Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 27, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Leaf Global Environmental Servi stock SAR 22.33, price SAR 12.70, upside +75.8%, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range 11.50 SAR – 134.37 SAR · fair‑value band 14.58 SAR – 30.16 SAR · the 12.70 SAR price screens below the 22.33 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
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Leaf Global Environmental Services Company provides environmental and sustainability services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
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It offers air quality monitoring, environmental impact assessment studies, hazardous material inspection, marine environmental assessment, noise and vibration monitoring, and water and sediment quality analysis.
The company also provides marine ecology services, including coral reef transplantation and translocation; marine ecology surveys; sea grass meadows translocation; benthic habitat mapping; marine turtle surveys; hydrodynamic modeling; sediment plume modeling; brine discharge modeling; and artificial coral reef development and regeneration.
In addition, it designs and implements remediation and rehabilitation strategies to restore ecological functions to disturbed ecosystems; and engages in coral reef regeneration and mangrove transplantation.
Further, the company is involved in the cleaning of oil and other contaminants in land, surface waters, oceans, and seas, including coastal areas, testing, and measuring environmental indicators, as well as environmental consulting, studies, and research activities.
Leaf Global Environmental Services Company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597) currently trades at 12.70 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22.33 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 43.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 27.63 SAR per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the 12.70 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 6.16 SAR, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 14.58 SAR (bear) to 30.16 SAR (bull), the price of 12.70 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Leaf Global Environmental Servi reported revenue of 43.1M SAR in FY2025 versus 18.8M SAR in FY2021, a compound +23.0%/yr. Reported net income was 6.3M SAR in FY2025, compounding −6.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 63.7M SAR (≈ $17.0M) Micro · P/E ratio 47.0 · P/S ratio 1.81 · EPS (TTM) 0.2700 SAR · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 25.3% · Operating margin 9.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 76%, 9597 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear14.58 SARFair Value 22.33 SARBull30.16 SAR
Price 12.70 SAR · Upside +75.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2241 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.42% → 16%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.4% a year for the price.
Compare Leaf Global Environmental Servi with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 156 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+75.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.7% · Below median
Return on assets13.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)4.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)9.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−33.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)15.7% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Leaf Global Environmental Servi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9597
Frequently asked questions
Is Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 22.33 SAR versus a price of 12.70 SAR, about +76% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9597?
Our model-based fair value for Leaf Global Environmental Servi is 22.33 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12.70 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9597?
Leaf Global Environmental Servi has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 22.33 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 14.58 SAR, optimistic scenario 30.16 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Leaf Global Environmental Servi stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 22.33 SAR, about +76% upside versus a price of 12.70 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 14.58 SAR, optimistic scenario 30.16 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
Leaf Global Environmental Servi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 35.3M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Leaf Global Environmental Servi would have to grow free cash flow by -5.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +23.0 % per year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9597 use?
Our models discount Leaf Global Environmental Servi at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Leaf Global Environmental Servi that is -5.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Leaf Global Environmental Servi grew +23.0 % a year. The price currently implies -5.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Leaf Global Environmental Servi (-5.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.79 %: that much free cash flow Leaf Global Environmental Servi produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Leaf Global Environmental Servi it is 22.33 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 12.70 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Leaf Global Environmental Servi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 9597 trades below its calculated fair value: price 12.70 SAR, fair value 22.33 SAR, a gap of about +76% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9597?
No. The price is what the market pays today (12.70 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (22.33 SAR). For Leaf Global Environmental Servi the two are 9.63 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Leaf Global Environmental Servi worth?
The market values Leaf Global Environmental Servi at about 63.7M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 12.70 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 22.33 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9597?
Our models span a range for Leaf Global Environmental Servi: cautious scenario 14.58 SAR, base 22.33 SAR, optimistic 30.16 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 12.70 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9597?
Leaf Global Environmental Servi trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 47.0 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 22.33 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 15.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
Balance-sheet figures for Leaf Global Environmental Servi (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 3.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9597 from its 52-week high?
Leaf Global Environmental Servi trades at 12.70 SAR, about 72% below its 52-week high of 45.82 SAR and 10% above the low of 11.50 SAR (as of Oct 27, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 22.33 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Leaf Global Environmental Servi?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Leaf Global Environmental Servi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 12.70 SAR, calculated fair value 22.33 SAR (+76%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9597 calculated?
We run Leaf Global Environmental Servi through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 22.33 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Leaf Global Environmental Servi currently trades 43 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
The closing price on Oct 27, 2026 was 12.70 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 22.33 SAR, about +76% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Leaf Global Environmental Servi right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (14.58 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (14.58 SAR to 30.16 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Leaf Global Environmental Servi
How large is the market capitalisation of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
The market capitalisation of Leaf Global Environmental Servi is 63.7M SAR (≈ $17.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Leaf Global Environmental Servi is 1.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
Earnings per share at Leaf Global Environmental Servi are 0.2700 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 47.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
The net margin of Leaf Global Environmental Servi is 4.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Leaf Global Environmental Servi is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Leaf Global Environmental Servi is 25.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
The operating margin of Leaf Global Environmental Servi is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
Revenue at Leaf Global Environmental Servi is growing −33.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597)?
Earnings per share at Leaf Global Environmental Servi are growing −80.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Leaf Global Environmental Servi (9597) hold?
Leaf Global Environmental Servi holds more cash than debt, 4.5M SAR net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Oct 29, 2026