario $1.00, base $1.68, optimistic $2.47 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $3.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 900948?
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.68 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 1.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
Balance-sheet figures for Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.8%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 900948 from its 52-week high?
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd trades at $3.61, at its 52-week high of $3.61 and 108% above the low of $1.74 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value China Shenhua Energy Company, PT Bayan Resources Tbk.,, Adani Enterprises Limited, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $3.61, calculated fair value $1.68 (−54%), Quality Score 52/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 900948 calculated?
We run Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $3.61. Our model-based fair value is $1.68, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.00 to $2.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
The market capitalisation of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd is $10.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd is 1.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
Earnings per share at Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd are $0.2600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
The net margin of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd is 12.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd is 13.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
The operating margin of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd is 18.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
Revenue at Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd is growing +3.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948)?
Earnings per share at Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd are growing +4.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948) generate?
The free cash flow of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd is $3.4B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd (900948) carry?
The net debt of Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd is $10.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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