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Balady Poultry Company (9559) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 4, 2026: fair value of Balady Poultry Company SAR 117, price SAR 125, upside -6.6%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · SA · ISIN SA15OHDKLBH0

BP Some data Oct 4, 2026

Balady Poultry Company

9559 · SR

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

Low debt
Fair value 116.75 SAR · Fairly valued (−6.6%)
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +28.3 %/yr in SAR)
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin (TTM)
Some data
Quality 37/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

401.20 SAR 95.25 SAR Fair Value 116.75 SAR Mar 2023 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

42‑month range 95.25 SAR – 401.20 SAR · fair‑value band 87.42 SAR – 145.95 SAR · the 125.00 SAR price screens above the 116.75 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Balady Poultry Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces poultry products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, other GCC countries, and internationally.

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Balady Poultry Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces poultry products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, other GCC countries, and internationally. The company offers whole and marinated chicken; and chicken parts, including gizzards, hearts, breasts, thighs, whole chicken feet, wings, mix chicken pieces, liver, feet, and legs, as well as chicken fillet. It also engages in the rearing and production of laying boiler breeders and operation of its hatcheries; operation of slaughterhouses for the slaughter and preparation of poultry, rabbit, and bird meat; land transportation of refrigerated and frozen goods; sales agents in pharmaceuticals, wholesale of feed and non-pharmaceutical feed additives; and production of chilled and frozen meat, poultry, rabbits, and birds, as well as poultry feed. In addition, the company is involved in the production of fertilizers from organic materials and potassium fertilizers; construction and renovation of residential and non-residential buildings, such as schools, hospitals, and hotels; and construction of government buildings. The company was formerly known as Balady Poultry Trading Company. Balady Poultry Company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Khamis Mushait, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Balady Poultry Company (9559) currently trades at 125.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 116.75 SAR, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.1%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 134.77 SAR per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the 125.00 SAR price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 21.39 SAR, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 87.42 SAR (bear) to 145.95 SAR (bull), the price of 125.00 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Balady Poultry Company reported revenue of 851M SAR in FY2025 versus 357M SAR in FY2021, a compound +24.2%/yr. Reported net income was 34.2M SAR in FY2025, compounding +13.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 821M SAR (≈ $219M) · P/E ratio 23.0 · P/S ratio 0.92 · EPS (TTM) 5.43 SAR · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 26.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −7%, 9559 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 87.42 SAR Fair Value 116.75 SAR Bull 145.95 SAR
Price 125.00 SAR · Upside -6.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.14 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 41.52 SAR 44.47 SAR 49.71 SAR 76
EPV 16.93 SAR 21.39 SAR 25.00 SAR 74
ROIC Compounder 16.93 SAR 21.39 SAR 25.00 SAR 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 35.35 SAR 231.15 SAR 323.47 SAR 63
Lynch FV 67.28 SAR 96.11 SAR 124.94 SAR 61
PEG = 1.0 67.28 SAR 96.11 SAR 124.94 SAR 57
EPV 16.93 SAR 21.39 SAR 25.00 SAR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 20.89 SAR 35.00 SAR 45.42 SAR 68
DDM Multi-Stage 20.89 SAR 33.19 SAR 37.65 SAR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 81.87 SAR 109.16 SAR 136.44 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 66.27 SAR 88.36 SAR 110.46 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 66.27 SAR 88.36 SAR 110.46 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 53.42 SAR 77.96 SAR 102.49 SAR 65
EV/EBITDA 68.53 SAR 98.10 SAR 127.67 SAR 67
EV/Revenue 32.35 SAR 54.87 SAR 77.38 SAR 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 26.08 SAR 34.95 SAR 52.17 SAR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 41.52 SAR 44.47 SAR 49.71 SAR 76
ROIC Compounder 16.93 SAR 21.39 SAR 25.00 SAR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 94.34 SAR 134.77 SAR 175.21 SAR 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 1
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−31.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−33.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 5%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 290 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −10.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10.4% · Above median
Return on assets 4.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −0.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.44× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.51× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.03× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 15.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)19 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)41 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)78 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)46 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $80.45 $38.02 −53%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.48 ¥115.35 +185%
Bunge Global SA BG $108.14 $56.75 −48%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $50.98 $37.06 −27%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 −17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 205.60 kr 280.90 +37%
SalMar ASA SALM kr 580.50 kr 171.05 −71%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 21.80 THB 55.71 THB +156%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 32.58 MYR 35.84 MYR +10%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥155.26 ¥254.63 +64%

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Balady Poultry Company · Fair Value
116.75 SAR −7%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Balady Poultry Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9559

Frequently asked questions

Is Balady Poultry Company (9559) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 116.75 SAR versus a price of 125.00 SAR, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 9559?
Our model-based fair value for Balady Poultry Company is 116.75 SAR (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 125.00 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9559?
Balady Poultry Company has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 116.75 SAR (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 87.42 SAR, optimistic scenario 145.95 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Balady Poultry Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 116.75 SAR, about −7% upside versus a price of 125.00 SAR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 87.42 SAR, optimistic scenario 145.95 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
Balady Poultry Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 834M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Balady Poultry Company pay a dividend?
Balady Poultry Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.29% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Balady Poultry Company it is 116.75 SAR per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 125.00 SAR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Balady Poultry Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, 9559 trades above its calculated fair value: price 125.00 SAR, fair value 116.75 SAR, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9559?
No. The price is what the market pays today (125.00 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (116.75 SAR). For Balady Poultry Company the two are 8.25 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Balady Poultry Company worth?
The market values Balady Poultry Company at about 821M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 125.00 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 116.75 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9559?
Our models span a range for Balady Poultry Company: cautious scenario 87.42 SAR, base 116.75 SAR, optimistic 145.95 SAR per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 125.00 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9559?
Balady Poultry Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.0 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 116.75 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 15.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
Balance-sheet figures for Balady Poultry Company (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 10.4%, debt of 0.44 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9559 from its 52-week high?
Balady Poultry Company trades at 125.00 SAR, about 23% below its 52-week high of 161.50 SAR and 31% above the low of 95.25 SAR (as of Oct 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 116.75 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Balady Poultry Company?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Balady Poultry Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 125.00 SAR, calculated fair value 116.75 SAR (−7%), Quality Score 37/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9559 calculated?
We run Balady Poultry Company through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 116.75 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Balady Poultry Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
The closing price on Oct 4, 2026 was 125.00 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 116.75 SAR, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Balady Poultry Company right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Balady Poultry Company

How large is the market capitalisation of Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
The market capitalisation of Balady Poultry Company is 821M SAR (≈ $219M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Balady Poultry Company is 0.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
Earnings per share at Balady Poultry Company are 5.43 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
The dividend yield of Balady Poultry Company is 2.3% (payout 52.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
The net margin of Balady Poultry Company is 4.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Balady Poultry Company is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Balady Poultry Company is 26.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
The operating margin of Balady Poultry Company is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
Revenue at Balady Poultry Company is growing −0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Balady Poultry Company (9559)?
Earnings per share at Balady Poultry Company are growing −36.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Balady Poultry Company (9559) generate?
The free cash flow of Balady Poultry Company is −172M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Balady Poultry Company (9559) carry?
The net debt of Balady Poultry Company is 160M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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