Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Taqat Mineral Trading Co. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
30‑month range 7.20 SAR – 18.14 SAR · fair‑value band 9.35 SAR – 17.84 SAR · the 7.80 SAR price screens below the 13.02 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Taqat Mineral Trading Company manufactures and sells iron and steel products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
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Taqat Mineral Trading Company manufactures and sells iron and steel products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It is involved in drawing, extrusion, and rolling of iron and steel products; general construction of residential buildings; retail sale of building materials scrap; transport of goods and equipment; and manufacturing of iron blocks of substrates and residues. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599) currently trades at 7.80 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.02 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 40.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 15.15 SAR per share, and 6 of the 9 models we run sit above the 7.80 SAR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 2.46 SAR, and 3 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 9.35 SAR (bear) to 17.84 SAR (bull), the price of 7.80 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Taqat Mineral Trading Co. reported revenue of 245M SAR in FY2025 versus 254M SAR in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was −10.2M SAR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 95.6M SAR (≈ $25.4M) · P/S ratio 0.40 · EPS (TTM) −0.8300 SAR · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin −4.1% · Return on equity −8.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.1% · Operating margin −3.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 67%, 9599 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 9.35 SARFair Value 13.02 SARBull 17.84 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.4% (2021) → −2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Taqat Mineral Trading Co. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside+70% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−26% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.7% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Taqat Mineral Trading Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9599
Frequently asked questions
Is Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.02 SAR versus a price of 7.80 SAR, about +67% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9599?
Our model-based fair value for Taqat Mineral Trading Co. is 13.02 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7.80 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9599?
Taqat Mineral Trading Co. has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.02 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.35 SAR, optimistic scenario 17.84 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Taqat Mineral Trading Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.02 SAR, about +67% upside versus a price of 7.80 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 9.35 SAR, optimistic scenario 17.84 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
Taqat Mineral Trading Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 245M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Taqat Mineral Trading Co. pay a dividend?
Taqat Mineral Trading Co. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.68% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Taqat Mineral Trading Co. would have to grow free cash flow by -7.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew -0.9 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9599 use?
Our models discount Taqat Mineral Trading Co. at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Taqat Mineral Trading Co. that is -7.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Taqat Mineral Trading Co. grew -0.9 % a year. The price currently implies -7.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (-7.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.95 %: that much free cash flow Taqat Mineral Trading Co. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Taqat Mineral Trading Co. it is 13.02 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 7.80 SAR. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Taqat Mineral Trading Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9599 trades below its calculated fair value: price 7.80 SAR, fair value 13.02 SAR, a gap of about +67% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9599?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.80 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.02 SAR). For Taqat Mineral Trading Co. the two are 5.22 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Taqat Mineral Trading Co. worth?
The market values Taqat Mineral Trading Co. at about 95.6M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 7.80 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 13.02 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9599?
Our models span a range for Taqat Mineral Trading Co.: cautious scenario 9.35 SAR, base 13.02 SAR, optimistic 17.84 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 7.80 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
Balance-sheet figures for Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −8.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9599 from its 52-week high?
Taqat Mineral Trading Co. trades at 7.80 SAR, about 49% below its 52-week high of 15.35 SAR and 2% above the low of 7.66 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.02 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Taqat Mineral Trading Co.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Taqat Mineral Trading Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 7.80 SAR, calculated fair value 13.02 SAR (+67%), Quality Score 47/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9599 calculated?
We run Taqat Mineral Trading Co. through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 13.02 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Taqat Mineral Trading Co. currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
The closing price on Sep 15, 2026 was 7.80 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 13.02 SAR, about +67% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Taqat Mineral Trading Co. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (9.35 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (9.35 SAR to 17.84 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Taqat Mineral Trading Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
The market capitalisation of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. is 95.6M SAR (≈ $25.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. is 0.40 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
Earnings per share at Taqat Mineral Trading Co. are −0.8300 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
The dividend yield of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. is 2.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
The net margin of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. is −4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. is −8.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. is −2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
The operating margin of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. is −3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599)?
Revenue at Taqat Mineral Trading Co. is growing −25.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Taqat Mineral Trading Co. (9599) carry?
The net debt of Taqat Mineral Trading Co. is 8.6M SAR (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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