Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company SAR 62.60, price SAR 56.00, upside +11.8%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range 18.60 SAR – 541.71 SAR · fair‑value band 34.21 SAR – 141.74 SAR · the 56.00 SAR price screens below the 62.60 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company produces silica sand for various industrial applications in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. It operates through two segments: The Mining Sector and The Military Maintenance Sector. The company offers granites and marble stone; aggregates; and asphalt products, as well as gravel and blocks.
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Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company produces silica sand for various industrial applications in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. It operates through two segments: The Mining Sector and The Military Maintenance Sector. The company offers granites and marble stone; aggregates; and asphalt products, as well as gravel and blocks. It also provides military, general maintenance, and contracting services. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601) currently trades at 56.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 62.60 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 10.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 163.73 SAR per share, and 12 of the 25 models we run sit above the 56.00 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 10.85 SAR, and 13 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 34.21 SAR (bear) to 141.74 SAR (bull), the price of 56.00 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company reported revenue of 348M SAR in FY2025 versus 121M SAR in FY2021, a compound +30.3%/yr. Reported net income was 85.0M SAR in FY2025, compounding +36.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.1B SAR (≈ $292M) · P/E ratio 11.9 · P/S ratio 2.90 · EPS (TTM) 4.72 SAR · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 24.4% · Return on equity 32.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 12%, 9601 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 34.21 SARFair Value 62.60 SARBull 141.74 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (3.47 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.5%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+20.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → 26%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.8% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Above median
Fair Value upside+8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)33% · Top 25%
Return on assets16% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)26% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9601
Frequently asked questions
Is Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 62.60 SAR versus a price of 56.00 SAR, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9601?
Our model-based fair value for Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company is 62.60 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 56.00 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9601?
Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 62.60 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 34.21 SAR, optimistic scenario 141.74 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 62.60 SAR, about +12% upside versus a price of 56.00 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 34.21 SAR, optimistic scenario 141.74 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 348M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company pay a dividend?
Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.19% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company would have to grow free cash flow by +19.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +30.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9601 use?
Our models discount Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company that is +19.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company grew +30.3 % a year. The price currently implies +19.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (+19.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.96 %: that much free cash flow Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company it is 62.60 SAR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 56.00 SAR. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 9601 trades below its calculated fair value: price 56.00 SAR, fair value 62.60 SAR, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9601?
No. The price is what the market pays today (56.00 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (62.60 SAR). For Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company the two are 6.60 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company worth?
The market values Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company at about 1.1B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 56.00 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 62.60 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9601?
Our models span a range for Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company: cautious scenario 34.21 SAR, base 62.60 SAR, optimistic 141.74 SAR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 56.00 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9601?
Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 62.60 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 2.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 32.6%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9601 from its 52-week high?
Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company trades at 56.00 SAR, about 35% below its 52-week high of 86.67 SAR and 1% above the low of 55.50 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 62.60 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 56.00 SAR, calculated fair value 62.60 SAR (+12%), Quality Score 50/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9601 calculated?
We run Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 62.60 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 56.00 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 62.60 SAR, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company right now?
The model range is unusually wide (34.21 SAR to 141.74 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
The market capitalisation of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company is 1.1B SAR (≈ $292M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company is 2.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
Earnings per share at Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company are 4.72 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
The dividend yield of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company is 2.2% (payout 25.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
The net margin of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company is 24.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company is 32.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company is 20.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
The operating margin of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company is 26.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
Revenue at Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company is growing −4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601)?
Earnings per share at Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company are growing −14.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company (9601) carry?
The net debt of Mohammed Hadi Al-Rasheed Company is 42.4M SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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