ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
25‑month range 24.90 SAR – 179.36 SAR · fair‑value band 39.45 SAR – 91.16 SAR · the 26.54 SAR price screens below the 52.61 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
ASG Plastic Factory Company manufactures and sells plastic products in Saudi Arabia. It offers covers, cups, cover dam, gallons, bags, tableware, jars, packages, pail, boxes, dish and other plastic products. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607) currently trades at 26.54 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 52.61 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 49.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 151.85 SAR per share, and 13 of the 17 models we run sit above the 26.54 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 14.77 SAR, and 4 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 39.45 SAR (bear) to 91.16 SAR (bull), the price of 26.54 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO reported revenue of 180M SAR in FY2025 versus 58.8M SAR in FY2021, a compound +32.2%/yr. Reported net income was 32.9M SAR in FY2025, compounding +31.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 342M SAR (≈ $91.0M) · P/E ratio 5.5 · P/S ratio 1.01 · EPS (TTM) 4.80 SAR · Dividend yield 5.7% · Net margin 18.3% · Return on equity 22.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 22.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at 98%, 9607 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 39.45 SARFair Value 52.61 SARBull 91.16 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.33 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.3%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+30.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.7%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 19%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 707 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside+100% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Return on assets11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.7% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9607
Frequently asked questions
Is ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 52.61 SAR versus a price of 26.54 SAR, about +98% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9607?
Our model-based fair value for ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO is 52.61 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 26.54 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9607?
ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 52.61 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 39.45 SAR, optimistic scenario 91.16 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 52.61 SAR, about +98% upside versus a price of 26.54 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 39.45 SAR, optimistic scenario 91.16 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 188M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO pay a dividend?
ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.65% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO it is 52.61 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 26.54 SAR. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9607 trades below its calculated fair value: price 26.54 SAR, fair value 52.61 SAR, a gap of about +98% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9607?
No. The price is what the market pays today (26.54 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (52.61 SAR). For ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO the two are 26.07 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO worth?
The market values ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO at about 342M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 26.54 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 52.61 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9607?
Our models span a range for ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO: cautious scenario 39.45 SAR, base 52.61 SAR, optimistic 91.16 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 26.54 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9607?
ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.5 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 52.61 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 1.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
Balance-sheet figures for ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 22.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9607 from its 52-week high?
ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO trades at 26.54 SAR, about 50% below its 52-week high of 53.10 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 52.61 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 26.54 SAR, calculated fair value 52.61 SAR (+98%), Quality Score 48/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9607 calculated?
We run ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 52.61 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO currently trades 98 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was 26.54 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 52.61 SAR, about +98% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (39.45 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (39.45 SAR to 91.16 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO
How large is the market capitalisation of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
The market capitalisation of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO is 342M SAR (≈ $91.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO is 1.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
Earnings per share at ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO are 4.80 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
The dividend yield of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO is 5.7% (payout 31.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
The net margin of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO is 18.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO is 22.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO is 22.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
The operating margin of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO is 20.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
Revenue at ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO is growing +16.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607)?
Earnings per share at ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO are growing +9.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607) generate?
The free cash flow of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO is −15.0M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO (9607) carry?
The net debt of ASG PLASTIC FACTORY CO is 4.8M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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